NFL Week 16 Betting First Glance: Takeaways from Wackiest Week Ever

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New power-broker scenarios embrace bettors after perhaps the wackiest week in league history, as they look ahead to the NFL Week 16 betting card.

The smoke clears from a menu that affected betting bankrolls with several high-impact moments.

They include:

  • The largest comeback in NFL history — 33 points by the Minnesota Vikings over the Indianapolis Colts.
  • Perhaps the dumbest play in NFL history, authored by the New England Patriots, a final-play backward lateral costing them a game against the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Seven games decided on the final play, two walk-off defensive touchdowns, and three overtime contests.

Gamblers never have it easy as they await Week 16.

Bettors eye a full Saturday slate and a three-game Christmas Day package. That is preceded by the Thursday night matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and host New York Jets.

NFL Week 16 Betting Lines

Here are point spreads, totals, and moneylines from top sportsbook apps for this week’s slate.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (12/21) @ 8:16pm ET NO Saints +165 +2500 +1850 +6000 +160 +3000 +1300
LA Rams -200 -10000 -10000 0 -200 0 -10000
Sat (12/23) @ 4:31pm ET CIN Bengals -141 +4000 +3300 +2500 -152 +1100 +2500
PIT Steelers +115 0 -10000 -10000 +125 -5000 -10000
Sat (12/23) @ 8:05pm ET BUF Bills -909 0 -1429 -1250 -1429 -1429
LA Chargers +600 +4000 +700 +670 +680 +700
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET IND Colts -125 +1800 +3300 +1200 +132 +1500 +8000
ATL Falcons +105 -5000 -10000 -5000 -159 -10000 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET DET Lions -185 -200 -400 -500 -147 -370 0
MIN Vikings +150 +154 +300 +350 +120 +265 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET SEA Seahawks -145 -2000 -3333 -345 -159 -1667 -1429
TEN Titans +120 +1000 +1050 +260 +132 +800 +850
Sun (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET WAS Commanders +135 -244 +110 +115 +132 +132 +160
NY Jets -161 +185 -145 -145 -159 -169 -227
Sun (12/24) @ 1:04pm ET CLE Browns +115 0 -10000 -3333 -10000 0
HOU Texans -141 +4000 +3300 +1100 +1700 +10000
Sun (12/24) @ 1:05pm ET GB Packers -208 -1111 -2000 -10000 -196 -5000 -1250
CAR Panthers +170 +650 +900 +2200 +160 +1400 +700
Sun (12/24) @ 4:06pm ET JAX Jaguars -135 +4000 +3300 +850 -128 +1300 +4000
TB Buccaneers +110 0 -10000 -1667 +104 -5000 0
Sun (12/24) @ 4:26pm ET ARI Cardinals +165 +2000 +3300 +900 +170 +3000 +9000
CHI Bears -200 -10000 -10000 -2000 -208 0 0
Sun (12/24) @ 4:26pm ET DAL Cowboys +105 +1800 +1400 +1800 +108 +2500 +1300
MIA Dolphins -125 -5000 -10000 -5000 -133 0 -3333
Sun (12/24) @ 8:17pm ET NE Patriots +200 0 -714 0 +265 0 0
DEN Broncos -250 +4000 +475 +3500 -345 +5500 0
Mon (12/25) @ 1:05pm ET LV Raiders +375 -3333 -10000 -10000 +425 0 -5000
KC Chiefs -500 +1400 +1500 +2200 -588 +2500 +1400
Mon (12/25) @ 4:35pm ET NY Giants +400 +2500 +1200 +1400 +1400 +2500
PHI Eagles -556 -10000 -5000 -5000 -5000 0
