The Vegas Line, NFL Week 1: Sportsbooks See Betting Action on Cowboys, Dolphins, 49ers

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Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (9/8) @ 8:22pm ET BUF Bills -110 -1667 -5000 -2000 -127 0 0
LA Rams -110 +800 +1500 +1000 +107 +10000 +10000
Sun (9/11) @ 1:00pm ET NO Saints -185 -2500 -5000 +270 -233 +800 0
ATL Falcons +150 +1000 +1300 -345 +200 -1667 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET PIT Steelers +225 +200 -1111 -400 +114 +105
CIN Bengals -278 -250 +650 +300 -147 -120
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET NE Patriots +130 +1800 +1000 +1100 +10000 +3000
MIA Dolphins -154 -10000 -1667 -2500 0 -10000
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET JAX Jaguars +125 +400 +240 +375 +430 0
WAS Commanders -149 -556 -303 -500 -667 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET PHI Eagles -189 -1667 -5000 -5000 0 0
DET Lions +155 +750 +1300 +1400 +10000 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET IND Colts -370 -164 -345 -263 +144 0
HOU Texans +290 +135 +270 +210 -185 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET CLE Browns -175 +100 -1111 -3333 +230 -5000
CAR Panthers +145 -130 +650 +1200 -313 +1700
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET SF 49ers -278 +1100 +3300 +700 +4000 +7000
CHI Bears +220 -2500 -10000 -1250 0 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:05pm ET BAL Ravens -200 -1667 -5000 -5000 0 0
NY Jets +165 +850 +1400 +2000 +10000 +17500
Sun (9/11) @ 4:24pm ET KC Chiefs -161 -10000 -10000 -5000 -250 0 0
ARI Cardinals +130 +2000 +1700 +1600 +215 +10000 +12500
Sun (9/11) @ 4:25pm ET NY Giants +240 +320 +450 +375 +200 +630 +220
TEN Titans -303 -476 -667 -500 -233 -1250 -278
Sun (9/11) @ 4:25pm ET GB Packers -120 +420 +1400 +525 +106 +10000 +7000
MIN Vikings +100 -714 -10000 -833 -120 0 0
Sun (9/11) @ 4:26pm ET LV Raiders +155 +1600 +1400 +900 +160 +6500 +1800
LA Chargers -189 -10000 -5000 -1667 -182 0 -5000
Sun (9/11) @ 8:23pm ET TB Buccaneers -135 -10000 -10000 -3333 -137 0 -10000
DAL Cowboys +110 +1500 +1600 +1200 +120 +10000 +3500
Mon (9/12) @ 8:15pm ET DEN Broncos -200 +200 +170 -189 +8000 +200
SEA Seahawks +165 -250 -200 +155 0 -250
Thu (9/8) @ 8:22pm ET BUF Bills -10.5 +105 -20.5 -769 -14.5 -145 -20.5 -400 -1.5 -118 -20.5 0 -20.5 -192
LA Rams +10.5 -125 +20.5 +530 +14.5 +120 +20.5 +300 +1.5 -104 +20.5 +7000 +20.5 +160
Sun (9/11) @ 1:00pm ET NO Saints -3.5 -105 +4.5 +100 +1.5 +500 -1.0 -323 -5.5 -109 -0.5 0 +7.5 +100
ATL Falcons +3.5 -115 -4.5 -130 -1.5 -714 +1.0 +250 +5.5 -112 +0.5 +7500 -7.5 -115
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET PIT Steelers +6.5 -110 -0.5 -263 -1.5 +180 -5.5 -714 +0.5 -114 +1.0 -192
CIN Bengals -6.5 -110 +0.5 +210 +1.5 -227 +5.5 +475 -0.5 -114 -1.0 +160
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET NE Patriots +3.0 -110 +13.5 -179 +17.5 -105 +13.0 +1100 +13.5 -182 +13.5 -175
MIA Dolphins -3.0 -110 -13.5 +145 -17.5 -115 -13.0 -2500 -13.5 +138 -13.5 +145
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET JAX Jaguars +3.0 -110 -1.5 -125 -1.5 -130 +6.0 -556 +5.5 +365 -1.5 -141
WAS Commanders -3.0 -110 +1.5 -105 +1.5 +105 -6.0 +400 -5.5 -556 +1.5 +120
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET PHI Eagles -3.5 -105 -7.0 -125 -4.5 -110 -7.5 +115 -3.5 +7000 -7.0 -108
DET Lions +3.5 -115 +7.0 -105 +4.5 -110 +7.5 -145 +3.5 0 +7.0 -108
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET IND Colts -7.5 -110 -0.5 +1300 +6.5 +125 -2.5 -250 -0.5 +146 +6.5 +135
HOU Texans +7.5 -110 +0.5 -5000 -6.5 -154 +2.5 +200 +0.5 -196 -6.5 -161
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET CLE Browns -3.5 -110 -6.5 -105 -8.5 -141 -2.0 +270 +0.5 +350 -1.5 0
CAR Panthers +3.5 -110 +6.5 -125 +8.5 +115 +2.0 -345 -0.5 -526 +1.5 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET SF 49ers -6.5 -110 +8.5 +310 +8.5 +105 +9.5 -145 +8.5 +310 +9.0 -108
CHI Bears +6.5 -110 -8.5 -417 -8.5 -130 -9.5 +115 -8.5 -455 -9.0 -108
