NFL Week 16 Betting First Glance: Takeaways from Wackiest Week Ever

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New power-broker scenarios embrace bettors after perhaps the wackiest week in league history, as they look ahead to the NFL Week 16 betting card.

The smoke clears from a menu that affected betting bankrolls with several high-impact moments.

They include:

  • The largest comeback in NFL history — 33 points by the Minnesota Vikings over the Indianapolis Colts.
  • Perhaps the dumbest play in NFL history, authored by the New England Patriots, a final-play backward lateral costing them a game against the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Seven games decided on the final play, two walk-off defensive touchdowns, and three overtime contests.

Gamblers never have it easy as they await Week 16.

Bettors eye a full Saturday slate and a three-game Christmas Day package. That is preceded by the Thursday night matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and host New York Jets.

NFL Week 16 Betting Lines

Here are point spreads, totals, and moneylines from top sportsbook apps for this week’s slate.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (12/22) @ 8:16pm ET JAX Jaguars -105 -1667 -1000 -833 -3333 -10000
NY Jets -115 +900 +550 +525 +1060 +3000
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET SEA Seahawks +350 +1700 +3300 +1400 +385 +1700 +1500
KC Chiefs -455 -10000 -10000 -5000 -476 -10000 -10000
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET NY Giants +165 +220 +3300 +210 +185 +180 -105
MIN Vikings -200 -278 -10000 -263 -213 -233 -115
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET CIN Bengals -208 -115 -10000 +155 -167 +134 +145
NE Patriots +170 -115 +3300 -189 +147 -172 -175
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET ATL Falcons +240 +2500 +2500 +900 +3500 +4000
BAL Ravens -303 0 -10000 -1667 0 0
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints +150 -1429 -345 -5000 -588 -556
CLE Browns -185 +800 +250 +2000 +390 +400
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET BUF Bills -370 0 -10000 -1667 0 0
CHI Bears +300 +2500 +3300 +850 +3000 +4500
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions -161 +900 +3300 +1000 +1500 0
CAR Panthers +135 -1667 -10000 -2000 -10000 0
Sat (12/24) @ 2:01pm ET HOU Texans +260 -5000 -3333 0 0 -5000
TEN Titans -345 +1400 +1000 +4500 +2200 +1700
Sat (12/24) @ 4:05pm ET WAS Commanders +275 +1700 +1150 +475 +240 +1700 +3500
SF 49ers -345 -10000 -5000 -714 -278 -10000 -10000
Sat (12/24) @ 4:25pm ET PHI Eagles +100 +310 +250 +400 +175 +470 +450
DAL Cowboys -120 -417 -345 -556 -200 -769 -625
Sat (12/24) @ 8:16pm ET LV Raiders +110 +600 +900 +5000 +1000 +700
PIT Steelers -135 -909 -2000 0 -3333 -1429
Sun (12/25) @ 1:02pm ET GB Packers +165 -233 -250 -233 +162 -244 -417
MIA Dolphins -200 +185 +190 +185 -185 +186 +330
Sun (12/25) @ 4:36pm ET DEN Broncos -110 +2000 +1450 +1400 +2000 +9000
LA Rams -110 -10000 -10000 -5000 0 0
Sun (12/25) @ 8:23pm ET TB Buccaneers -189 -5000 -5000 -5000 -345 -10000 -1000