Mon (12/25) @ 8:16pm ET BAL Ravens +180 -5000 -10000 -2000 +230 0 -10000
SF 49ers -227 +1500 +1300 +900 -294 +3500 +1500
Thu (12/21) @ 8:16pm ET NO Saints +19.5 -115 +8.5 -526 +16.5 -227 +8.5 -238 +4.0 -110 +7.5 +500 +8.5 0
LA Rams -19.5 -115 -8.5 +360 -16.5 +165 -8.5 +185 -4.0 -110 -7.5 -909 -8.5 0
Sat (12/23) @ 4:31pm ET CIN Bengals +16.5 -115 +22.5 +290 +22.5 +300 +22.5 +320 -2.5 -114 +22.5 +415 +22.5 +230
PIT Steelers -16.5 -115 -22.5 -417 -22.5 -455 -22.5 -455 +2.5 -108 -22.5 -667 -22.5 -303
Sat (12/23) @ 8:05pm ET BUF Bills -13.5 -110 -2.5 +165 -2.5 +160 -4.5 -141 -4.5 -189 -2.0 0
LA Chargers +13.5 -110 +2.5 -213 +2.5 -208 +4.5 +110 +4.5 +142 +2.0 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET IND Colts -2.0 -110 +18.5 +325 +18.5 +525 +18.5 +500 +2.5 -103 +18.5 +245 +19.0 0
ATL Falcons +2.0 -110 -18.5 -476 -18.5 -1000 -18.5 -833 -2.5 -120 -18.5 -345 -19.0 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET DET Lions -3.0 -110 -6.5 +280 -6.5 +155 -6.5 +175 -3.0 -104 -8.5 -141 -6.5 +250
MIN Vikings +3.0 -110 +6.5 -400 +6.5 -208 +6.5 -222 +3.0 -118 +8.5 +108 +6.5 -345
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET SEA Seahawks -2.5 -110 +3.5 +260 -2.5 -2500 -2.5 -161 -3.0 -110 +3.5 +265 +4.0 0
TEN Titans +2.5 -110 -3.5 -357 +2.5 +825 +2.5 +125 +3.0 -110 -3.5 -385 -4.0 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET WAS Commanders +3.0 -110 +1.5 -105 +1.5 -115 +6.5 -189 +3.0 -118 +5.5 +165 -1.0 -105
NY Jets -3.0 -110 -1.5 -125 -1.5 -110 -6.5 +150 -3.0 -104 -5.5 -222 +1.0 -120
Sun (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns +2.5 -110 -11.5 -1111 -13.5 -1000 -15.0 +5000 -13.5 -909 -14.0 -149
HOU Texans -2.5 -110 +11.5 +650 +13.5 +550 +15.0 0 +13.5 +530 +14.0 +120
Sun (12/24) @ 1:05pm ET GB Packers -4.0 -110 -2.5 -370 -7.5 +155 -8.5 +180 -3.5 -112 -8.5 +175 -7.5 -175
CAR Panthers +4.0 -110 +2.5 +270 +7.5 -208 +8.5 -233 +3.5 -109 +8.5 -233 +7.5 +140
Sun (12/24) @ 4:06pm ET JAX Jaguars -2.0 -110 +18.5 -189 +18.5 -189 +18.0 +2500 -2.0 -110 +17.5 +320 +18.5 0
TB Buccaneers +2.0 -110 -18.5 +145 -18.5 +145 -18.0 -10000 +2.0 -110 -17.5 -476 -18.5 0
Sun (12/24) @ 4:26pm ET ARI Cardinals +4.5 -110 +10.5 +400 +10.5 +170 +10.5 +1100 +5.0 -118 +10.5 +325 +10.5 +120
CHI Bears -4.5 -110 -10.5 -625 -10.5 -227 -10.5 -3333 -5.0 -104 -10.5 -476 -10.5 -149
Sun (12/24) @ 4:26pm ET DAL Cowboys +1.5 -110 +2.5 +100 +2.5 -1429 +4.5 -115 +1.0 -106 +5.5 -108 +5.5 -120
MIA Dolphins -1.5 -110 -2.5 -130 -2.5 +650 -4.5 -115 -1.0 -115 -5.5 -120 -5.5 -105
Sun (12/24) @ 8:17pm ET NE Patriots +5.5 -110 -2.5 -120 -6.5 -141 -4.5 -125 +7.0 -104 -5.5 +102 -4.5 -120
DEN Broncos -5.5 -110 +2.5 -110 +6.5 +105 +4.5 -105 -7.0 -118 +5.5 -132 +4.5 -105
Mon (12/25) @ 1:05pm ET LV Raiders +10.0 -110 -6.5 +170 -6.5 +170 -12.5 -141 +11.0 -110 -11.5 -114 -10.0 -112
KC Chiefs -10.0 -110 +6.5 -222 +6.5 -227 +12.5 +110 -11.0 -110 +11.5 -114 +10.0 -112
Mon (12/25) @ 4:35pm ET NY Giants +10.5 -110 +12.5 -278 +11.5 +185 +12.5 -263 +11.5 +235 +11.5 +135
PHI Eagles -10.5 -110 -12.5 +210 -11.5 -250 -12.5 +200 -11.5 -333 -11.5 -169
