NFL Bettors’ First Look at Week 14: Mr. Irrelevant Favored Over GOAT

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Mr. Irrelevant becomes relevant, the Next Man Up blueprint gains traction, and the class teams have begun pulling away from the pack.

Those are some major takeaways linking Week 13 and the first glance at Week 14, which essentially starts the fourth quarter of the NFL season.

Right after the Monday night game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints, bettors have several Week 14 angles to peruse.

Also read: Saints vs Bucs odds, prediction | MNF props and TD scorers

NFL Week 14 Odds

Here are odds from top US sportsbooks on the 13-game Week 14 slate.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (12/8) @ 8:16pm ET LV Raiders -208 -556 -455 +1400 -435 -500
LA Rams +170 +400 +340 -5000 +310 +350
Sun (12/11) @ 1:00pm ET PHI Eagles -278 -10000 -10000 -2500 -333 -5000 0
NY Giants +210 +2000 +3300 +1100 +275 +1200 +4500
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET JAX Jaguars +150 -1429 -10000 -909 0 0
TEN Titans -185 +800 +3300 +575 +3000 +6000
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets +350 +2500 +3300 +1600 +4000 +8000
BUF Bills -455 0 -10000 -5000 0 0
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +900 +2000 +1050 +2000 +2500 +1700
DAL Cowboys -1667 -10000 -5000 -5000 0 -5000
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns +165 +1500 +1300 +1400 +1060 +2500
CIN Bengals -200 -5000 -10000 -5000 -3333 -10000
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET MIN Vikings -115 +1000 +875 +1600 +1100 0
DET Lions -105 -2000 -2500 0 -5000 0
Sun (12/11) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens +100 -2000 -455 -5000 -1429 -5000
PIT Steelers -120 +1000 +310 +1600 +680 +1800
Sun (12/11) @ 4:05pm ET KC Chiefs -400 -10000 -3333 -5000 -435 -5000 -10000
DEN Broncos +310 +2200 +1000 +2000 +355 +1300 +2000
Sun (12/11) @ 4:22pm ET CAR Panthers +200 -1111 -10000 -455 +168 0 -3333
SEA Seahawks -250 +675 +1400 +340 -196 +2500 +1400
Sun (12/11) @ 4:25pm ET TB Buccaneers +145 +2500 +2200 +4000 +155 +1700 +6000
SF 49ers -175 0 -10000 0 -179 -10000 0
Sun (12/11) @ 8:23pm ET MIA Dolphins -130 +2500 +1400 +1000 -175 +1100 0
LA Chargers +110 0 -10000 -2000 +150 -5000 0
Mon (12/12) @ 8:15pm ET NE Patriots -120 0 -5000 0 0 0
ARI Cardinals +100 +2500 +2000 +6000 +3500 +4000
Thu (12/8) @ 8:16pm ET LV Raiders -5.5 -110 -6.5 +320 -6.5 +1250 -6.5 +200 -6.5 +305 -0.5 0
LA Rams +5.5 -110 +6.5 -417 +6.5 -10000 +6.5 -250 +6.5 -455 +0.5 0
Sun (12/11) @ 1:00pm ET PHI Eagles -6.5 -110 -33.5 -161 -20.5 -105 -27.5 -238 -7.0 -114 -26.5 -294 -33.5 -345
NY Giants +6.5 -110 +33.5 +130 +20.5 -120 +27.5 +195 +7.0 -108 +26.5 +215 +33.5 +280
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET JAX Jaguars +3.5 -110 -13.5 -204 -19.5 +115 -14.0 -500 -10.5 -114 -13.5 -238
TEN Titans -3.5 -110 +13.5 +165 +19.5 -149 +14.0 +375 +10.5 -114 +13.5 +190
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets +9.5 -110 +10.5 +125 +13.5 -250 +8.5 -833 +10.5 -102 +10.5 +125
BUF Bills -9.5 -110 -10.5 -154 -13.5 +190 -8.5 +525 -10.5 -128 -10.5 -145
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +17.0 -110 +3.5 -120 +3.5 +1050 +1.5 -120 +2.5 -114 -2.5 0
DAL Cowboys -17.0 -110 -3.5 -110 -3.5 -5000 -1.5 -110 -2.5 -115 +2.5 0
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns +4.5 -110 +13.5 -769 +13.5 -135 +13.0 +165 +13.5 -625 +13.0 +160
CIN Bengals -4.5 -110 -13.5 +520 -13.5 +105 -13.0 -200 -13.5 +390 -13.0 -189
