The Arizona Wildcats topped the UCLA Bruins, 84-76, in the 2022 Pac-12 Championship game to cut down the nets. And after watching these two programs ball out on the hardwood this season, it’s possible we see them reunite in this year’s finale on March 11.
At least that’s what the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament odds suggest. UCLA (between +110 and +125) lays chalk, but Arizona (between +120 and +135) is riding the Bruins’ heels. Then, you have to scroll all the way down to find Oregon (between +700 and +900) and Arizona State (between +1000 and +1100) as the teams with the third- and fourth-shortest odds, respectively.
Here we look at odds to win the Pac-12 Tournament and game betting lines, and we offer a prediction for the conference champion.
Odds to Win 2023 Pac-12 Tournament
Here are Pac-12 title odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars for all teams:
|Pac-12 Team||DraftKings||FanDuel||Caesars Code TODAYFULL|
|Arizona State Sun Devils||+1000||+1100||+1100|
As always, college basketball futures markets are among the most competitive in the industry. The last team standing is rarely the favorite, though that doesn’t mean you should take a stab at longshots with no realistic title aspirations.
Make sure to shop around different sportsbooks, as some books offer better odds than others for the same team.
Friday’s matchups are gonna be fun 👀 #Pac12MBB x @NewYorkLife pic.twitter.com/QcGtS1xc3B
— Pac-12 Conference (@pac12) March 10, 2023
Favorites to Win Pac-12 Tournament
UCLA (+110, FanDuel)
The scorching hot Bruins have won their last 11 games and haven’t faced defeat since January. They’re 28-4 on the season, including 19-2 (.900) in conference play.
Despite losing Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year Jaylen Clark for the remainder of the season, UCLA was able to top Colorado in the quarterfinals. The team desperately needed someone to step up their game, and Amari Bailey (career-high 26 points) answered the call.
Led by Jaime Jaquez Jr, the Bruins boast the second-most efficient brand of basketball (per KenPom) in all of college hoops. Jaquez Jr is playing the best basketball of his career (career-high 17.5 points per contest on a career-best 48.7% from the field) and looks like one of the best wings in the nation.
Losing Clark will surely hurt the program’s national title hopes. He was the team’s best defender by far and was one of the best defensive players in the nation. However, this isn’t the national tournament. This is the Pac-12, and if players continue to step up in Clark’s absence for just two more games, then UCLA can surely capture a conference championship.
Also read: ACC Tournament odds | Big 12 Tournament odds
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Arizona (+135, DraftKings)
The defending Pac-12 champs come into the conference tournament with the second-best record (conference-wise and overall) behind UCLA. They’ve been on the Bruins’ level for most of the season, but a few extra appearances in the loss column landed them as co-favorites.
Arizona began its tournament journey by posting its largest offensive output in nearly three months in its 95-84 victory over Stanford. Three different players logged 20-plus points, including center Oumar Ballo with a game-high 24 on 10-for-13 shooting from the field.
But we saw that coming. The Wildcats have the sixth-best adjusted offensive efficiency and average 83.2 points per regular-season game, which ranks fourth in the nation. They’re head and shoulders better than the rest of the conference when it comes to scoring points.
They now take on in-state rival Arizona State. The two schools split the regular season series one apiece, with the Sun Devils prevailing in the most recent meeting. Arizona gave up 89 points in that second game, compared to just 60 points in the first one.
If the Wildcats can hold them off on defense, then they’ll find themselves in the Pac-12 Tournament Championship game for the second-straight season.
Pac-12 Tournament Longshot
If you’re the type of bettor who loves Cinderella stories, then here’s a longshot that’s capable of winning two more games this week.
Oregon (+750, DraftKings)
When you’re hanging in the shadows of both UCLA and Arizona, it’s hard to stand out. But despite playing in one of the better conferences in college hoops, the Ducks’ path to a conference title is surprisingly not that tough.
Oregon may have been the streakiest team in the whole tournament. It had two separate three-game losing streaks in the regular season, but the program followed them up with even longer winning streaks, including a current one of four.
The third-seeded Ducks were able to carry that momentum into the tournament and beat Washington State, 75-70, in the quarterfinals. They now face UCLA in the semis.
The Ducks kept the first meeting with the Bruins very competitive – they were down by just one point in the final five minutes of the game before going cold on offense. The second meeting wasn’t as close as the first, but the final score was still 70-63. Advantage, UCLA.
Oregon has shown it can keep up with the Bruins in both of those games, but it just needs to finish them off when it matters the most.
Pac-12 Tournament Prediction
It truly feels like UCLA and Arizona are on a collision course to meet in the title game for the second straight year. Outside of the top two programs, we don’t have much confidence in the rest of the conference.
The Bruins and Wildcats split their two meetings this year, with the former winning the most recent one. A big reason why UCLA lost the first meeting was due to the poor play of Jaquez Jr, who scored just 12 points on 5-for-17 shooting from the field.
But during the second matchup, we saw a totally different – and more accurate – side of the senior guard. Jaquez Jr logged 22 points on 9-for-18 shooting. The rest of the team only shot 38.8% from the field. In the end, we have Jaquez Jr and the Bruins avenging its 2022 conference title game loss to the Wildcats to win their first Pac-12 Tournament title since 2015.
Our pick: UCLA (+120)
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