ARI Cardinals +155 +1400 +1400 +1400 +290 +1500 +550
Mon (12/26) @ 8:15pm ET LA Chargers -164 -1667 -10000 -1667 -3333 -2000
IND Colts +135 +900 +3300 +900 +1060 +1100
Thu (12/22) @ 8:16pm ET JAX Jaguars +1.0 -115 -15.5 -476 -15.5 -10000 -16.0 -110 -15.5 -455 -16.0 +190
NY Jets -1.0 -105 +15.5 +350 +15.5 +1900 +16.0 -120 +15.5 +305 +16.0 -238
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET SEA Seahawks +10.0 -110 +13.5 +1300 +13.5 +675 +13.5 +625 +10.0 -109 +20.5 -106 +14.0 -250
KC Chiefs -10.0 -110 -13.5 -5000 -13.5 -1429 -13.5 -1000 -10.0 -112 -20.5 -122 -14.0 +210
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET NY Giants +3.5 -110 +3.5 -110 +2.5 +100 +3.5 -125 +5.0 -114 +3.5 -114 +3.5 +110
MIN Vikings -3.5 -110 -3.5 -120 -2.5 -130 -3.5 -105 -5.0 -108 -3.5 -114 -3.5 -125
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET CIN Bengals -4.0 -110 -8.5 -115 -7.5 +110 +2.5 +100 -3.0 -114 -7.5 +100 -4.0 0
NE Patriots +4.0 -110 +8.5 -115 +7.5 -145 -2.5 -130 +3.0 -108 +7.5 -130 +4.0 0
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET ATL Falcons +7.0 -115 +10.5 +115 +8.5 -909 +7.5 +525 +10.5 +148 +10.5 +105
BAL Ravens -7.0 -105 -10.5 -145 -8.5 +525 -7.5 -833 -10.5 -196 -10.5 -120
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints +3.5 -115 -7.5 +115 -6.5 -278 -7.0 +700 -7.5 -102 -7.5 +140
CLE Browns -3.5 -105 +7.5 -145 +6.5 +200 +7.0 -1250 +7.5 -128 +7.5 -169
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET BUF Bills -9.5 -105 -14.5 -303 -15.5 -130 -15.5 +150 -15.5 +138 -15.0 +110
CHI Bears +9.5 -115 +14.5 +240 +15.5 +100 +15.5 -179 +15.5 -182 +15.0 -130
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions -3.0 -110 +16.5 +290 +15.5 +125 +16.5 +700 +16.5 +290 +16.5 +145
CAR Panthers +3.0 -110 -16.5 -385 -15.5 -164 -16.5 -1250 -16.5 -417 -16.5 -175
Sat (12/24) @ 2:01pm ET HOU Texans +7.0 -110 +1.5 -135 -4.5 -345 +1.5 -120 +4.5 -147 -4.5 -323
TEN Titans -7.0 -110 -1.5 +105 +4.5 +240 -1.5 -110 -4.5 +114 +4.5 +250
Sat (12/24) @ 4:05pm ET WAS Commanders +7.5 -110 +16.5 +800 +16.5 +850 +16.5 +420 +6.5 -109 +17.5 -3333 +17.0 -238
SF 49ers -7.5 -110 -16.5 -1429 -16.5 -2500 -16.5 -588 -6.5 -112 -17.5 +980 -17.0 +200
Sat (12/24) @ 4:25pm ET PHI Eagles +1.5 -110 -2.5 -145 -3.5 +125 +1.5 -110 +4.0 -109 -1.5 -114 +1.5 -110
DAL Cowboys -1.5 -110 +2.5 +115 +3.5 -161 -1.5 -120 -4.0 -112 +1.5 -114 -1.5 -105
Sat (12/24) @ 8:16pm ET LV Raiders +2.5 -110 -3.5 -161 -3.5 -185 -3.5 -169 -3.5 -179 -3.5 -189
PIT Steelers -2.5 -110 +3.5 +130 +3.5 +140 +3.5 +140 +3.5 +136 +3.5 +160
Sun (12/25) @ 1:02pm ET GB Packers +4.5 -110 -1.5 -105 -2.5 -110 -1.5 -120 +3.5 -118 -2.5 -118 -5.5 0
MIA Dolphins -4.5 -110 +1.5 -125 +2.5 -120 +1.5 -110 -3.5 -104 +2.5 -110 +5.5 0
Sun (12/25) @ 4:36pm ET DEN Broncos -1.0 -105 +29.5 -110 +35.5 +375 +37.0 -556 +35.5 +168 +36.5 +165
LA Rams +1.0 -115 -29.5 -120 -35.5 -588 -37.0 +400 -35.5 -227 -36.5 -200
Sun (12/25) @ 8:23pm ET TB Buccaneers -3.5 -110 -2.5 -135 +2.5 +125 +5.5 -110 -7.5 -110 +6.5 -122 +3.0 0
ARI Cardinals +3.5 -110 +2.5 +105 -2.5 -161 -5.5 -120 +7.5 -110 -6.5 -106 -3.0 0
