Welcome to another report on Gaming Today’s 2023 Bookies Battle. Find out top consensus picks made from our bookies and how the stnadings look after the first three weeks of the season.
Our NFL Week 4 picks lead off with the Jacksonville Jaguars being the top consensus pick at nearly 80% in London against the Atlanta Falcons. The Detroit Lions received 58% of bookies’ picks and dominated in Green Bay on Thursday night.
Last week, Seattle received 75% of the picks and they ended up covering the 5.5-point spread. Dallas wasn’t as fortunate – not only did they not cover the 12-point spread, but they straight-up lost to Arizona.
Read more: NFL Week 4 Odds | Super Bowl Odds | NFL MVP Odds
NFL Week 4 Picks: Top Bookies Battle Consensus
- Jacksonville Jaguars – 79% of picks – Contest Spread: JAX -3 vs. ATL
- Cincinnati Bengals – 73% of picks – Contest Spread: CIN -2.5 at TEN
- Seattle Seahawks – 67% of picks – Contest Spread: SEA +1.5 at NYG
- Los Angeles Rams – 65% of picks – Contest Spread: LAR +1.5 at IND
- Minnesota Vikings – 62% of picks – Contest Spread: MIN -3.5 at CAR
Most of our bookies are expecting the Jaguars to cover the -3 against the Falcons in London. The Falcons suffered their first loss of the season in the first road game at Detroit, 20-6, last week. The quick start has been marred with offensive questions despite a talented group of players.
Another team receiving over 70% of the picks are the Bengals, who are -2.5 favorites against the Titans. Unlike Atlanta, Tennessee has been a real disappointment on offense. Running back Derrick Henry has been slowed down a bit over the first three games with 163 rushing yards and just one touchdown.
A majority of bookies also believe the Vikings will end their losing ways as 3.5-point favorites against the Panthers. Looking at offenses statistically, you’d be stunned to see Minnesota without a win. But it’s really been turnovers plaguing them from getting a victory.
Interesting note: Four of the five top consensus picks are on the road.
All Consensus Picks for NFL Week 4
| Lions | 58% | Packers | +1.5 |
| Falcons | +3 | Jaguars | 79% |
| Ravens | +2.5 | Browns | 52% |
| Dolphins | 52% | Bills | -2.5 |
| Commanders | +8.5 | Eagles | 52% |
| Vikings | 62% | Panthers | +3.5 |
| Broncos | 60% | Bears | +3 |
| Bengals | 73% | Titans | +2.5 |
| Steelers | -3 | Texans | 56% |
| Rams | 65% | Colts | -1.5 |
| Buccaneers | +3 | Saints | 58% |
| Raiders | +5.5 | Chargers | 60% |
| Patriots | +7 | Cowboys | 56% |
| Cardinals | +14 | 49ers | 56% |
| Chiefs | 56% | Jets | +9.5 |
| Seahawks | 67% | Giants | -1.5 |
10 of the 16 games this week see a consensus below 60%, so we expect further chaos among the bookies leaderboard. They are nearly split down the middle with three early games this Sunday.
Philadelphia is favored by -8.5 against Washington, and 48% of our bookies believe that’s a touch too high. Cleveland, getting -2.5 against Baltimore, is also picked at 52% by our field.
Another consensus pick is, maybe surprisingly, 0-3 Denver as a field-goal favorite against Chicago. While the Bears have been arguably the worst team in the league, the Broncos just gave up 70 points to Miami. It’s hard to know what to expect in a game that features two teams not only winless but 0-3 against the spread.
Other notes: Houston, who is surprisingly not among our 0-3 teams this season, receives 56% of our picks as +3 home dogs against Pittsburgh. Also, 56% of our bookies are picking San Francisco to lay all 14 points against Arizona despite the Cardinals picking up a win against the Cowboys and looking fairly competitive in the first three games of the season.
Bookies Battle Results from Week 3 and Overall Standings
There was a three-way tie for first place in Week 3. Louie G Martin (Casablanca/Virgin River), Tim Mura (Rivers Casino Pittsburgh), and Tim Nortz (Northern Quest) went 12-4 in a very competitive week. Tim Nortz is also in third place in the season standings.
Key picks against the consensus for them: They all picked the Patriots and Steelers, who received 35% of the picks in their matchups. Two of the three picked the Chargers to finally get a victory, where the consensus was on the Vikings.
Duane Colucci (Rampart Casino) remains in first place overall after a solid 11-5 week. Similar to the top three finishers, he picked NE, PIT, and LAC to boost him to a second-place finish.
2023 NFL Quarter 1 Top Players
- Duane Colucci (Rampart Casino) – 33-15 record
- Brieon Satisfield (Wynn Las Vegas) – 28-20 record
- Tim Nortz (Northern Quest) – 28-20 record
- AL Beal (Paris Las Vegas) – 27-21 record
- Arthur DiCesare (Westgate) – 27-21 record
- Sean Kuhn (Circa Sports) – 27-21 record
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