Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 Predictions, Odds, Props: Bet on the Western Conference Finals

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Home is where the chalk is.

A change in venue prompts a change in betting sentiment when the Los Angeles Lakers host Game 3 of the NBA Western Conference Finals against the Denver Nuggets.

At first glance, the heavy Lakers backing might project the belief that they actually lead the series.

The Lakers instead trail 2-0 but are indeed going home, where neither team has lost this entire postseason.

The bettors are following them there.

More hoops: Odds to win 2023 NBA Finals | NBA Playoff game betting lines | NBA Finals MVP odds

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total

At DraftKings, the Lakers opened at -5 after losing Game 2 in Denver, 108-103. By late Friday morning, they were +5.5.

They were a whopping -215  on the moneyline for Game 3.

The Over-Under was 223.5 after the category split in Denver. The Over romped with a 132-126 Denver triumph in Game 1, while the Under bettors cashed in the 108-103 second game.

FanDuel had similar numbers across the board.

Here are the Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 odds, including spread, moneyline, and total, from our top-rated mobile sportsbooks.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Sat (4/20) @ 8:40pm ET LA Lakers +220 +225 +240 +250 +235 +245 +240
DEN Nuggets -278 -278 -303 -323 -286 -303 -303
Sat (4/20) @ 8:40pm ET LA Lakers +6.5 -105 +7.0 -110 +7.5 -115 +7.0 -110 +7.0 -108 +7.5 -112 +7.5 -110
DEN Nuggets -6.5 -115 -7.0 -110 -7.5 -105 -7.0 -110 -7.0 -114 -7.5 -108 -7.5 -110
Sat (4/20) @ 8:40pm ET LA Lakers u222.5 -105 u224 -110 u223.5 -105 u223.5 -110 u223.5 -112 u224 -108 u224.5 -110
DEN Nuggets o222.5 -115 o224 -110 o223.5 -115 o223.5 -110 o223.5 -109 o224 -112 o224.5 -110

Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Trends

Gamblers were all over the Lakers when the first odds were posted Friday morning at DraftKings.

Los Angeles had 89% of the spread handle and 70% of the tickets.

In what’s been a series trend, the bigger and smaller moneyline action have gone different ways.

The Lakers sported 97% of the moneyline at -205, but only 52% of the tickets. Smaller wagers back the idea that the Nuggets at +185  are a good value. The Lakers still have the moneyline majority, but the Nuggets are a vibrant minority.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 Betting News

Both teams have enjoyed the same home-court success against each other as they have against the rest of the league.

Home teams are 6-0 in games between the Lakers and Nuggets in the regular season and playoffs.

Denver improved to 8-0 in the playoffs, 42-7 for the entire season, best in the NBA.

The Nuggets can secure their first-ever berth in an NBA Final round by preserving homecourt alone.

The Lakers are 2-0 against the game-time spread at DraftKings, covering +7 in the opener and +5.5 in Game 2.

Bet on Game 2 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 Betting Props

To Go Over or Under the Points Total (DraftKings)

Anthony Davis 24.5 (Both sides -115)

Jamal Murray 25.5 (Over -110, Under -120)

LeBron James 25.5 (Over -110, Under -120)

Nikola Jokic 28.5 (Over -115, Under -125)

FanDuel

Jokic notched a Triple Double in Game 2. He’s had seven in the playoffs. That’s why he’s a huge chalk, -155, to do it again.

James is +500, down from +750 in Game 2, where he just missed.

Murray is +7000.

Top Point Scorer

Jokic +155

Murray +290. He scored 23 fourth-quarter points in Game 2. That translates into betting love for Game 3.

James +320

Davis +390

Austin Reaves +4200

Team to Lead at the End of Every Quarter

Nuggets +600

Lakers +162

Any Other -122

Lakers vs. Nuggets Early Series Prop Betting Highlights: DraftKings Gambler Turns 10 into a Ton in Game 1

One customer had a great SGP win on the LA Lakers @ DEN Nuggets Game 1.  It was a 10-leg, $10 wager with +150000 odds for a payout of $15,010. Winning selections are below: 

  1. LeBron James Over 9.5 Rebounds
  2. Michael Porter Jr. Over 7.5 Rebounds
  3. Nikola Jokic Over 14.5 Rebounds
  4. LeBron James Over 7.5 Assists
  5. Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 Assists
  6. Austin Reaves 5+ Assists
  7. Anthony Davis 20+ Points
  8. Austin Reaves 15+ Points
  9. Nikola Jokic 30+ Points
  10. LeBron James 25+ Points

The wager was primarily genius, with a dash of sweat.

The genius element was committing to an offensive shootout and placing the entire wager accordingly. 

What better way to play these bets than into an Over hot zone.

With 258 points, the Lakers and Nuggets gave this ticket every chance to succeed. That was the fundamental strength of this play.

What’s unusual was the ease with which nine of these legs hit. A 10-pronged wager usually has at least three items that can go either way.

This only had one. James was able to seal the deal, however, by making two free throws in the final minute to secure 26 points. The free throws mattered even more when James missed his final two shots.

“Yes, these bets are longshots, but we have millions of people on our site every day and there is at least one of these that hits every day,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today.

“What you really have to be impressed with is that these people can get a major score without betting a lot.”

Lakers vs. Nuggets Game 2 Prop Result Winners

DraftKings

Davis Over 12.5 rebounds (-125)
Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds (-120)

FanDuel

Jokic -135 for a Triple Double. He’s done it seven times in the playoffs. Check, please. The last version was 23 points, 17 rebounds, and 12 assists.

Any Other result at -122 for no team to be leading after every quarter. Some gamblers see this as a no-brainer and were happy to lean into -122. That’s not too heavy on the juice.

Tough Luck Loss: Two Props Hung on One Rebound

C’mon Lebron, bettors urged late in Game 2.  Please, just one more board. One. 

It didn’t come.

He just missed delivering on two wagers.

One was a prop at +115 to get double-digit rebounds. He ended with nine.

But the category that hurt most was the triple-double. It would have paid +750.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 Prediction

This game lays right for the Lakers.

They cover. I took it at -5 as it went up.

I will also try to link a reduced alternate line into some MLB weekend series parlays.

Good luck.

How To Watch Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3

Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023

Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET

Location: Crypto.com Arena — Los Angeles, CA

Where to Watch: ABC

About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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