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET MIN Vikings -1.0 -110 +8.5 -625 +10.5 +1000 +14.5 -115 +14.5 -108 +8.0 +240
DET Lions +1.0 -110 -8.5 +440 -10.5 -3333 -14.5 -115 -14.5 -120 -8.0 -303
Sun (12/11) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens +1.0 -110 -9.5 +115 -1.5 -455 -6.5 -125 -8.5 -145 -9.0 +110
PIT Steelers -1.0 -110 +9.5 -145 +1.5 +310 +6.5 -105 +8.5 +110 +9.0 -130
Sun (12/11) @ 4:05pm ET KC Chiefs -8.5 -110 -7.5 -115 -6.5 -120 -6.5 +120 -9.0 -110 -8.5 -147 -7.5 +100
DEN Broncos +8.5 -110 +7.5 -115 +6.5 -110 +6.5 -149 +9.0 -110 +8.5 +112 +7.5 -115
Sun (12/11) @ 4:22pm ET CAR Panthers +6.0 -110 -12.5 -476 -12.5 +1800 -6.5 +450 +3.5 -109 -12.5 -588 -12.5 -145
SEA Seahawks -6.0 -110 +12.5 +350 +12.5 -10000 +6.5 -667 -3.5 -112 +12.5 +365 +12.5 +125
Sun (12/11) @ 4:25pm ET TB Buccaneers +3.0 -110 +28.5 -208 +25.5 +3300 +28.0 -145 +3.5 -115 +28.5 -169 +28.5 -161
SF 49ers -3.0 -110 -28.5 +170 -25.5 -10000 -28.0 +115 -3.5 -105 -28.5 +130 -28.5 +135
Sun (12/11) @ 8:23pm ET MIA Dolphins -2.0 -110 +6.5 -110 +6.5 -10000 +6.0 +525 -3.0 -118 +6.5 -139 +8.5 +105
LA Chargers +2.0 -110 -6.5 -120 -6.5 +3300 -6.0 -833 +3.0 -105 -6.5 +106 -8.5 -120
Mon (12/12) @ 8:15pm ET NE Patriots -1.5 -110 -13.5 -1250 -14.5 +500 -15.5 -115 -13.5 -588 -14.0 -179
ARI Cardinals +1.5 -110 +13.5 +700 +14.5 -909 +15.5 -115 +13.5 +390 +14.0 +150
Thu (12/8) @ 8:16pm ET LV Raiders o43 -110 o26.5 +130 o25.5 -185 o25.5 -189 o32 0
LA Rams u43 -110 u26.5 -161 u25.5 +140 u25.5 +144 u32 0
Sun (12/11) @ 1:00pm ET PHI Eagles u44.5 -110 u55.5 -130 u51.5 -141 u44.5 -110 u44.5 -109 u55.5 -120 u62.5 -345
NY Giants o44.5 -110 o55.5 +100 o51.5 +110 o44.5 -110 o44.5 -112 o55.5 -108 o62.5 +280
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET JAX Jaguars o42 -110 o56.5 -115 o59.5 -120 o57.5 -106 o58.5 +185
TEN Titans u42 -110 u56.5 -115 u59.5 -110 u57.5 -122 u58.5 -227
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets u44.5 -110 u35.5 -135 u31.5 -115 u35.5 -145 u35 -115
BUF Bills o44.5 -110 o35.5 +105 o31.5 -115 o35.5 +110 o35 +100
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans u45 -110 u55.5 -115 u50.5 -2000 u49.5 +146 u50 0
DAL Cowboys o45 -110 o55.5 -115 o50.5 +825 o49.5 -192 o50 0
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns u49.5 -110 u35.5 -110 u37.5 -10000 u36.5 -128 u36.5 -110
CIN Bengals o49.5 -110 o35.5 -120 o37.5 +3300 o36.5 -102 o36.5 -105
Sun (12/11) @ 1:02pm ET MIN Vikings u52 -110 u53.5 +105 u57.5 -2500 u51.5 -154 u54.5 -208
DET Lions o52 -110 o53.5 -135 o57.5 +875 o51.5 +118 o54.5 +175
Sun (12/11) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens o38.5 -110 o29.5 -115 o30.5 +220 o26.5 -115 o26.5 -105
PIT Steelers u38.5 -110 u29.5 -115 u30.5 -303 u26.5 -114 u26.5 -110
Sun (12/11) @ 4:05pm ET KC Chiefs u42.5 -110 u68.5 +100 u68.5 +110 u43.5 -108 u68.5 +100 u69 -108
DEN Broncos o42.5 -110 o68.5 -130 o68.5 -141 o43.5 -114 o68.5 -130 o69 -108
Sun (12/11) @ 4:22pm ET CAR Panthers o43.5 -110 o50.5 -130 o46.5 -154 o44.0 -115 o47.5 +120 o47 +100
SEA Seahawks u43.5 -110 u50.5 +100 u46.5 +120 u44.0 -106 u47.5 -154 u47 -115
Sun (12/11) @ 4:25pm ET TB Buccaneers u37.5 -110 u48.5 +130 u42.5 -10000 u38.5 -109 u48.5 +114 u44.5 -108
SF 49ers o37.5 -110 o48.5 -161 o42.5 +3300 o38.5 -112 o48.5 -147 o44.5 -108
Sun (12/11) @ 8:23pm ET MIA Dolphins u51.5 -110 u41.5 +100 u46.5 +100 u54.5 -110 u44.5 -145 u42 -108
LA Chargers o51.5 -110 o41.5 -130 o46.5 -125 o54.5 -110 o44.5 +110 o42 -108
Mon (12/12) @ 8:15pm ET NE Patriots u43.5 -110 u47.5 -145 u42 -110 u43.5 -132 u40.5 -250
ARI Cardinals o43.5 -110 o47.5 +115 o42 -110 o43.5 +102 o40.5 +175

