NFL Teaser Pick: Betting Two Home Favorites on Saturday’s Playoff Slate

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The stars have aligned for an NFL Playoff teaser pick in this weekend’s Divisional Round.

We’ll try to ride the momentum from hitting our last two Wong teasers. Both teams of interest are playing Saturday, and they’re both home favorites, so we’ll be taking a different tack this time around.

Read on to see who made the cut for our NFL Playoff teaser pick.

We are betting two-team, 6-point NFL teasers in this space with either favorites laying -7.5 to -8.5 or underdogs getting between +1.5 and +2.5. Wong Teasers cross through the most critical “3” and “7” numbers on both legs of the bet.

Wong Teasers are one way for a bettor to gain an edge on a bookmaker. Be sure to shop around at different sportsbooks that offer -120 odds on a two-team, 6-point teaser. In our examples, we’ll be betting $120 to win $100.

FanDuel Sportsbook

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NFL Playoff Wong Teaser Candidates

These teams qualify for Wong Teasers in the Divisional Round, per this week’s NFL betting lines:

Chiefs -8.5
Eagles -7.5

Resulting Wong Teaser Spreads:

Chiefs -2.5
Eagles -1.5

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Chiefs -2.5 AND Eagles -1.5 NFL Teaser Pick

Chiefs -2.5 over Jaguars

You might be thinking, “Why make this bet when you only have two teams to choose from?” It’s a valid point, but we actually love the idea of teasing these two favorites down.

Kansas City is the +300 betting favorite to win Super Bowl 57 at DraftKings. Jacksonville has played well of late, but this is still a young team without much playoff experience on the roster.

The Kansas City Chiefs are our best pick for NFL Week 9 Survivor Pools
Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes, and the Chiefs factor into this week’s NFL Playoff teaser pick. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

The Chiefs have oodles of postseason experience after hosting the last four AFC Championship games. Kansas City sacked Trevor Lawrence five times in its 27-17 win earlier in the season. That’s the most sacks allowed by the Jags all season long.

In his first playoff start against the Chargers, Lawrence appeared rattled when he threw four picks in the first half. The Chargers rolled out to a 27-0 lead before Jacksonville’s epic comeback. But the Jags can ill afford another start like that against the Chiefs.

Kansas City led the NFL in scoring this year with 29.2 points per game. The Chiefs were also the only team in the league to average more than 400 yards of total offense per game.

This is just too much, too soon for the Jaguars in the playoffs. Give us Kansas City to win by at least a field goal.

Read: Chiefs the favorites to win 2023 Super Bowl heading into Divisional Round

Eagles -1.5 over Giants

Philadelphia was regarded as the NFC’s best team for much of the season. San Francisco (+450 to win Super Bowl 57 at DraftKings) might have supplanted Philly late in the year, but the Eagles (+500) are still a team to be reckoned with, especially at home.

As the No. 1 seed, the Eagles had the benefit of a bye week. That allowed QB Jalen Hurts to recover further from his shoulder injury. The Eagles also have home-field advantage through the NFC Championship Game if they can advance that far.

Philadelphia is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS at Lincoln Financial Field this season. Meanwhile, the Giants have performed better ATS than any team in the NFL with a record of 14-4, including their outright win as underdogs at Minnesota in last week’s Wild Card game.

New York has covered its last five games, and four of those ATS wins came on the road, including a 22-16 loss as 16.5-point dogs in Philadelphia in Week 18, when the Giants did not play many of their starters.

The last time New York failed to cover? That was in Week 14, also against Philadelphia, when the Eagles (-7.5) rolled them in the Meadowlands, 48-22.

Giants QB Daniel Jones made his first career start in the playoffs last week against Minnesota, and he looked like a seasoned veteran, throwing for more than 300 yards and a pair of TDs.

It’s our opinion here that the Giants will be competitive. But the Eagles are a better bet to cover the adjusted -1.5 number on our teaser spread.

Week 18 Wong Teaser Result: Win

Vikings (-1.5) over Bears AND Chargers (+8.5) over Broncos

Minnesota went to Chicago and easily dispatched the Justin Fields-less Bears, 29-13. The game was never in doubt. The Chargers didn’t have anything to play for against Denver, but head coach Brandon Staley allowed his starters to remain deep into the game. That was bad news for WR Mike Williams, who injured his back and missed LA’s playoff game the next week at Jacksonville. But it worked out well for us as the Chargers competed in a 31-28 loss to the Broncos, easily covering the adjusted teaser spread of +8.5.

2022 Wong Teaser Record: 7-10

Season Bottom Line: -$500

NFL Playoffs 2023: Betting lines for all four Divisional Round games | Super Bowl 57 odds

About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Writer & Contributor
Kris Johnson is a Senior Writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Kris' work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and more. Kris also authored a sports betting novel entitled The Endgame.

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