Sun (9/11) @ 1:05pm ET BAL Ravens -4.5 -110 -18.0 +115 -20.5 -115 -21.5 +340 -14.5 0 -20.5 0
NY Jets +4.5 -110 +18.0 -145 +20.5 -105 +21.5 -455 +14.5 +6000 +20.5 0
Sun (9/11) @ 4:24pm ET KC Chiefs -3.0 -110 -28.0 -135 -22.5 -345 -23.0 +420 -6.0 -114 -22.5 -313 -23.0 +100
ARI Cardinals +3.0 -110 +28.0 +105 +22.5 +260 +23.0 -588 +6.0 -108 +22.5 +225 +23.0 -115
Sun (9/11) @ 4:25pm ET NY Giants +6.5 -110 +7.0 -115 +6.5 +200 +1.5 +170 +5.5 -110 +1.5 +172 +7.0 0
TEN Titans -6.5 -110 -7.0 -115 -6.5 -250 -1.5 -208 -5.5 -110 -1.5 -233 -7.0 0
Sun (9/11) @ 4:25pm ET GB Packers -1.5 -110 +13.0 -110 +16.5 -135 +15.5 +375 +1.5 -109 +15.5 +6000 +16.0 -227
MIN Vikings +1.5 -110 -13.0 -120 -16.5 +110 -15.5 -500 -1.5 -112 -15.5 0 -16.0 +185
Sun (9/11) @ 4:26pm ET LV Raiders +4.0 -110 +7.5 -105 +8.5 -141 +4.5 -145 +3.5 -110 +5.5 -769 +4.5 -115
LA Chargers -4.0 -110 -7.5 -125 -8.5 +115 -4.5 +115 -3.5 -110 -5.5 +450 -4.5 +100
Sun (9/11) @ 8:23pm ET TB Buccaneers -2.5 -110 -15.5 -3333 -15.5 -3333 -16.5 +240 -2.5 -110 -16.5 +1350 -16.0 +115
DAL Cowboys +2.5 -110 +15.5 +1100 +15.5 +1100 +16.5 -303 +2.5 -110 +16.5 -10000 +16.0 -135
Mon (9/12) @ 8:15pm ET DEN Broncos -4.5 -110 -1.0 -110 -1.5 -164 +1.0 +900 +0.5 +7000 -2.0 +135
SEA Seahawks +4.5 -110 +1.0 -120 +1.5 +140 -1.0 -1667 -0.5 0 +2.0 -161
Thu (9/8) @ 8:22pm ET BUF Bills o52.5 -110 o48 -141 o50.5 +135 o52.0 -109 o41.5 +6000 o42.5 +150
LA Rams u52.5 -110 u48 +110 u50.5 -161 u52.0 -112 u41.5 0 u42.5 -179
Sun (9/11) @ 1:00pm ET NO Saints u42.5 -110 u50 -105 u51.5 -345 u43.5 -110 u44.0 -115 u50.5 -1250 u47.5 -108
ATL Falcons o42.5 -110 o50 -125 o51.5 +280 o43.5 -110 o44.0 -106 o50.5 +600 o47.5 -108
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET PIT Steelers u44.5 -110 u44 -110 u43.5 -115 u43.5 -769 u41.5 -161
CIN Bengals o44.5 -110 o44 -120 o43.5 -105 o43.5 +460 o41.5 +135
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET NE Patriots u45.5 -115 u34 +105 u33.5 +125 u27.5 -169 u27.5 -161
MIA Dolphins o45.5 -105 o34 -135 o33.5 -154 o27.5 +130 o27.5 +135
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET JAX Jaguars o43.5 -110 o45 -145 o46.5 -115 o50.5 +280 o45 -120
WAS Commanders u43.5 -110 u45 +115 u46.5 -105 u50.5 -400 u45 +105
Sun (9/11) @ 1:03pm ET PHI Eagles u46.5 -110 u73.5 -125 u75.5 +115 u73.5 0 u73 +110
DET Lions o46.5 -110 o73.5 -105 o75.5 -141 o73.5 +7000 o73 -125
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET IND Colts u44.5 -110 u39.5 -115 u41.5 -130 u42.5 +275 u39.5 +100
HOU Texans o44.5 -110 o39.5 -115 o41.5 +105 o42.5 -400 o39.5 -115
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET CLE Browns u42.5 -110 u43 -120 u41.5 -110 u47.5 -526 u46.5 0
CAR Panthers o42.5 -110 o43 -110 o41.5 -110 o47.5 +340 o46.5 0
Sun (9/11) @ 1:04pm ET SF 49ers u42.5 -110 u32.5 -125 u30.5 -115 u29.5 -147 u30.5 -141
CHI Bears o42.5 -110 o32.5 -105 o30.5 -105 o29.5 +114 o30.5 +120
Sun (9/11) @ 1:05pm ET BAL Ravens o45.5 -110 o33.5 -130 o33.5 -200 o33.5 +4000 o28.5 0
NY Jets u45.5 -110 u33.5 +100 u33.5 +165 u33.5 0 u28.5 0
Sun (9/11) @ 4:24pm ET KC Chiefs u53.5 -110 u61.5 +100 u64.5 +100 u53.5 -108 u65.5 -278 u65.5 0
ARI Cardinals o53.5 -110 o61.5 -130 o64.5 -120 o53.5 -114 o65.5 +205 o65.5 0
Sun (9/11) @ 4:25pm ET NY Giants o44.5 -105 o40 +100 o39.5 -120 o44 -110 o44.0 -110 o43.5 -233 o39.5 0
TEN Titans u44.5 -115 u40 -130 u39.5 +100 u44 -110 u44.0 -110 u43.5 +175 u39.5 0
Sun (9/11) @ 4:25pm ET GB Packers o48.5 -110 o36.5 -110 o37.5 -110 o46.5 -112 o30.5 +2800 o37.5 +100
MIN Vikings u48.5 -110 u36.5 -120 u37.5 -110 u46.5 -109 u30.5 0 u37.5 -115
Sun (9/11) @ 4:26pm ET LV Raiders o51.5 -110 o48.5 -115 o46.5 -115 o52.5 -109 o43.5 +305 o46 -108
LA Chargers u51.5 -110 u48.5 -115 u46.5 -105 u52.5 -112 u43.5 -455 u46 -108
Sun (9/11) @ 8:23pm ET TB Buccaneers u52.5 -110 u28 -110 u29.5 -105 u50.0 -110 u22.5 -5000 u23.5 -208
DAL Cowboys o52.5 -110 o28 -120 o29.5 -115 o50.0 -110 o22.5 +1300 o23.5 +175
Mon (9/12) @ 8:15pm ET DEN Broncos o41.5 -110 o38.5 -130 o37.5 -200 o33.5 +2000 o36 -132
SEA Seahawks u41.5 -110 u38.5 +100 u37.5 +170 u33.5 0 u36 +110

