The sportsbooks had a mixed bag. The negative news was they had no prohibitive moneyline favorite go down and bring multi-legged parlays with them. Most of the favored chalk had well north of 50% support.
The positive news was that the books were rarely committed too heavily on one side. There were seven games with a spread of three points or less and the public didn’t back anyone in the 80 or 90% range that they often do.
The parity coaxed bettors to wager confidently on either side.
Here are our NFL Week 9 betting results, a quick look at the Jets vs. Chargers, and betting takeaways on several games.
NFL Week 9 Winners
Small favorites, little-known quarterbacks, and chalk bettors, who backed the favorites that take an 8-4 mark into the Monday night finale between the favored Los Angeles Chargers and host New York Jets.
NFL Week 9 Losers
Daniel Jones, the New York Giants quarterback. Just back from a neck injury, he sustained a possibly torn ACL and may be gone for the season, a symbol of the Giants’ lost campaign.
The 2-7 Giants, 30-6 losers to the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, visit the Dallas Cowboys in Week 10 with either Tyrod Taylor or Tommy DeVito at quarterback. That’s already Dallas -15.5 (Best Live Odds: ) and could go off as the highest spread of the season.
Dallas Goedert, the Philadelphia Eagles’ talented tight end, suffered a fractured forearm in his team’s 28-23 victory over the Dallas Cowboys.
The Eagles won’t feel it this week, as they go on the bye. But he is going to miss several weeks. Goedert is a key performer for the 8-1 Eagles, who have their most brutal stretch of the season upcoming: at the Kansas City Chiefs, vs. the Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers, and then at the Cowboys.
Chargers vs Jets MNF Week 9 Preview
Chargers’ quarterback Justin Herbert looks to have manageable passing totals against a tough Jets defense. His touchdown total is 1.5 (Over -110, Under-120). Zach Wilson is expected to struggle for the Jets (Over +190, Under -250) at the 1.5 TD pass total.
Herbert’s yardage is 251.5 yards (Over -110, Under -120), while Wilson’s is 214.5 yards (-115 both sides).
Chargers vs Jets Favored Touchdown Scorers (First, Anytime)
Austin Ekeler (+475, -120). His nickname could be “Chalk-e-Ler.” He has scored the first touchdown the last five times the Chargers have been favorites. He’s also tallied in 12 straight games in which the Chargers are the chalk.
Breece Hall (+600, +115)
Keenan Allen (+350, +150)
Garrett Wilson (+850, +165)
Gerald Everett (+1400, +330)
The Jets are 5-2 against the spread, including four straight. They are ahead of the Buffalo Bills and are second in the AFC East behind the Miami Dolphins.
The 4-3 Jets have home triumphs over the Bills and Eagles. They also have a covering loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Win this game and they are half a game out of first place, without Aaron Rodgers.
The Chargers are 2-4-1 ATS. Their last 5 games have gone Under.
MNF anytime touchdown scorer props: Best bets for Chargers vs Jets
New Stars Energize NFL Week 10 Betting Scene
New faces will become prominent to bettors when Week 10 begins with the Carolina Panthers visiting the Chicago Bears on Thursday night.
Three quarterbacks may soon have electric appeal.
The second pick of the 2023 NFL Draft had the game of his life with 470 passing yards and five touchdowns. It was the greatest rookie performance in NFL history.
His electrifying credentials included a 75-yard touchdown game-winning drive in the final 46 seconds of Houston’s wild 39-37 triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The numbers were so crazy — Houston did not have its field goal kicker in the second half — that the total represented a scorigami, the 1080th unique final score in NFL history.
Stroud managed to improvise after Ka’imi Fairbairn suffered a first-half injury, leaving the Texans with no kicker during the second half. They left several points on the board but Stroud stepped up. His exploits included a 4th-and-goal TD pass from the 9 to Dalton Schultz.
The Texans invade the Cincinnati Bengals and bettors will keep their eyes on three receiving targets: Noah Brown, Schultz, and Tank Bell each had more than 100 receiving yards. The suddenly explosive Texans can represent Prop-A-Looza money for gamblers who love to play yardage totals.
This is going to be a terrific matchup between the two young faces of their franchises.
The Bengals with a healthy Joe Burrow are red hot. They have covered four straight times, including the 24-18 nailbiter against the Bills at -2 in Week 9.
The biggest difference between now and early in the season is Burrow’s ability to put weight on his ankle, scramble from difficulty, and extend plays. That has brought Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins back into the mix as they can break off patterns and improvise as long as he keeps plays alive.
Burrow did have a problem with a busted fingernail on Sunday night and it did affect some of his third-quarter throws. But he was solid in the fourth quarter.
Cincinnati had the biggest faith of the gamblers with 77% of the DraftKings handle. They only scored one second-half field goal, but the early burst was enough.
The Bengals concluded a great week for the AFC North. The division went unbeaten, with the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, and Pittsburgh Steelers preceding them in covering victories.
We have been touting him as a reasonably good quarterback for several weeks. He became a Minnesota Viking at the trade deadline last Tuesday but wasn’t supposed to start. Jaren Hall had the nod.
Dobbs wasn’t ready.
Until he was made ready. Hall suffered an injury on a goal-line collision.
Dobbs found his rhythm late in the first half. He made two remarkable scrambles to avoid sacks on separate drives and authored the big-yardage plays that forged Minnesota’s unlikely 31-28 triumph over the Atlanta Falcons.
