What a betting bonanza.
One encore remains in Walk-Off Wonderland Weekend.
After a rare five walk-off field goals and a $5.5 million payout at Hard Rock Sportsbook on one four-legged parlay, gamblers try to light up their Week 10 bankrolls again.
That happens when the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills cap the most explosive week of the NFL season on Monday night. No set of games has produced as many lead changes and fantastic finishes this season.
Favorites and dogs are tied at 6-6-1 and the Over boasts an 8-5 edge this week. There have also been some excellent moneyline and parlay payouts.
The Monday night matchup will lead to a two-day break before the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens launch NFL Week 11 with a marquee matchup on Thursday night.
Here’s a quick look at Monday Night Football and NFL Week 10 betting results.
Also read: Super Bowl odds | NFL MVP odds
Bills vs Broncos MNF Week 10 Betting Hits (DraftKings)
Touchdown Scorer (First, Anytime)
- Stefon Diggs (+500, -125)
- Josh Allen (+650, +105)
- James Cook (+800, +125)
- Dalton Kincaid (+1000, +175)
- Gabriel Davis (+1000, +180)
- Courtland Sutton (+1100, +155)
- Javonte Williams (+1200, +145)
- Latavius Murray (+1500, +275)
Passing Yards
- Josh Allen 275 yards (Over -105, Under -125)
- Russell Wilson 211.5 yards (Both sides -115)
Game Total: 47.5
Bills vs Broncos Fun Facts
The last nine Broncos games in November have gone UNDER the total.
Josh Allen has thrown a pick in each of the last five Bills games.
Allen has also scored a TD in six of the last seven Buffalo contests.
Buffalo hasn’t covered in five weeks. The last time the Bills did was a 48-20 triumph over the Miami Dolphins on Oct. 1.
Denver comes off a 24-9 upset over the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Broncos have covered in two straight games, their first two covers of the season.
Sutton has tallied in five of the last six Denver games.
Russell Wilson has notched a touchdown in each of his last three games against the Bills.
Denver has lost its last seven Monday night games.
MNF anytime touchdown scorer props: Best bets for Broncos vs Bills
NFL Week 10 Review
The explosions range from familiar teams making statements to others emerging in dramatic fashion.
San Francisco 49ers
BOOM!
The Niners look to have regained full health, as they demolished the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-3.
Next up: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Betting takeaway: They’re baa–aa–ccc–kkk.
The Niners, who had lost three straight ML and ATS, look awfully good now that they are healthy.
Deebo Samuel scored on a 23-yard jaunt after his return from injury. Trent Williams also returned on the offensive line, leading a strong attack.
The Niners even gave Christian McCaffrey bettors a chance to cash in. Rather than kick a field goal up 34-3 deep in Jacksonville territory late, they fed him the ball twice hoping to give him an 18th straight game with a TD. It didn’t happen, but McCaffrey bettors appreciated the attempt.
Jacksonville, for its part, had a five-series run of fumble, field goal, interception, fumble, and interception. The Jags entered with five straight wins and covers. But they didn’t belong on the same field as the Niners.
San Francisco harassed Trevor Lawrence, who had nowhere to go with the football.
In their three losses, all at home to the Kansas City Chiefs, Houston Texans, and now the Niners, the Jags have been outclassed.
They try to get healthy against the reeling Tennessee Titans. Jacksonville’s lead in the AFC South is down to one game over the Texans.
The Walk-Off Section
Five teams pulled a victory out of the fire.
The Texans and Cleveland Browns notched eye-opening road upsets against high-quality teams.
The Texans prevailed 30-27 at +5.5 against the Cincinnati Bengals, while the Browns rallied from 14 points down three times to nip the Baltimore Ravens 33-31.
Houston Texans
Next up: vs. Arizona Cardinals
Betting takeaway: This team is loaded.
CJ Stroud followed up a 470-yard passing effort with 356 yards and touchdowns. The Texans notched a whopping 544 yards of total offense.
We mentioned the trio of talented receivers on this team all of last week. On Sunday, it was Noah Brown’s turn to lead the receiving corps with 172 yards.
Devin Singletary added 150 rushing yards.
The Texans’ defense picked off Joe Burrow twice, including once in the end zone.
Houston is one of the best 5-4 teams gamblers will ever see. They have won five of their last seven.
Houston rewarded the betting minority, as the Bengals had 81% handle support, the highest of any favorite in the circuit.
Rewarding the 19% spread handle at +5.5 was only one reward the Texans delivered. The other was worth millions.
Titanic Texans Payout
The final result of this game was sweet. Seven-figure sweet to a bettor who had a four-legged golden ticket.
A Florida gambler won $5.5 million on a $500,000 four-leg NFL parlay with the newly reopened Hard Rock Sportsbook when Texans kicker Matt Ammendola hit the 38-yard game-winning field goal.
The four legs of the same-game parlay were:
- The Texans to win on the moneyline
- The Texans-Bengals to go over 44.5 points
- Singletary to go over 51.5 yards.
* Singletary anytime TD
For the overwhelming majority of gamblers, a $500,000 wager is a pipedream.
But gamblers can consider the logic of this wager for lower-priced considerations. The bettor had an angle of going heavy with Houston. The concept was Singletary leading Houston to victory in a high-scoring affair.
This bet was gutsy because Houston had to win on the moneyline at +5.5 against a hot Bengals team.
But that’s exactly what the Texans did.
Cleveland Browns
Next up: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Betting takeaway: Solid defense keys in-game jackpot.
The Browns returned in-game payouts in the +750 to +800 across the sportsbook spectrum with this massive comeback. They were down 14 points three different times.
