With an overwhelming 86% of the pool on the home favorite’s side, Giants -3 (vs. Lions) is far and away the top consensus pick for NFL Week 11 among Bookies Battle 2022 contestants.
While the field goal looks like an inexpensive price on the G-Men – who boast an NFL-best 7-2 record against the spread and have a straight-up tally to match – the point spread has generally stayed put through early wagering, indicating value is tough to find on either side.
Detroit, meanwhile, is looking for its third straight win after tough consecutive wins over divisional opponents.
The majority of our competing bookmakers are seeing a half-point of value on Commanders -2.5 (at Texans), the second most popular selection of the week at 72% of the pool, as -3 is the line on most NFL oddsboards heading into the weekend.
Of the three selections tied as the third top consensus play, one stands out as going against the sharp money. Vikings +1 (vs. Cowboys) is on 68% of contestants’ sheets, but the line has moved in Dallas’ direction to 1.5. Gaming Today’s Rob Miech reports from Las Vegas that wiseguys are laying the points with the Cowboys.
Here is the full list of this week’s consensus selections (we’re seeing a 50/50 split on Saints -3.5. vs. Rams, so just 13 games are listed).
NFL Week 11 Consensus Picks, Bookies Battle 2022
| Pick | Contest Line | Friday Line | Oppm. | % of pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | -3 | -3 | vs Lions | 86% |
| Commanders | -2.5 | -3 | at Texans | 72% |
| Bears | +3 | +3 | at Falcons | 68% |
| Broncos | -2.5 | -2.5 (-115) | vs Raiders | 68% |
| Vikings | +1 | +1.5 | vs Cowboys | 68% |
| Cardinals | +8 | +8 | vs 49ers | 66% |
| Titans | +3.5 | +3 | at Packers | 66% |
| Chargers | +6.5 | +5 | vs Chiefs | 64% |
| Panthers | +13 | +13 | at Ravens | 62% |
| Colts | +7.5 | +7 | vs Eagles | 60% |
| Bengals | -4.5 | -4 | at Steelers | 58% |
| Patriots | -3 | -3.5 | vs Jets | 54% |
| Browns | +9.5 | +7.5 | vs Bills | 52% |
Bookies Battle Standings
Bookies Battle is an NFL picks contest among bookmakers across the legal US sports betting landscape, including some of the most expert oddsmakers in the game.
A look at the season standings shows a two-way tie for first before Week 11 between Kyle Wainscott (Rivers Casino – Des Plaines) and Craig Steppach (Gold Strike) – although Craig did put a nose in front with the Titans (+3.5) cover against the Packers on Thursday night. Kyle, of course, won the second-quarter mini-contest.
Industry stalwarts Robert Kowalski (Baldini’s Casino) and Jason Scott (BetMGM) are in third and fourh, respectively.
Bookmaker Spotlight Q&As: Baldini’s Robert Kowalski | South Point’s Chris Andrews | BetMGM’s Jason Scott | Bally Bet’s Jay Rood | Golden Nugget’s Tony Miller | Station’s Jason McCormick | Westgate Young Gun Casey Degnon | Rivers’ Kyle Wainscott
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