A few days before the NFL lifted its 2022-23 season curtain, veteran Las Vegas oddsmaker Johnny Avello perused all of the underdogs and favorites, hot underdogs, point spreads, and totals, and he sounded grateful to have pro football back.

With all of the college football games that now get lined and posted, Avello was relieved to be dealing within the confines of the NFL’s 32 teams.

“It’s just soooo many games,” he says. “My god, I’ve never booked as many collegiate games before. It almost wears you out. At least, with the pros, we’re back to some sanity, in number of games — Thursday, Sunday morning and afternoon, Sunday night and Monday night.

“All laid out, each and every week.”

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Rejuvenated from a fine holiday in Saratoga, where he recorded four of five winning days at the racetrack, the New York native couldn’t hide his NFL joy.

He spotlighted a marquee tilt in the Las Vegas Raiders vs. the Los Angeles Chargers, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., and noted it wasn’t the only divisional clash deserving of bold headlines.

Green Bay in Minnesota also promises electricity.

Aaron Rodgers
Las Vegas oddsmaker circles Vikings vs. Packers as Week 1 game to watch (AP Photo/Jim Prisching)

“The NFC North division winner is most likely one of those two teams,” says Avello, the head of the DraftKings sportsbook. “And, most likely, it’ll be the Packers.”