The Vikings have quietly won four straight, all covers, to become 5-4. That includes three road victories.
They come home to face the New Orleans Saints in Week 10. The Vikings have a chance to be 6-4 after a 1-4 start. And they open as a home dog.
Hard to believe that Dobbs is playing for his fifth team since the end of last year.
He will need to be every bit this special going forward because the Vikings are beset by injuries. Superstar Justin Jefferson will return soon, but this is a banged-up offense.
Who? Yeah. The Las Vegas Raiders put him back at the helm after firing their coach Josh McDaniels last week. O’Connell played with more confidence as the starter when the Raiders amassed a season-high 30 points, easily enough to top the injury-plagued New York Giants 30-6.
The Raiders host the Jets in Week 10 and could get their record back to a square .500. Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams remain the prop-betting magnets for gamblers. Jacobs had two scores against the Giants.
Spread Burns for Bettors in NFL Week 9
The Texans were -2.5 against the Bucs. They had a three-point lead late but could not hold it. They couldn’t bottle up Baker Mayfield on the final drive. He had 3rd-and-23 on his own 38 with less than two minutes left. But Mayfield rallied the Bucs to a touchdown with under a minute left, forcing Stroud to unveil one more magical drive.
The Texans tallied the game-winning score with six seconds left. But with no kicker, they did not want to risk a missed two-point conversion being taken back for a score worth two points.
So, they took a kneeldown.
The absence of a kicker cost the Texans several points. They rallied for the moneyline win, but spread bettors got burned.
The Cowboys were +3 against the Eagles. Tallying midway through the fourth quarter, they made it 28-23. Dak Prescott converted the 2-point try, but replays showed he stepped out of bounds, by inches.
That changed everything.
The ‘Boys needed a touchdown at the end of the game they lost 28-23, not a field goal to tie and force overtime.
It’s a game of inches.
Everybody Loves a Gambler
Nick Sirianni of the Eagles and Mike McCarthy of the Dallas Cowboys conducted a dice-rolling, Winner 7 clinic on 4th-down plays in Week 9.
It was the most success we’ve seen by two coaches in the same game this year.
The Eagles converted two fourth-downs on the initial drive. They passed up a field goal on 4th-and-3 from the Dallas 27 and Jalen Hurts hit Dallas Goedert with a 12-yard completion.
One play later, Kenneth Gainwell took it in for the score.
The Cowboys answered on the subsequent drive. On 4th-and-4 from the Eagles 31, Dak Prescott hit CeeDee Lamb for 29 yards. One play later, Prescott hit Jake Ferguson for a TD.
Zac Taylor of the Bengals made two good calls in the second quarter on Sunday night. First, he punted rather than give the Buffalo Bills the ball around midfield.
One possession later, he had 4th-and-1 from the Buffalo 36. Not wanting to risk Joe Burrow, he called a pass. And Burrow connected with Ja’Marr Chase. Cincinnati led 14-7 at the time.
Taylor was rewarded, as the Bengals converted the dice roll into a touchdown.
Until He Loses
Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots had 4th-and-3 from the Washington 41 in the first quarter.
The Patriots made a good play call. Mac Jones had a wide-open receiver but missed him.
McCarthy gambled on a 4th-down pass with Philadelphia clinging to a 28-17 lead. The play was initially called a touchdown, but the review indicated the receiver’s knee touched down a couple of inches short.
The gamble missed, but it was hard not to side with McCarthy on the intent. The play worked. It took a slow-motion replay to rule it inches short.
Variations of the Brotherly Shove
It worked again for the Eagles in three critical situations on Sunday. One was a 4th-down conversion, one became a Jalen Hurts touchdown, and a third gave them breathing room when they had the ball on their own half-yard line.
Two other teams tried the Shove without success.
Both the New York Giants and Indianapolis Colts committed penalties on the play, which relies on backs to push a quarterback forward.
It’s a timing play. If a single thing is off, the play fails.
Betting Cashes in NFL Week 9
Anybody who took a stab at Irv Smith Jr. to notch the first touchdown on Sunday night made a huge collection. He was worth +2000 to tally first and +350 overall.
FanDuel Prop Hits
Here is one that paid well for gamblers at FanDuel.
Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield, and Dak Prescott to combine for six touchdown passes. They tallied seven and this paid a solid +230.
Highest Scoring Team, Highest Game Come From One Matchup
There was more going on at the end of the Houston Texans-Tampa Bay Bucs than the moneyline and spread triumphs.
They battled it out for the high-scoring game and team of the week.
The game paid off for bettors, as the 76 total returned +1500, one of the prime longshots of the day. It was easily the highest game of the week and it had a dizzying 31 points in the fourth quarter.
Houston gained honors for highest-scoring team with 39. That paid +2000.
Had Tampa Bay held off Houston, the Bucs would have been on the board at +3800 and the Baltimore Ravens at +1100. In ties, bettors usually receive half of the total.
But the Texans ruled out the tie with their late score.
Lowest Scoring Team
It was the chalk. The Arizona Cardinals had no points, blanked by the Cleveland Browns 27-0.
That was worth +480.
The Seahawks were in the running. They would have paid +1600 after losing to the Baltimore Ravens 37-3.
The Rams, topped 20-3 by the Green Bay Packers, were on the board for +1100.
Lowest Scoring Game
The Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams claim this one at +1500 with Green Bay’s 20-3 triumph.
The Rams’ offense, depleted by the loss of Matt Stafford, has disappeared.