Mon (12/26) @ 8:15pm ET LA Chargers -3.0 -110 -16.5 -1250 -16.5 -2000 -17.0 -400 -16.5 -1000 -17.0 -149
IND Colts +3.0 -110 +16.5 +700 +16.5 +825 +17.0 +300 +16.5 +550 +17.0 +130
Thu (12/22) @ 8:16pm ET JAX Jaguars o39.5 -110 o22.5 +130 o29.5 +105 o22.5 +118 o23.5 +175
NY Jets u39.5 -110 u22.5 -161 u29.5 -135 u22.5 -154 u23.5 -208
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET SEA Seahawks u49.5 -110 u27.5 -145 u35.5 -1000 u48.5 -110 u49.5 -110 u27.5 -135 u28.5 -169
KC Chiefs o49.5 -110 o27.5 +115 o35.5 +575 o48.5 -110 o49.5 -110 o27.5 +104 o28.5 +140
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET NY Giants u47.5 -110 u37.5 -120 u39.5 -105 u48 -110 u48.0 -108 u38.5 -114 u37 +110
MIN Vikings o47.5 -110 o37.5 -110 o39.5 -120 o48 -110 o48.0 -114 o38.5 -114 o37 -125
Sat (12/24) @ 1:00pm ET CIN Bengals o39.5 -110 o40.5 -105 o40.5 -154 o41.5 -110 o41.5 -110 o40.5 -152 o43.5 0
NE Patriots u39.5 -110 u40.5 -125 u40.5 +120 u41.5 -110 u41.5 -110 u40.5 +116 u43.5 0
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET ATL Falcons o40.5 -110 o25.5 -135 o26.5 +625 o26.5 +134 o26 -120
BAL Ravens u40.5 -110 u25.5 +105 u26.5 -1250 u26.5 -175 u26 +105
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints u35.5 -110 u32.5 +100 u30.5 -115 u33.5 -154 u32.5 +100
CLE Browns o35.5 -110 o32.5 -130 o30.5 -115 o33.5 +118 o32.5 -115
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET BUF Bills o42.5 -110 o40.5 -141 o41.5 -185 o40.5 -114 o41.5 +175
CHI Bears u42.5 -110 u40.5 +110 u41.5 +140 u40.5 -114 u41.5 -208
Sat (12/24) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions u43.5 -105 u54.5 -145 u58.5 -400 u59.5 -102 u57 +115
CAR Panthers o43.5 -115 o54.5 +115 o58.5 +280 o59.5 -128 o57 -135
Sat (12/24) @ 2:01pm ET HOU Texans o40.5 -110 o32.5 -125 o33.5 +210 o30.5 -114 o33.5 +200
TEN Titans u40.5 -110 u32.5 -105 u33.5 -278 u30.5 -115 u33.5 -250
Sat (12/24) @ 4:05pm ET WAS Commanders u39.5 -110 u50.5 -141 u50.5 -105 u37.5 -109 u50.5 -130 u53.5 -141
SF 49ers o39.5 -110 o50.5 +110 o50.5 -125 o37.5 -112 o50.5 +100 o53.5 +120
Sat (12/24) @ 4:25pm ET PHI Eagles u50.5 -110 u74.5 -105 u70.5 -115 u48.0 -114 u74.5 -122 u74.5 +105
DAL Cowboys o50.5 -110 o74.5 -125 o70.5 -115 o48.0 -108 o74.5 -106 o74.5 -120
Sat (12/24) @ 8:16pm ET LV Raiders o40.5 -110 o19.5 -105 o20.5 +100 o19.5 -106 o19 +100
PIT Steelers u40.5 -110 u19.5 -125 u20.5 -130 u19.5 -122 u19 -115
Sun (12/25) @ 1:02pm ET GB Packers o46.5 -110 o49.5 -130 o53.5 +100 o49.5 -110 o49.5 -109 o53.5 +102 o50 0
MIA Dolphins u46.5 -110 u49.5 +100 u53.5 -125 u49.5 -110 u49.5 -112 u53.5 -132 u50 0
Sun (12/25) @ 4:36pm ET DEN Broncos o35.5 -110 o58.5 +125 o60.5 -115 o53.5 -145 o65.5 +140
LA Rams u35.5 -110 u58.5 -154 u60.5 -115 u53.5 +110 u65.5 -169
Sun (12/25) @ 8:23pm ET TB Buccaneers u40.5 -110 u31.5 -115 u35.5 -154 u42.0 -109 u31.5 -108 u35 0
ARI Cardinals o40.5 -110 o31.5 -115 o35.5 +120 o42.0 -112 o31.5 -120 o35 0
Mon (12/26) @ 8:15pm ET LA Chargers u47.5 -110 u26.5 -154 u24.5 -130 u29.5 -118 u24.5 -169
IND Colts o47.5 -110 o26.5 +125 o24.5 +100 o29.5 -110 o24.5 +140