Power Brokers Shine in Week 13

The 9-3 Buffalo Bills, who regained the No. 1 seed in the AFC once the Cincinnati Bengals defeated the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, return to Buffalo after three wins away from home.

They have a rematch against the New York Jets, who beat them last month. The Bills rewarded the betting majority with their 24-10 triumph over the host New England Patriots at -3.5 on Thursday night. Buffalo is a 9.5-point favorite in Week 14, according to early betting lines.

The 11-1 Philadelphia Eagles, holding a vice grip atop the NFC’s top seed, begin a three-game road stretch at the New York Giants (who tied the Washington Commanders 20-20 on Sunday). Philly is -6.5 on most oddsboards.

Philadelphia’s 35-10 destruction of the Tennessee Titans Sunday was the highest output delivered against the Titans in 10 weeks. The Titans had been a hot pick by the bettors all week and took 58% of the DraftKings handle at +4.5.

The Dallas Cowboys, who would be leading most divisions, take a 9-3 second-place record into their home game against the Houston Texans. The ‘Boys put a 54-19 beatdown on the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday night, authoring a wild 33-point fourth quarter. They coasted to a cover at -10.5.

That helped them reward FanDuel bettors at +950 for Dallas to be the highest-scoring team and the Cowboys-Colts at +1300 to notch the highest-scoring game.

According to Caesars, the Cowboys are 9-0 SU and ATS in home games versus opponents with a losing record entering the game over the last two years.

They are 5-0 in such games this season, with an average victory margin 19 points.

Bettors will weigh that when the Cowboys host the one-win Texans as 17-point favorites.

They may also consider that the NFC East is 11-1 against the AFC South.

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Mr. Irrelevant and Next Man Up

Newcomer Brock Purdy may have solidified his job quarterbacking the San Francisco 49ers.

nfl week 14, brock purdy, bucs vs 49ers
Brock Purdy and the 49ers are early field-goal favorites vs. the Bucs in early NFL Week 14 betting (AP Photo/Lachlan Cunningham)

Only bettors who understood the NFL Draft’s Mr. Irrelevant story knew about Purdy before Sunday.

As Mr. Irrelevant, Purdy was the last player taken in the 2022 NFL Draft. The Niners took him at No. 262.

All he did Sunday was prove he could have been drafted higher. Purdy played with poise, helping the Niners thump the Miami Dolphins, 33-17. As the 8-4 Niners (-3) prepare for Tom Brady and Tampa Bay on Sunday, they ride a six-game win streak, including five covers.

Purdy made bettors say “Jimmy Who” in going 25-for 37 with two touchdowns in relief of Jimmy Garoppolo, who suffered a broken foot early in the game. Garoppolo is gone for the season, and Purdy looks capable of guiding this team. He is comfortable with the system.

And let the jokes begin: “I can’t believe he was there at 262…”

It will help Purdy that he can lean on Christian McCaffrey for 25 touches, as he did Sunday.

Against Miami, the Niners rewarded the gambling minority, as 35% of the DraftKings handle was on them at -4.5.

Betting takeaway: For one game at least, there was no dropoff from Garoppolo to Purdy, who became the first Mr. Irrelevant ever to throw a touchdown pass.

Miami, meanwhile, suffered its first loss in a game Tua Tagovailoa started and finished. The 8-4 Dolphins won’t face as tough a defense as this one when they visit the Los Angeles Chargers as 2.5-point favorites on Sunday night.

The Niners had not allowed any second-half points in four games before Tua hit Tyreek Hill on a big score early in the fourth quarter.

