The longest regular season in NFL history comes to an end Sunday. There is no Monday Night Football game in Week 18. The last regular-season game of the year is Chargers vs. Raiders in Las Vegas on Sunday night in a “loser leaves town” match. Several teams, however, will elect to rest their starters this with week, making Week 18 player props even trickier than usual.
There will be opportunities for players who usually don’t play a lot of snaps to put up big stats. Be sure to check out game reports of who might sit Sunday and who may get significant playing time.
For instance, Packers coach Matt LaFleur said he wants to play his starters against the Lions. Aaron Rodgers may play a quarter or two, but do not touch his player props. Expect Jordan Love to get the bulk of the playing time at quarterback.
While we look forward to Wild Card Weekend, we encourage you to tread lightly with the Week 18 player props and touchdown scorers we offer here. The final week of the regular season is always a tough one to handicap.
NFL Week 18 Player Props
Trevor Lawrence Over 13.5 Rushing Yards -114 (FanDuel) | Under 37.5 Pass Attempts -110 (DraftKings)
A staple here at my Gaming Today player props. Trevor Lawrence has been a darling of ours for weeks. However, his projected pass attempts have skyrocketed. The Jaguars won’t have the ball that often, thanks to Jonathan Taylor running wild on the Jacksonville defense. If the Jaguars run 46 plays again like they did last week, Lawrence will stay ‘under’ the 37.5 attempts. The Jaguars are 29th in total plays run.
Jonathan Taylor Over 21.5 Rush Attempts -110 (DraftKings)
The Jaguars defense can’t stop anyone. The only way this number stays ‘under’ is if Taylor just can’t get tackled. Taylor has surpassed 21.5 attempts three of his last four games, and the Colts need this game in order to make the playoffs.
Chase Claypool Under 60.5 Receiving Yards -115 (PointsBet)
Is Ben Roethlisberger capable of beating a weak Ravens secondary? Probably not. Chase Claypool’s last three games have been paltry with just 17 yards, 41 yards, and 12 yards. Roethlisberger looks done, and this number is way too big.
Laviska Shenault Under 35.5 Receiving Yards -135 (PointsBet)
Piggy-backing off of the Trevor Lawrence props, Shenault is the No. 2 receiver for the Jaguars, clearly behind Marvin Jones Jr. The Colts defense is back at full health with Darius Leonard returning last week. The Jaguars are a complete disaster, and Lawrence has digressed dramatically.
Week 18 TD Scorer Props
Damian Harris Anytime Touchdown Scorer +115 | 2+ TDs +650 (BetRivers)
Big shoutout to BetRivers for bringing the value again this week on TD scorer props. The ‘anytime scorer’ odds for Harris are -130 at most other sportsbooks, so jump on this line before it’s gone!
Mike Davis Anytime TD Scorer +280 (FanDuel)
Much to my chagrin, Arthur Smith has been managing Cordarrelle Patterson’s touches most of the second half. This has given Mike Davis a surprise role in the offense. Last week, he vultured a touchdown from the 1-yard line from Patterson. The Falcons could opt to sit Patterson most of this game since they are not playing for anything.
Breshad Perriman 2+ TD’s +5000 (BetRivers)
One last longshot to end the regular season. Breshad Perriman has the speed, talent, and size to do anything on a football field. He is mostly buried on the depth chart but had a five-game stretch in 2019 where he averaged over 100 yards per game and scored five touchdowns. Taking a stab here, worth a small bet with the Bucs thinned out at wide receiver.