Some betting takeaways gamblers might play forward:

Bengals, Ravens Battle in AFC North

The 10-4 Cincinnati Bengals, who now own first place in the AFC South, try to hold position at New England against the shell-shocked Patriots. The 7-7 Pats committed one of the most horrific mistakes in league annals with a backward pass on the last play of a tie game, enabling the Las Vegas Raiders to gain a walk-off victory.

nfl week 16 betting, patriots raiders last play
Raiders’ Chandler Jones returns Jakobi Meyers’ ill-advised lateral for a touchdown to beat the Patriots (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

How the Patriots respond to the embarrassment will go a long way in determining this game.

The Bengals (-3.5 at New England on most oddsboards as of Monday) enter off of six straight covers. If they beat New England, it sets up a Week 18 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens, effectively for the AFC North title.

Cincinnati will scoreboard-watch the Ravens and Atlanta Falcons. Lamar Jackson may be back at quarterback for the Ravens. They lost 13-3 loss to the Cleveland Browns without him. And bettors who wagered on Justin Tucker cannot believe his two missed field goals.

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Eagles All But Clinch NFC East

The Philadelphia Eagles-Dallas Cowboys matchup has lost its urgency.

The 10-4 Cowboys won’t catch the 13-1 Philadelphia Eagles, who overcame a sub-par performance and the magic of quarterback Justin Fields to gain a non-covering, 30-25 triumph over the Chicago Bears at -8.5.

Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy helped enable this situation by doing something erratic. He opted for a bomb with 56 seconds left while Dallas nursed a 34-31 lead over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The incompletion allowed Jacksonville to keep its final timeout, which was used to stop the clock and set up a game-tying field goal on the final play.

A freak deflection and walk-off score for Jacksonville followed. McCarthy not only caught heat from the media, but caused unhappiness from gamblers who had the Dallas moneyline linked to parlays.

Jalen Hurts takes matters into his own hands for the Eagles when necessary. He tallied all three of the team’s touchdowns on Sunday. The last time they struggled on the road, he scored the game-winning score in a 17-16 triumph over the Indianapolis Colts.

Meanwhile, Fields became the first quarterback since 1950 to rush for more than 70 yards five games in a row. He will remain a magician and prop-betting machine for gamblers, who will see if he can make it six against the visiting Buffalo Bills

A Moneyline Parlay That Helps Get Lions Into NFL Playoffs

Bettors keep riding the Detroit Lions gravy train. They lead the NFL with seven straight covers after surviving 20-17 against the New York Jets. Detroit also hit the Over 6.5 win total at most sportsbooks, rewarding bettors who backed them before the season.

The Lions are right in the playoff picture as they visit the Carolina Panthers as 3-point road favorites. They are tied with the 7-7 Seattle Seahawks for the last outside-looking-in spot and could be a playoff team by this time next week. Detroit trails the 7-6-1 Washington Commanders by half a game for the last position.

Seattle (+10) visits the Kansas City Chiefs, the Giants (+4) invade the Minnesota Vikings, and the Commanders (+7) visit the San Francisco 49ers. All three teams could lose, making the Lions a playoff team if they win.

The four developments would pay +320 at DraftKings in a moneyline parlay.

