Offering NFL Week 8 Teaser Pick While Asking ‘Do Wong Teasers Still Work?’

Monday marked another painful end for our weekly Wong Teaser pick when the heavily favored New England Patriots got rolled by the Chicago Bears, 33-14, on MNF.

Simply put, it’s been a miserable season for this historically successful wager. Do Wong Teasers still offer value if you can get them at -120 odds? Is seven weeks too small a sample size to make a rash judgment?

I did the math. Wong teaser legs are winning 68% of the time this season, making the fair value +116 for a two-team, 6-point teaser.

Yuch. https://t.co/WNRFt97KBq

— Neil Greenberg (@ngreenberg) October 25, 2022

Professional sports bettor Captain Jack Andrews suggested move along, there’s nothing to see here in a text to Gaming Today on Thursday.

“The short answer is there’s nothing going on,” said Andrews, co-founder of sports betting information and education website Unabated. “Variance happens.”

One thing seems abundantly clear when it comes to making our NFL Week 8 teaser pick: Forget including a favorite and roll with two underdogs, as they’ve amassed a 60-44-3 ATS record (57.7%) through the first seven weeks of the season.

That decision was made for us, as there were no favorites that met the Wong Teaser criteria to tease down at the time of this writing on Thursday.

We are betting two-team, 6-point NFL teasers in this space with either favorites laying -7.5 to -8.5 or underdogs getting between +1.5 and +2.5. Wong Teasers cross through the most critical “3” and “7” numbers on both legs of the bet.

Wong Teasers are one way for a bettor to gain an edge on a bookmaker. Be sure to shop around at different sportsbooks that offer -120 odds on a two-team, 6-point teaser. In our examples, we’ll be betting $120 to win $100.

NFL Week 8 Wong Teaser Candidates   

These teams all qualified for Wong Teasers, per NFL Week 8 betting lines:

Ravens +2
Broncos +2.5
Jets +2.5
Texans +2.5
Rams +1.5
Commanders +2.5

Resulting Wong Teaser Spreads:

Ravens +8
Broncos +8.5
Jets +8.5
Texans +8.5
Rams +7.5
Commanders +8.5

Bet NFL Teasers: Bonus Code TODAY gets $1,000 Risk-Free Bet at BetMGM

Jets (+8.5) + Commanders (+8.5) Top Teaser in Week 8

New York Jets (+8.5) over New England Patriots

You might think that there’s some vengeance involved here in picking against the Patriots after they screwed us on Monday night. Not really. There’s also not a thought process of New England looked so bad against the Bears that it only makes sense to pad the points and take the Jets here. The NFL continues to prove (again and again) that last week has absolutely nothing to do with this week.

The rationale here revolves around a rejuvenated Jets team on the rise under head coach Robert Saleh. Rookie RB Breece Hall’s absence will certainly not help NY’s cause. He’s out for the season with a torn ACL. But the Jets have Michael Carter and now a potentially valuable piece in James Robinson (traded from Jacksonville) to help bolster the backfield.

Furthermore, QB Zach Wilson appears to be coming into his own. He’s 4-0 after his return from an early season injury, and the Jets have a top-10 defense in the NFL, allowing just 19.6 points per game.

Give us the +8.5 at home.

Washington Commanders (+8.5) over Indianapolis Colts

This game pits two teams who’ll likely benefit from their No. 1 QB no longer being under center. Washington backup Taylor Heinicke started slowly in his first start last week against Green Bay, but he performed well down the stretch and helped underdog Washington to an outright win against the Packers.

Heinicke, as he’s proven at both Washington and Carolina in past seasons, is a gamer and in our mind represents an upgrade over Carson Wentz (finger) at this point in his career.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis has called upon second-year pro Sam Ehlinger to make his first career NFL start against the Commanders. The Matt Ryan experiment clearly failed. Credit Indianapolis for looking to the future and seeing what it has in the former Texas product.

That said, we like Washington’s chances of going into Indy and winning the game outright against a first-time QB. Why wouldn’t we play the Commanders getting +8.5 here?

NFL Week 8 Bonus Bet

We’re also going to provide an alternative play using the same two underdogs this week, and see how that performs head-to-head against the Wong Teaser. Pairing the Jets (+120) and Commanders (+130) in a moneyline parlay checks in with odds of 4.06-1 and a 19.76% implied probability of winning.

Bet: $50 to win $203

What will your bet pay? Check out our parlay calculator

Week 7 Wong Teaser Result: Loss

Saints (+8.5) over Cardinals AND Patriots (-1.5) over Bears

New Orleans got the job done in a 42-34 loss to Arizona on TNF. The Saints were getting 8.5 on the adjusted teaser spread. Just an absolutely brutal outcome though on MNF with the Patriots — who crushed many Survivor pools in the process — somehow getting punked at home by the previously hapless Bears.

2022 Wong Teaser Record: 1-6

Season Bottom Line: -$620

Also read: NFL Week 8 Odds | Week 8 Betting Picks & Predictions | Week 8 Betting Tips & Strategies