The Alamo Bowl featuring the Oregon Ducks (10-3 SU, 5-8 ATS) and Oklahoma Sooners (10-2 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) has been hit hard with coaching changes, opt-outs, transfers, and injuries. The day before the game, Oklahoma is a 6.5-point favorite at several sportsbooks, including DraftKings and BetMGM, after opening -4.5. PointsBet was dealing Oregon +7 (-115) as of this post. With a total around 60.5, there should be plenty of scoring.
BetMGM is also offering several intriguing touchdown scorer prop markets for the game, set for Wednesday, Dec. 29 (9:15 p.m. ET, ESPN). The following are some of our favorites:
Oregon vs. Oklahoma First Touchdown Scorer Props
Travis Dye, running back, Oregon (+450)
Oklahoma’s most significant losses were on the defensive side of the ball, which bodes well for Travis Dye. Oklahoma had a solid run defense during the regular season, but that may not be the case heading into the Alamo Bowl after seeing several key players opt-out and most of the defensive staff following Lincoln Riley to USC.
With several wide receivers moving on, the Ducks will probably lean on the run more than usual. That could translate into additional work inside the red zone for Dye and an opportunity to score the game’s first touchdown.
Kennedy Brooks, running back, Oklahoma (+500)
Brooks had 10 touchdowns for the Sooners this year, but only one in his last four games. However, it would not be shocking to see Bob Stoops reward Brooks for sticking around with some extra work near the goal line. With the personnel losses impacting the Ducks defense, Brooks just might get into the end zone first.
Caleb Williams, quarterback, Oklahoma (+900)
All eyes will be on the young quarterback that chased the preseason Heisman favorite, Spencer Rattler, out of town. Bowl games are often opportunities for young players like the freshman QB to show out. Against a depleted Oregon defense, he’ll have opportunities.
Anthony Brown, quarterback, Oregon (+900)
Brown is a much better runner than passer and has nine rushing touchdowns on the year. Against a depleted Oklahoma defense, he may get his number called on the goal line. If he and Dye can get on track right against the Sooner defense, he could score the first touchdown of the game and cash at nice 9-to-1 odds.
Oregon vs. Oklahoma Anytime Touchdown Scorers
Travis Dye, running back, Oregon (-500)
Dye is the heart of the Oregon offense. Oklahoma’s defense will not be good enough to keep him out of the end zone. The big price on this prop, though, understandably may keep some bettors away.
Kennedy Brooks, running back, Oklahoma (-200)
The Sooners will probably have a more balanced offensive attack than the Ducks, but Stoops likes having a workhorse running back like Brooks and will use him in the red zone.
Caleb Williams, quarterback, Oklahoma (+100)
Stoops may not call for Williams to run it in on the goal line or in the red zone, but the freshman QB will be one of those guys looking to make a statement. There is a solid chance he will make a play at some point and score.
Anthony Brown, quarterback, Oregon (-145)
It would not be shocking to see the Ducks call a run-heavy game against the Sooners, which will mean lots of work for Dye and Brooks. However, at odds of less than even-money, there are other guys with more value.
Oregon vs. Oklahoma Last Touchdown Prop
Many factors that are hard to predict will impact who scores the final touchdown of the Alamo Bowl. Someone from the team playing catch-up could score one in garbage time. It could come also from the go-ahead touchdown. With the many ways this game could play out, this market is a roll of the dice.
But here’s a couple of longshots that may be worth a small investment.
Eric Gray, running back, Oklahoma (+1400)
The Sooners could look to give their other running back some late work once they get out to a healthy lead. They may do the same if they end up getting blown out as well.
Byron Caldwell, running back, Oregon (+2000)
The Ducks may be interested in giving their freshman RB some late work and a shot at scoring the final touchdown.
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