All four NFC West teams impressed in season-opening wins Sunday, raising the betting market’s expectations ahead of their Week 2 matchups.
The Matt Stafford era in Los Angeles is off to a fast start with a 34-14 win as 9-point favorites over the Bears on Sunday Night Football, and the Rams are priced as substantial road favorites for next weekend’s visit to the Colts. The line opened -4 in Las Vegas, up from the -3 SuperBook USA was dealing in its look-ahead market last week, and the game was reposted -4.5 on Monday morning. While there’s been early interest in Indianapolis at that number, as the spread been adjusted back to 4 at the SuperBook, FanDuel appears bullish on the Rams, welcoming Colts bettors with the 4 plus the hook.
The Seahawks had their way with the Colts in Week 1, covering as 3-point favorites while coasting to a 28-16 win. Seattle is a consensus -5.5 at home in Week 2 vs. the Titans, who, like the Colts, lost big at home to an NFC West team Sunday, 38-13 to the Cardinals.
Up next for the Cardinals are the Vikings, overtime losers a 2.5-point favorites in Cincinnati, and there’s early disagreement about this game around the marketplace. While the SuperBook opened Arizona -4 and is back to that number after a momentary adjustment to -3.5, lines range from +4.5 at BetMGM for underdog bettors to -3.5 at DraftKings for chalk players.
The 49ers, meanwhile, are the only of the four teams in their division that failed to cover in Week 1 (laying 9.5 in a 41-33 win in Detroit) and the only NFC West team that next faces an opponent that won their season opener, the Eagles. While San Francisco is a 3.5- to 4-point favorite in Philly on Sunday, the number has been trimmed from the -5.5 offered in advanced wagering at the SuperBook.
Yes, the division was impressive in opening week, but bettors should exercise prudence before rushing to lay the points next week. Overreactions and regressions to the mean tend to happen in the NFL.
Here’s a rundown on the rest of the NFL Week 2 Odds.
New York Giants at Washington Football Team (-4)
The SuperBook’s opening line of WFT -4.5 for the Thursday nighter proved too rich for the market’s tastes, as it sits as low as -3.5 on some oddsboards, including Caesars‘.
New Orleans Saints (-3 -120) at Carolina Panthers
The Saints opened -3 after their throttling of the Packers in Jacksonville, and while the Panthers beat the Jets in Sam Darnold’s Carolina debut, there is some belief in Jameis Winston around the marketplace, which has bet New Orleans up to the -3 (-120), -3.5 range.
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (-12)
Bettors were eager to lay -11 early, as the number sits a high as -12.5, including at WynnBET.
Cincinnati Bengals at Chicago Bears (-3 even)
Circa has moved to -2.5 on the Bears, who didn’t inspire much confidence Sunday night in L.A., and other shops are starting to nudge the line in the Bengals’ direction too, attaching extra juice on the dog side.
Las Vegas Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6)
The Steelers served notice to the rest of the league, upsetting the Bills (-6.5) on Sunday. FanDuel is on the high end of the market here, too, dealing Pitt -6.5 vs. the Raiders, who face an early kickoff on a short week.
Buffalo Bills (-3.5) at Miami Dolphins
Opening numbers of Bills -2.5 (DraftKings) to -3 (SuperBook) looked cheap to early bettors, who laid the short prices and pushed the line past a field goal.
Denver Broncos (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Both teams lost outright Sunday as road favorites, status they dubiously deserved. But the big number in this Week 2 contest indicates confidence in Urban Meyer may be waning quickly.
New England Patriots (-5) at New York Jets
A significant mover in the earliest wagering, adjusted from Pats -3.5 to -5.5 at the SuperBook.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-13)
The Bucs were an overpriced -9 in their 31-29 win over the Cowboys on Thursday, but the Falcons were downright inept in a 32-6 home loss to Philly. The SuperBook made an adjustment to -13 from its -12.5 opener, and PointsBet is up to -13.5 (+105).
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Chargers (-3)
We’re seeing some early toggling between 2.5 and 3 here, with FanDuel offering Chargers -2.5 (-115) and DraftKings dealing Cowboys +3.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Baltimore Ravens
In this Sunday night battle between AFC heavyweights, early bettors laid -2.5 with the Chiefs, prompting a move to the key number at most shops. The line could be adjusted if the banged-up Ravens play above or below expectations as 4-point favorites Monday night in Las Vegas.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-10.5)
FanDuel is again high on the favorite, asking the Packers to lay -12.5 after their dismal season opener against the Saints.