Mon (12/25) @ 8:16pm ET BAL Ravens +5.0 -110 -12.5 -115 -7.5 +160 -7.5 +230 +6.5 -110 -9.5 -130 -10.5 -112
SF 49ers -5.0 -110 +12.5 -115 +7.5 -227 +7.5 -303 -6.5 -110 +9.5 +100 +10.5 -112
Thu (12/21) @ 8:16pm ET NO Saints u44.5 -110 u52.5 -200 u46.5 +105 u45.5 -110 u45.5 -114 u46.5 +100 u47.5 0
LA Rams o44.5 -110 o52.5 +154 o46.5 -141 o45.5 -110 o45.5 -108 o46.5 -130 o47.5 0
Sat (12/23) @ 4:31pm ET CIN Bengals o38.5 -110 o47.5 -135 o45.5 +400 o39.5 -110 o39.0 -109 o50.5 -122 o45.5 +220
PIT Steelers u38.5 -110 u47.5 +105 u45.5 -667 u39.5 -110 u39.0 -112 u50.5 -106 u45.5 -294
Sat (12/23) @ 8:05pm ET BUF Bills o42.5 -110 o44.5 -120 o44.5 +110 o43.5 -141 o48.5 0
LA Chargers u42.5 -110 u44.5 -110 u44.5 -145 u43.5 +108 u48.5 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET IND Colts u44.5 -115 u39.5 -125 u41.5 -110 u44 -110 u44.5 -110 u39.5 +126 u42.5 0
ATL Falcons o44.5 -105 o39.5 -105 o41.5 -120 o44 -110 o44.5 -110 o39.5 -164 o42.5 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET DET Lions o46.5 -115 o54.5 +170 o57.5 -145 o48 -110 o47.5 -112 o57.5 -132 o54.5 +165
MIN Vikings u46.5 -105 u54.5 -222 u57.5 +110 u48 -110 u47.5 -109 u57.5 +102 u54.5 -208
Sun (12/24) @ 1:01pm ET SEA Seahawks o42.5 -110 o30.5 -110 o39.5 +475 o42.5 -110 o42.0 -109 o32.5 -130 o30.5 0
TEN Titans u42.5 -110 u30.5 -120 u39.5 -833 u42.5 -110 u42.0 -112 u32.5 +100 u30.5 0
Sun (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET WAS Commanders u37.5 -105 u54.5 -125 u57.5 -105 u36 -110 u36.5 -109 u57.5 +108 u57.5 +120
NY Jets o37.5 -115 o54.5 -105 o57.5 -125 o36 -110 o36.5 -112 o57.5 -141 o57.5 -149
Sun (12/24) @ 1:05pm ET GB Packers u36.5 -110 u63.5 -208 u56.5 -125 u39.5 -110 u39.5 -110 u55.5 -139 u55.5 -130
CAR Panthers o36.5 -110 o63.5 +160 o56.5 -105 o39.5 -110 o39.5 -110 o55.5 +106 o55.5 +105
Sun (12/24) @ 4:06pm ET JAX Jaguars o45 -110 o42.5 +100 o41.5 -145 o43 -110 o43.5 -108 o43.5 -102 o44.5 0
TB Buccaneers u45 -110 u42.5 -130 u41.5 +110 u43 -110 u43.5 -114 u43.5 -128 u44.5 0
Sun (12/24) @ 4:26pm ET ARI Cardinals o44.5 -110 o40.5 -141 o40.5 -164 o42 -110 o42.5 -108 o41.5 +134 o43 0
CHI Bears u44.5 -110 u40.5 +110 u40.5 +125 u42 -110 u42.5 -114 u41.5 -175 u43 0
Sun (12/24) @ 4:26pm ET DAL Cowboys o51 -110 o41.5 -141 o42.5 +625 o48.5 -110 o48.5 -112 o39.5 -102 o40.5 -112
MIA Dolphins u51 -110 u41.5 +110 u42.5 -1250 u48.5 -110 u48.5 -109 u39.5 -128 u40.5 -112
Sun (12/24) @ 8:17pm ET NE Patriots u36.5 -110 u49.5 -278 u40.5 -130 u37.5 -110 u37.0 -110 u43.5 -102 u44 -120
DEN Broncos o36.5 -110 o49.5 +210 o40.5 +100 o37.5 -110 o37.0 -110 o43.5 -128 o44 -105
Mon (12/25) @ 1:05pm ET LV Raiders u43 -110 u34.5 -167 u33.5 -115 u40 -110 u40.5 -112 u33.5 -106 u33.5 +100
KC Chiefs o43 -110 o34.5 +130 o33.5 -115 o40 -110 o40.5 -109 o33.5 -122 o33.5 -125
Mon (12/25) @ 4:35pm ET NY Giants o43.5 -110 o50.5 -141 o50.5 -120 o50.5 -115 o54.5 -112
PHI Eagles u43.5 -110 u50.5 +110 u50.5 -110 u50.5 -114 u54.5 -112
Mon (12/25) @ 8:16pm ET BAL Ravens o45.5 -110 o58.5 -110 o56.5 -110 o47 -110 o47.0 -112 o58.5 -147 o58.5 -141
SF 49ers u45.5 -110 u58.5 -120 u56.5 -115 u47 -110 u47.0 -109 u58.5 +112 u58.5 +110