Figure out potential winnings: Parlay Calculator

Get-Right Time for Dolphins?

The 8-6 Miami Dolphins could be headed for “get-right” territory after three consecutive road losses. The last loss was a classic, a covering 32-29 setback against the Buffalo Bills at +7.5.

Miami (-4.5) hosts the Green Bay Packers as a deserved favorite in a Christmas Day game that sits right for them. Miami has played much better than the three losses would indicate. The Bills tallied the game-winning field goal on the final play. Miami could be due for a breakout.

Steelers Trending Up

The Pittsburgh Steelers, who are 2-point favorites when they host the Las Vegas Raiders on the 50th-anniversary celebration of the Immaculate Reception, face a rival that just obtained a miracle of its own. Both teams are 6-8 and come off victories.

Bettors are picking up one reason for Pittsburgh’s second-half improvement.

In the four weeks leading to Sunday’s 24-16 triumph over the Carolina Panthers, the Steelers were the third-best NFL team converting on third down.

That perception went on steroids in Charlotte.

The Steelers converted an astounding 12 of 16 for the game, and five of them on a drive for the ages to start the third quarter.

The Steelers slowly marched 91 yards in 21 plays, chewing up more than 11 minutes of the third-quarter clock. They converted five third downs on the drive, including a 3rd-and-10 deep in their territory. Line blocking was superb. Pittsburgh demoralized Carolina with the long drive.

This type of formula may enable them to finish the season strongly.

Chiefs Face Big Point Spreads

The Kansas City Chiefs, who struggled for a non-covering 30-24 overtime triumph over the Houston Texans, continue to face heavy point-spread lifting. The Chiefs were unable to cover a mountainous -14.5.

According to Caesars Sportsbook, road teams laying 14 or more points have now failed to cover seven consecutive times.

The Chiefs were -14.5 at Houston, their largest spread as road favorites since Sept. 21, 1969, at the Boston Patriots (-20, won 31-0), according to the book.

Bettors were divided, with 51% of the Caesars tickets and handle on the Texans.

In Week 16, the Chiefs (-10) face the scuffling Seahawks, who may soon need a life preserver. At 7-7, Seattle is leaking oil and has not covered in five weeks. Gamblers who have jumped on that trend have been banking the angle.

DraftKings Betting Recaps

Where the Public Nailed It: 94% of the money at DraftKings was on the New Orleans Saints-Atlanta Falcons game to go Under 43.5. It did, with New Orleans winning 21-18, and Atlanta covering +4.5.

Where the Slick Contrarians Prevailed: Only 15% of the moneyline handle of was on +180 for the Jaguars, who came from 27-10 down to topple the Dallas Cowboys 40-34 in overtime.

Thrill Ride That Almost Paid: Only 6% of the moneyline handle was on Houston +625 against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Texans took it all the way to overtime.

FanDuel Nuggets

For the second time this year, the Jags paid big bucks to rank as the highest-scoring team on Sunday. Jacksonville returned a hefty +2200 to FanDuel gamblers who took them to lead the circuit. Back in Week 3, Jacksonville paid a whopping +5000 — the longest shot on the board –for its 38-10 pounding of the Los Angeles Chargers.

Books were less surprised with the Jags-Cowboys rolling up big digits. The event paid +600 as the highest-scoring game.

The Chargers and Titans paid +1200 as the low game, after the Chargers eked out a 17-14 win.

Washington also paid a sizable +2600 to be the lowest-scoring team, 12 points vs. the Giants in primetime. The gamblers who had it had to sweat out a late Washington touchdown negated by penalty.

Barkley Headlines PointsBet Payouts

Giants back Saquon Barkley generated the most handle at +130 to score against the Washington Commanders, and he delivered.
Gamblers hit two other nice props at PointsBet:

Daniel Jones to surpass 30.5 rushing yards was -110. The Giants quarterback reached 35 yards.

Washington receiver Terry McLaurin had a prop of 60.5 yards at -115 for the Over. He obtained 70 yards and bettors pocketed the ticket.

Updated numbers: Super Bowl 57 odds | NFL MVP odds

About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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