New England-Miami on the divisional board, and Denver-Seattle, Kansas City-Arizona, and Tampa Bay-Dallas have also moved needles.

“It’s a mixed slate,” says Avello. “But it is Week a, so I don’t think it’s gonna matter. The people will be all over it, anyway.”

NFL Week 1 Betting Lines and Early Movement on Oddsboard

Point spreads and totals listed below are from DraftKings as of Friday morning. Live lines can be found in the oddsboard above. It’s always recommended to have various sportsbook accounts to find the best odds for your wagers.

Baltimore Ravens at New York Jets

Betting line: Ravens -7, Total 44.5

Three months ago, this opened Ravens -3 but has moved four points in the wake of Jets quarterback Zach Wilson’s knee injury. He had arthroscopic surgery in mid-August, and coach Robert Saleh doesn’t expect Wilson to return at least until Week 4.

Former Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco gets the nod here for the Jets.

“It was a big mover,” says Avello, “and that was because of the quarterback situation for the Jets.”

The Ravens have covered 10 of their past 12 against the Jets.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Betting line: Dolphins -3.5, Total 46.5

Miami Beach has been no picnic for the Patriots, who have dropped seven of their past nine to the Dolphins in their aquarium, five consecutive (’98-02), and six in a row, from 1989 to ’94.

Rare New England victories here have been blowouts, 43-0 and 35-14, but with a certain quarterback with TB initials. Their past seven defeats have been by a 28-20 average.

“Miami has just given ’em problems, when Miami was not a good team and the Patriots were,” says Avello. “It’s just the way it’s gone for them.

“We’ve seen mostly Dolphins money. This opened 2.5, they crushed the 3 and now we’re at 3.5. I don’t think it’s going much higher than that. It might even come back down to 3.”

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals -6.5, Total 44

Avello dismissed this game, saying it lacked appeal, but I interrupted him. Wait, this is Steel City, I said, the Terrible Towel.

“Well, they’ll have to rely on the defensive line, the ol’ Steel Curtain defense, for this team to have a successful season.”

Mitch Trubisky doesn’t make defenses nervous? Avello said, Uh, no, this is no Big Ben (Roethlisberger).

“He’s had his chances,” Avello says of the former Bears signal-caller. “When you start moving around, it’s not a good sign. It’s a sign a team either needs a quarterback badly, lost one, or one got injured. Or they need a backup badly.

“I don’t think this guy would actually be a starter on too many NFL teams. Cincinnati was in the Super Bowl, but it lost a lot of close games; was involved in a lot of close games.”

Last season, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow led NFL quarterbacks averaging 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Burrow possessed a QB Rating of 105.9, behind only Aaron Rodgers (110.9) of Green Bay.

Avello believes this might hit 7.

“That would probably be a ‘take’ for some sharps. It might [get there]. It’s just been a slight movement, having been up all this time, going from 6 to 6.5. It’s a divisional game, so they’re usually highly contested. Chances are it probably won’t go to 7.”

Also read: Steelers vs. Bengals total among our NFL Week 1 picks

San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears

Niners -7, Total 40

Avello points to steady Niners money that has eked this up from 6.5. They’re trying out new quarterback Trey Lance and retained both receiver Deebo Samuel and reserve QB Jimmy Garoppolo in the offseason.

“The Bears don’t look good, on paper, to start the season,” says Avello. “We’ll see what happens … if they do get some momentum. For San Francisco, we’ll see how this whole thing pans out with the whole team intact.”

Since 2015, Bears games have finished Under at a 57.4-percent clip, third in the league to tilts involving Denver (61.7%) and Pittsburgh (60.2%). Seven of San Francisco’s past eight have finished Under, as have six of the Bears’ previous eight at home.

The total on this game has been adjusted down to 40.

Also read: Strategies and tips for betting the NFL

Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions

Betting Line: Eagles -4, Total 48.5

This total has been bumped up from a 46 opener, “so they’re looking for points there from both sides,” says Avello. Fans might be wise, too, to the past five Eagles-Lions games having finished Over.

Avello has heard all the offseason support for the Eagles, and chatter from some who believe the Lions might make a run for that second spot in the NFC North. He believes Detroit being featured on HBO’s Hard Knocks show might have influenced people.

“That’s going to help them a little bit with exposure,” says Avello, “people getting a little better feel for them, what they need to do to win. A lot of dialogue going on there.”

A savvy pro bettor tells me to avoid such crowd moves after such artificial promotion.

Avello reports “sharp” and “sophisticated” bettors have weighed in on the Eagles to go over their regular-season win total, 9 at many shops, and to win their division and make the playoffs.

