NFL Week 10 Expert Picks: Bookies Battle Contestants Jump on Vikings

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Kevin O'Connell, Kirk Cousins, and the Vikings are the top consensus pick among experts in NFL Week 10 (AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)

With Josh Allen’s status uncertain heading into Sunday, Bookies Battle 2022 contestants are fading the Bills in Week 10 and taking advantage of what looks to be an inflated contest line. More than 76% of the pool participants are on Vikings +6, making it the top consensus pick of NFL Week 10. The point spread is down to -3.5, per Friday’s betting market consensus.

Bears -2.5 (vs. Lions) comes in as the second most popular pick this week, with about 75% of our bookmakers scrapping a small but key piece of value in this spot. But while Bears -3 (-105) is the most prevalent number on NFL oddsboards on Friday, there are still some -2.5 (-120) out there as well.

The third pick on the consensus sheet is also on pace for closing-line value, with 68.6% of the field on Steelers +2.5 (vs. Saints). That spread is down to +1.5.

Here is the full list of consensus plays for the entire 14-game slate.

NFL Week 10 Consensus Picks, Bookies Battle 2022

PickContest lineFriday lineOpponent% of Field
Vikings+6+3.5at Bills76.5%
Bears-2.5-3 (-105)vs Lions74.5%
Steelers+2.5+1.5vs Saints68.6%
Dolphins-4-3.5vs Browns60.8%
Commanders+11+11at Eagles60.8%
Chiefs-9.5-9.5vs Jaguars58.8%
Giants-6.5-4.5vs Texans56.9%
Broncos+3+3 (-115)at Titans54.9%
Colts+6.5+4.5at Raiders54.9%
Bucs-2.5-2.5 (-115)vs Seahawks54.9%
Cardinals+3+1.5at Rams52.9%
Chargers+7+7at 49ers52.9%
Panthers+3+2.5vs Falcons51.0%
Cowboys-5-4.5at Packers51.0%

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Season Standings Snapshot

Kyle Wainscott (Rivers Casino, Des Plaine) storms into the second half of the season with a one-game lead in the season’s Bookies Battle standings (78 winners on the year) and fresh off his second-quarter min-contest win. Wainscott earned $500 and a spot in the playoff portion of the contest with the 2Q victory.

Jason Scott has been lurking near the top of the leaderboard all season. BetMGM’s top bookmaker is a game behind Wainscott.

Bookies Battle is an NFL picks contest among more 50 bookmakers from around the sports betting industry, including some of the most expert oddsmakers around. Here is the prize structure:

  • Regular-season first place: $3,000
  • Regular-season second place: $1,000
  • Quarterly mini-contest winners (Week 1-5, Weeks 6-9, Weeks 10-13, Weeks 14-18): $500
  • Playoff winner: $2,000 (top 10 in standings, plus quarterly winners earn berths)

Check out the full standings here.

Bookmaker Spotlight

Wainscott spent some time over the phone with Gaming Today’s Craig Williams this week. Wainscott’s account of his career path to Sportsbook Manager at Rivers is a must-read for anyone aspiring to work behind the counter at a bet shop.

Bookmaker Spotlight Q&AsBaldini’s Robert Kowalski | South Point’s Chris Andrews | BetMGM’s Jason Scott | Bally Bet’s Jay Rood  | Station’s Jason McCormick | Westgate Young Gun Casey Degnon | Golden Nugget’s Tony Miller

About the Author
Marcus DiNitto

Marcus DiNitto

Managing Editor, News
Marcus DiNitto was news managing editor of Gaming Today. In past roles, he has been managing editor at national sports websites SportsBusiness Daily, Sporting News, and The Linemakers, as well as with licensed sportsbook operator USA Sports Gaming. Marcus graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, earned his MBA from the University of North Carolina-Charlotte, and studied sports and entertainment marketing at New York University.

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