Some betting takeaways gamblers might play forward:

Bengals, Ravens Battle in AFC North

The 10-4 Cincinnati Bengals, who now own first place in the AFC South, try to hold position at New England against the shell-shocked Patriots. The 7-7 Pats committed one of the most horrific mistakes in league annals with a backward pass on the last play of a tie game, enabling the Las Vegas Raiders to gain a walk-off victory.

nfl week 16 betting, patriots raiders last play
Raiders’ Chandler Jones returns Jakobi Meyers’ ill-advised lateral for a touchdown to beat the Patriots (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

How the Patriots respond to the embarrassment will go a long way in determining this game.

The Bengals (-3.5 at New England on most oddsboards as of Monday) enter off of six straight covers. If they beat New England, it sets up a Week 18 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens, effectively for the AFC North title.

Cincinnati will scoreboard-watch the Ravens and Atlanta Falcons. Lamar Jackson may be back at quarterback for the Ravens. They lost 13-3 loss to the Cleveland Browns without him. And bettors who wagered on Justin Tucker cannot believe his two missed field goals.

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Eagles All But Clinch NFC East

The Philadelphia Eagles-Dallas Cowboys matchup has lost its urgency.

The 10-4 Cowboys won’t catch the 13-1 Philadelphia Eagles, who overcame a sub-par performance and the magic of quarterback Justin Fields to gain a non-covering, 30-25 triumph over the Chicago Bears at -8.5.

Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy helped enable this situation by doing something erratic. He opted for a bomb with 56 seconds left while Dallas nursed a 34-31 lead over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The incompletion allowed Jacksonville to keep its final timeout, which was used to stop the clock and set up a game-tying field goal on the final play.

A freak deflection and walk-off score for Jacksonville followed. McCarthy not only caught heat from the media, but caused unhappiness from gamblers who had the Dallas moneyline linked to parlays.

Jalen Hurts takes matters into his own hands for the Eagles when necessary. He tallied all three of the team’s touchdowns on Sunday. The last time they struggled on the road, he scored the game-winning score in a 17-16 triumph over the Indianapolis Colts.

Meanwhile, Fields became the first quarterback since 1950 to rush for more than 70 yards five games in a row. He will remain a magician and prop-betting machine for gamblers, who will see if he can make it six against the visiting Buffalo Bills

A Moneyline Parlay That Helps Get Lions Into NFL Playoffs

Bettors keep riding the Detroit Lions gravy train. They lead the NFL with seven straight covers after surviving 20-17 against the New York Jets. Detroit also hit the Over 6.5 win total at most sportsbooks, rewarding bettors who backed them before the season.

The Lions are right in the playoff picture as they visit the Carolina Panthers as 3-point road favorites. They are tied with the 7-7 Seattle Seahawks for the last outside-looking-in spot and could be a playoff team by this time next week. Detroit trails the 7-6-1 Washington Commanders by half a game for the last position.