Will this loser be exposed as a fraud?

“No, not really,” says Avello. “Teams only played three exhibition games. What I noticed is that offenses were okay, but defenses had to catch up a little bit. Don’t write teams off for the first or second weeks; maybe by the fourth week. Not the first week, for sure.”

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans

Colts -7, Total 45.5

This debuted at 7.5 and has been whittled down.

“That would typically say we got a lot of Houston money, but that isn’t the case in this one,” says Avello. “We’ll see an abundance of Colts money and probably a lot of parlay money on the Colts, too.”

That move toward Houston is an indication that’s where the sharp money is.

Indy tailback Jonathan Taylor led the league last season with 1,811 rushing yards.

The Colts have covered their past five games in Houston, and all five finished Under.

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals

Chiefs -6, Total 54

This move from KC -3 reflects, according to Avello, the suspension of Cards receiver DeAndre Hopkins. He’ll miss six games due to a violation of the league’s performance-enhancing-drugs policy.

“So this got pushed up a bit. It’s been sitting there at 6 for a while. The Chiefs are one of those teams like Tampa Bay; they’ll just get played every single week.”

Blindly?

“Blindly.”

The total has been boosted a point, from 53, too. “Doesn’t surprise me one bit,” says Avello. “They are looking for a little bit of a shootout there.”

Along with Hopkins, No. 3 on the team in reception yardage and No. 1 with eight receiving TDs, Christian Kirk (982 yards, 5 TDs) is gone, to Jacksonville. If a hamstring keeps Rondale Moore down, Arizona will be without three of its top five catchers from 2021.

Receiver AJ Green and tight end Zach Ertz (who has been nursing a calf issue) would have to shoulder that aerial load.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers -3.5, Total 52.5

Avello arrived here on the rotation and said, “That’s a good one!”

The Chargers opened -4, and Raiders interest has nudged that a tad. Adding Davante Adams at receiver, from Green Bay, makes an intriguing connection with Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr; they were fantastic together at Fresno State.

“A fine receiver,” says Avello of Adams. “We’ll see how that works for them. It’s a rivalry. These teams play twice a year. I consider this whole division probably the best in the NFL. There will be some great games each week, with all these [AFC West] teams matching up.”

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Packers -1.5, Total 47

The Vikings have won four of the past six games against Green Bay inside US Bank, by a 25-18 average score. Before that, they had dropped five of six to the Packers in Minneapolis.

In his career against Minnesota, ex-Packers hurler Brett Favre was 17-14, with 54 TD passes and 33 interceptions. Three-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers is 16-10-1 against the Vikes, with 56 TDs and only 7 picks.

This total has been shaved from 49. Says Avello, “Bettors are thinking that this one may be more on the defensive end.” That would go against a recent trend, though, that has seen four of the past five between these two finish Over.

Avello acknowledged that Rodgers has not had the best of luck in Minnesota.

“But one thing I’ll tell you about Minnesota, Minnesota hasn’t had the best of luck in Minnesota, either.”

Avello might soon be deserving of his own Vegas lounge show.

NFL Week 1 picks: Vikings fit Wong Teaser

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys

Bucs -2.5, Total 50.5

Quarterback Tom Brady and the Bucs opened as 3-point favorites three months ago, but some Cowboys money has cut that back. Six of the past seven between these two, in Dallas, have finished Under.

“I’m positive this will be our biggest handle of the day, for a couple of reasons,” says Avello. “First of all, it’s Tampa Bay and Dallas. Lots of personalities on both sides of the ball. Plus, it’s an isolated game. That always helps the handle, when you have only one choice.”

Brady will only pad his 84,520 career passing yards, tops all-time in the NFL. Matt Ryan (8th, 59,735), Aaron Rodgers (10th, 55,360) and Matthew Stafford (12th, 49,995) are the actives chasing Tom Terrific.

Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

Broncos -6.5, Total 45

Three months ago, this opened Seattle -4. Flip quarterback Russell Wilson to the other side and witness his impact on a line.

“A big swing, having Russell Wilson and then not having him,” says Avello. “That’s about a team losing a guy and one gaining a guy. Worth 5.5 points [plus or minus] to each side? Pretty much what it comes down to.”

This total opened at 41, so bettors are bullish on a few more points being tallied.

Bet the players: Best props for all 32 teams

About the Author
Rob Miech

Rob Miech

Rob Miech is a writer and contributor for Gaming Today, covering soccer and producing sports betting features. He has written about college hoops for the Las Vegas Sun, CBS SportsLine and the Pasadena Star-News. He is the author of four books, including Sports Betting for Winners.

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