The Dolphins played well enough to win most weeks. This just wasn’t most weeks.

Tyler Huntley, the other sub in the hot seat, enables the 8-4 Baltimore Ravens to keep first place in the AFC North. He directed Baltimore to a sluggish 10-9 victory over the Denver Broncos.

The Broncos-Ravens paid +600 at FanDuel to be the lowest-scoring contest. Denver is a threat to pay this out every week.

The Ravens bailed themselves out by securing two 4th-down conversions with the game on the line in the final drive against Denver.

Baltimore came nowhere near covering -9 for the 68% of the DraftKings handle backing them.

Some Caesars bettors latched onto the nugget that Russell Wilson had been 4-1 against the spread when receiving at +7 or higher and played Denver. He made that stat 5-1 Sunday.

AFC North Matchups and Betting Lines in Week 14

Here’s a preview of the AFC North in Week 14, which has all four teams facing each other.

Ravens vs. Steelers (-2, 37.5)

Unlike Purdy, Huntley has been tested and has thrived. He spelled Lamar Jackson for stretches in the past and came in Sunday after Jackson was injured. Huntley can run nearly as well as Jackson and is probably a more accurate passer. He’s a small dropoff from Jackson, but the team can hold its own with him.

Huntley or Jackson will now face the rejuvenated Steelers, winners of two straight and finding an identity under rookie Kenny Pickett.

The Steelers enter off consecutive road victories over the Colts and Atlanta Falcons. Pittsburgh is 3-1 straight up and against the number in the last four weeks. The Steelers are playing like a team wants to turn the corner.

Browns vs. Bengals (-5, 48)

Two teams that registered the improbable meet in Cincinnati.

The Bengals did something in Week 13 no team has ever accomplished. They reached a win streak of three against Patrick Mahomes.

The Bengals captured an excellent 27-24 battle against the Kansas City Chiefs, staying even with the Ravens atop the division.

The return of Ja’Marr Chase, the continual growth of quarterback Joe Burrow, and a defense that made Mahomes uncomfortable forged a win for the Bengals.

This also was a big triumph for the minority. DraftKings reported that 82% of the handle was on Kansas City -2. And 78% of the handle was on the Over 52, which just missed.

At Caesars, the total of 53 points generated the most Over tickets (83%) and dollars wagered (89%) for any Week 13 game.

The Browns embodied “the defense never rests” phrase on steroids in beating the Houston Texans, 27-14.

The return of Deshaun Watson prompted DraftKings betting support of 59% at -8.

In one of the strangest games in many years, the Texans contained the Browns, but not themselves. Houston yielded a punt return touchdown, a fumble for a touchdown and an interception return for a score. That’s a tragic trifecta.

Cleveland did not score an offensive touchdown, yet covered -8. The Browns have won two straight but will find a Bengals team that does not figure to make those mistakes.

Cleveland won the first meeting of the season between the teams, 32-13.

Who’s Hot

Minnesota Magic

According to Caesars, the Minnesota Vikings have now won consecutive games when they have been favored, dating back to last season. That is the longest current streak in the NFL and the team’s longest since a 13-game spree spanning parts of the 1974 and 1975 seasons.

But Caesars bettors were not convinced this would be easy against the New York Jets. The Vikings at -3 attracted 63% of the spread bets, while the Jets collected 54% of the spread handle.

The Vikings nearly collapsed at the end before surviving 27-22.

After assuming a 27-15 fourth-quarter lead, the Vikings could not put the game away. They yielded a touchdown and nearly surrendered the game-winning score. The Jets had 2nd-and-goal at the 1 and were stopped on three plays with under two minutes to go. They nearly delivered the game-winning score on another drive before being picked at the goal line.

The Jets did not cover here but remain a strong dog with five outright wins when receiving points (5-4 SU and ATS) this year.

Detroit Keeps Rolling

The Lions, who host the Vikings in Week 14, are hot, hot, hot. They are 4-1 straight up and 5-0 against the spread in their recent tear.

This team has a solid offensive line, an excellent back in Jamaal Williams, and breakout wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who notched two more touchdowns in a 40-14 rout of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Hard to believe they were just1-point favorites.

PointsBet Patrons Secure Mixed Bag on Props

PointsBet dodged payouts on some of its heavy prop action, while bettors cashed in their share.
Most Bet Prop Plays (NFL Week 13 – Day Games)

1. Nick Chubb Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-180) was a win for the book
2. Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-150) was a win for the book.
3. A.J. Brown Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+120) was a win for the bettors
4. Jamaal Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-135) was cashed by the bettors
5. Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-150) was a win for the book

Updated prices: Super Bowl 57 odds

About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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