Seattle (+10) visits the Kansas City Chiefs, the Giants (+4) invade the Minnesota Vikings, and the Commanders (+7) visit the San Francisco 49ers. All three teams could lose, making the Lions a playoff team if they win.

The four developments would pay +320 at DraftKings in a moneyline parlay.

Figure out potential winnings: Parlay Calculator

Get-Right Time for Dolphins?

The 8-6 Miami Dolphins could be headed for “get-right” territory after three consecutive road losses. The last loss was a classic, a covering 32-29 setback against the Buffalo Bills at +7.5.

Miami (-4.5) hosts the Green Bay Packers as a deserved favorite in a Christmas Day game that sits right for them. Miami has played much better than the three losses would indicate. The Bills tallied the game-winning field goal on the final play. Miami could be due for a breakout.

Steelers Trending Up

The Pittsburgh Steelers, who are 2-point favorites when they host the Las Vegas Raiders on the 50th-anniversary celebration of the Immaculate Reception, face a rival that just obtained a miracle of its own. Both teams are 6-8 and come off victories.

Bettors are picking up one reason for Pittsburgh’s second-half improvement.

In the four weeks leading to Sunday’s 24-16 triumph over the Carolina Panthers, the Steelers were the third-best NFL team converting on third down.

That perception went on steroids in Charlotte.

The Steelers converted an astounding 12 of 16 for the game, and five of them on a drive for the ages to start the third quarter.

The Steelers slowly marched 91 yards in 21 plays, chewing up more than 11 minutes of the third-quarter clock. They converted five third downs on the drive, including a 3rd-and-10 deep in their territory. Line blocking was superb. Pittsburgh demoralized Carolina with the long drive.

This type of formula may enable them to finish the season strongly.

Chiefs Face Big Point Spreads

The Kansas City Chiefs, who struggled for a non-covering 30-24 overtime triumph over the Houston Texans, continue to face heavy point-spread lifting. The Chiefs were unable to cover a mountainous -14.5.

According to Caesars Sportsbook, road teams laying 14 or more points have now failed to cover seven consecutive times.

The Chiefs were -14.5 at Houston, their largest spread as road favorites since Sept. 21, 1969, at the Boston Patriots (-20, won 31-0), according to the book.

Bettors were divided, with 51% of the Caesars tickets and handle on the Texans.

In Week 16, the Chiefs (-10) face the scuffling Seahawks, who may soon need a life preserver. At 7-7, Seattle is leaking oil and has not covered in five weeks. Gamblers who have jumped on that trend have been banking the angle.

DraftKings Betting Recaps

Where the Public Nailed It: 94% of the money at DraftKings was on the New Orleans Saints-Atlanta Falcons game to go Under 43.5. It did, with New Orleans winning 21-18, and Atlanta covering +4.5.

Where the Slick Contrarians Prevailed: Only 15% of the moneyline handle of was on +180 for the Jaguars, who came from 27-10 down to topple the Dallas Cowboys 40-34 in overtime.

Thrill Ride That Almost Paid: Only 6% of the moneyline handle was on Houston +625 against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Texans took it all the way to overtime.

FanDuel Nuggets

For the second time this year, the Jags paid big bucks to rank as the highest-scoring team on Sunday. Jacksonville returned a hefty +2200 to FanDuel gamblers who took them to lead the circuit. Back in Week 3, Jacksonville paid a whopping +5000 — the longest shot on the board –for its 38-10 pounding of the Los Angeles Chargers.

Books were less surprised with the Jags-Cowboys rolling up big digits. The event paid +600 as the highest-scoring game.

The Chargers and Titans paid +1200 as the low game, after the Chargers eked out a 17-14 win.

Washington also paid a sizable +2600 to be the lowest-scoring team, 12 points vs. the Giants in primetime. The gamblers who had it had to sweat out a late Washington touchdown negated by penalty.

Barkley Headlines PointsBet Payouts

Giants back Saquon Barkley generated the most handle at +130 to score against the Washington Commanders, and he delivered.
Gamblers hit two other nice props at PointsBet:

Daniel Jones to surpass 30.5 rushing yards was -110. The Giants quarterback reached 35 yards.

Washington receiver Terry McLaurin had a prop of 60.5 yards at -115 for the Over. He obtained 70 yards and bettors pocketed the ticket.

Updated numbers: Super Bowl 57 odds | NFL MVP odds

About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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