NFL Week 16 Player Props & Anytime TD Scorer Bets: Kelce Finds the End Zone on Christmas Weekend

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Bettors couldn’t contain themselves after last week’s circus-esque slate of NFL games, but the fun doesn’t stop there. Week 16 of the 2022 NFL regular season is now on deck, which means there’s a whole new set of player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets that fans can have fun with.

Read on to learn why Travis Kelce will add another touchdown to his 2022 collection, and why the San Francisco 49ers will give Brian Robinson a warm rookie welcome.

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Player Props & TD Scorer Bets for NFL Week 16

Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer (-119, Caesars)

To NFL fans, Travis Kelce has been the most consistent and dominant tight end of the past decade, but to wagerers, he’s one of the most trustable go-to picks for an anytime TD scorer.

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) headlines our list of player props and TD scorer bets for Week 16 of the 2022-23 NFL regular season. (AP Photo/Jayne Kamin-Oncea)

The league’s most productive tight end has scored in seven of his 14 outings, and has racked up an NFL-most 12 receiving touchdowns on the season.

The chemistry between Mahomes and Kelce is the strongest in the league, and after connecting on 10 passes for a buck five against the Houston Texans last week, there’s nothing stopping this dynamic duo from continuing to wreak havoc in Week 16.

The Seahawks’ pass defense has been mediocre at best, though they’ve had zero answer for how to prevent tight ends from scoring. Seattle gives up the third most touchdowns to players at the position (0.6 per game). The 49ers’ George Kittle just logged a pair of touchdowns against the Seahawks last week.

Kelce’s “anytime TD scorer” prop ranges pretty widely between sportsbooks, but Caesars offers the best price at -119.

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Brian Robinson Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115, DraftKings)

Brian Robinson has put together a miraculous run this season, though in Week 16, the San Francisco 49ers are going to give the rookie a classic “Welcome to the NFL” moment.

The Niners’ rush defense rank is solidified as the best in the NFL, but it’s been even scarier at home. San Francisco ranks first in rushing yards per game (60.1), yards per attempt (3.6), rush attempt per game (16.9) at Levi’s Stadium.

What is more, the 49ers have been blowing opponents out of the water lately, which has caused opponents to abandon the run in the second half of games. Since Week 6, only one player (Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Rachaad White with 56) has logged 50-plus yards on the ground against San Fran’s impenetrable Front Seven.

Being that the Commanders are seven-point underdogs this week, it’s very possible we see the Commanders fall behind and phase Robinson out of the game.

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Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+150, BetMGM & PointsBet)

Despite not having another reliable target outside of Davante Adams this season, Carr has still established a fairly high floor in the touchdown department. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 10 of his 14 outings.

Getting plus-money odds on a stat that occurs over 70% of the time is a gift, but getting it against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that allows the fourth most passing touchdowns (1.8 per game) is a blessing from a god.

Against the New England Patriots last week, Carr logged three passing touchdowns for the first time all year, and it’s not a coincidence that it happened in Darren Waller’s first game back from a nearly two-month injury. The former Pro Bowl tight end’s return gives Carr a much-needed second option for passing inside the end zone.

Also read: Raiders vs. Steelers Odds, Injuries, Prediction

Davante Adams Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-111, Caesars) | Anytime TD Scorer (+170, FanDuel & PointsBet)

We now move on to Carr’s best friend on and off the field. Adams, who has been struggling as of late, gets a chance to get back into the scoring column against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that welcomes touchdowns through the air. Pittsburgh also gives up the fifth most receiving yards to wide receivers (175.3).

Before last week’s stinker (four catches, 28 yards, zero scores), the Raiders’ top receiver had topped his Week 15 receiving prop total in six straight contests, averaging 122.5 yards and logging seven total touchdowns over that span.

On the season, Adams is averaging 91.1 receiving yards per game, and has scored in 8 of his 14 games for a total of 12 touchdowns.

Also read: NFL Week 16 Betting Trends | NFL Week 16 Betting Picks & Predictions

About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Sports Betting Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports writer. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing sports. Check out his Twitter account (@CyrusEshaghoff).

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