Their defense led the comeback by forging a game-tying pick 6 in the fourth quarter and then holding the Ravens to a punt. That set up the game-winning field goal by Dustin Hopkins at the final gun. Cleveland notched the final three scores of the game against one of the league’s elite teams.
At one point, the Browns sacked Lamar Jackson on two successive plays. The Browns are a very good 6-3. Cleveland hasn’t won a division crown since 1989 but just defeated the first-place team.
Other Teams With Walk-Off Victories
Detroit Lions
Next up: vs. Chicago Bears
Betting takeaway: Montgomery sparks revitalization.
This was the game of the day, with Detroit winning 41-38 over the Los Angeles Chargers on a final-play field goal.
David Montgomery marked his return with a 75-yard scoring run. Jahmyr Gibbs added two short-scoring runs. The pair combined for 26 carries. The Lions produced 533 yards of offense and won a tough road game at -2.5 to become 7-2.
The Lions keep a two-game bulge over the Minnesota Vikings for the NFC North lead.
Seattle Seahawks
Next up: at Los Angeles Rams
Betting takeaway: Seahawks do just enough.
The Seahawks frustrated spread bettors who had them at -6.5 by giving up a game-tying touchdown late to the Washington Commanders. They then nailed a 29-26 moneyline victory with a last-play field goal.
Kenneth Walker and Tyler Lockett’s receiving touchdowns, combined with 98 yards from DK Metcalf provided good prop betting options for gamblers.
The Seahawks are 6-3 money line, but haven’t covered in their last two games.
Arizona Cardinals
Next up: at Houston Texans
Betting takeaway: Murray lifts Cardinals in return.
We mentioned in Bontempo’s Betting Beat that the one-win Cardinals might show up with the return of injured quarterback Kyler Murray.
They did.
Murray directed them on a final drive that resulted in a chip shot Matt Prater field goal on the final play. Arizona triumphed 25-23 over the Atlanta Falcons.
Murray’s ability to sell the run and quickly scamper to his left looked vintage throughout the contest. He was in his element all day and raised the level of the team.
The result also rewarded the gambling majority, as this game generated the highest Over support of 74% handle at 43.5 points at DraftKings.
Staying Hot
Minnesota Vikings
Next up: at Denver Broncos
Betting takeaway: Dobbs does it again. Minnesota has won five straight ML and ATS.
We have lavished praise on Joshua Dobbs for the last two weeks. The Vikings unveiled a stroke of genius by picking him up at the trade deadline after Kirk Cousins was lost for the season.
And he was up to the task for the second straight week as the Vikings held on against the New Orleans Saints, 27-19, at +2.5.
Dobbs unfurled a first-half masterpiece, especially on Minnesota’s final two drives.
On the first, he avoided a sack, darted left, and outsprinted defenders to the end zone for a seven-yard touchdown. After Minnesota got the ball back, he engineered a late first-half drive that produced a 28-yard TD pass to TJ Hockenson with 16 seconds left.
Minnesota jumped to a 27-3 third-quarter lead and was leaking oil at the finish but held on.
The Vikings have pounded out a 6-4 record after a 1-4 start. Dog bettors have jumped all over them over this time and because the Vikings don’t blow anyone out, they may still get a reasonable spread number to work with.
Everybody Loves a Gambler
Pittsburgh played this the right way twice on one drive.
On the first, Pittsburgh had the ball on the Green Bay 40 (4th-and-1). They gave it to Jaylen Warren, who picked up the first down.
Three plays later, the Steelers stood 4th-and-2 from the Green Bay 24. And they went for the field goal. Chris Boswell drilled it, giving the Steelers a 17-7 lead.
Dice-Roll Dan Campbell was in his finest rambling-gambling form on Sunday.
With the Detroit Lions up 10-3 against the Los Angeles Chargers in the second quarter, he tried three fourth-down conversions on one drive. The first two worked, and a third got him stopped just shy of the end zone.
But with the game on the line, he rolled a huge winner 7. Detroit had 4th-and-2 from the Chargers 26 with 1:40 left. That was the time for a go-ahead field goal attempt, but he opted to go for the first down instead.
The Lions converted and were able to bleed the clock all the way to the final seconds.
That set up the game-winner by Riley Patterson with no time left. What a call by Campbell, who reasoned that he didn’t want Justin Herbert to have nearly two minutes to help the Chargers tie the game or go ahead. He went for the win and got it.
Until He Loses
The Texans had 4th-and-inches on their first possession against the Bengals. They trailed 7-0. A field goal was certain, but a touchdown looked possible.
They will never know. The Texans mishandled the snap, fumbled, and gave the ball back to Cincinnati.
And Sometimes, Even After He Loses
It was worth the challenge flag for Matt LaFleur of the Packers. The Steelers threw a borderline backward pass that Green Bay recovered at the Pittsburgh 1.
The play was called an incomplete pass but looked like a backward toss.
It was worth the challenge — even though it was rejected. That call alone might have made the difference in a game Green Bay lost 23-19.
NFL Week 10 Results Sample (FanDuel)
FanDuel paid out +180 for Herbert, Dak Prescott, and Trevor Lawrence to throw for at least six touchdowns.
Lawrence had none, but Prescott and Herbert delivered by themselves.
The Dallas Cowboys, as the chalk, returned +480 as the highest-scoring team on Sunday. Dallas set the tone with 49 points against the New York Giants.
Another well-paying favorite was the Lions-Chargers matchup. With 79 points, it nailed high-game honors and paid +490 to FanDuel bettors.
Chalk up another good price as the Bucs and Titans delivered 26 points, the lowest of the day. Tampa Bay prevailed 20-6. That paid +700.
One longshot paid really well. Jacksonville, with all its weapons, tallied only three points against the 49ers. Bettors who took a stab with this got a sizable +2500.
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