No. 5 Oregon gets a chance to avenge the only loss of its season on Friday night in the Pac 12 Championship Game in Las Vegas. The Ducks, who lost to No. 3 Washington 36-33 in Seattle in October, are the clear favorites going into the rematch, which kicks off at 8 p.m. Eastern on ABC at Allegiant Stadium.
These teams treated college football fans to one of the most entertaining games of the year from start to finish on Oct. 14. The Huskies led that back-and-forth battle 22-18 at halftime and 29-18 early in the third quarter, but Oregon took a 33-29 lead with 12:58 to play. Washington prevailed at Husky Stadium on a Rome Odunze TD grab with 1:38 to play, followed by a missed 43-yard FG attempt by Ducks kicker Camden Lewis as time expired.
Check out our Oregon vs Washington prediction, odds, and best bets.
Oregon vs Washington Spread, Moneyline, Total
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- Spread: Oregon , Washington
- Moneyline: Oregon , Washington
Oregon vs Washington Betting Trends
- Oregon, Washington ATS Records: Oregon 9-2-1, Washington 5-6-1
- Oregon, Washington Over/Under Records: Oregon Over 5-7, Washington Over 6-6
- Oregon, Washington best national championship odds: Oregon , Washington
- Oregon QB Bo Nix best Heisman odds:
- Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. best Heisman odds:
Oregon vs Washington Analysis and Prediction
To anyone who hasn’t watched these teams since they met in Seattle, Oregon entering the Pac 12 Championship Game as a nearly double-digit favorite (at a neutral venue) probably doesn’t make much sense. Both teams have beaten one quality opponent after another in the last six weeks, yet oddsmakers see the Huskies as heavy underdogs. That’s because while UO and UW have both kept winning, one team (Oregon) has dominated, while the other (Washington) has merely survived.
Two other reasons to think twice before taking the Huskies and the points just because it’s a big spread at first glance:
- Oregon has won five of its last six games by at least two TDs, including four of those by 24 or more (USC is the only Ducks opponent to lose by a single-digit margin since Oct. 14).
- Oregon has been excellent ATS, with a record of 9-2-1 on the year — only Arizona, New Mexico State, and UNLV have been better against the spread.
What makes the Ducks so dangerous is their balance. According to ESPN’s SP+, their offense is No. 1 and their defense is No. 14. The Huskies have a potent offense of their own (No. 5 in SP+) led by Penix and a dangerous receiving corps, but their defense is just No. 42 in SP+. Oregon struggled to contain Penix, Odunze, and the UW offense in Seattle but still would have won that game if not for a late missed field goal and an 0-for-3 day on fourth-down conversions. Success on just one of those attempts would have likely given Oregon the win in that game.
I don’t see the Ducks running away with this one, but I do see them prevailing, and covering, with a strong finish. The play here is to take the Huskies to cover the first-half spread, but Oregon to cover by the final whistle.
Pick: Oregon (-9.5 at time of publishing); Washington First Half (+6.5 at time of publishing)
How to Watch Oregon vs Washington
- Date: Friday, Dec. 1, 2023
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium — Las Vegas
- Network: ABC