Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Injuries, Prediction: Why We’re Laying the Points on SNF

The Green Bay Packers meet the Eagles in Philadelphia on Sunday night in Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season.

The Eagles have been priced between 6.5- and 7-point favorites during early wagering, and the number seemed to have settled at -6.5 across the board as of Friday.

Let’s take a look at the latest odds, as well as injuries and our Packers vs. Eagles prediction.

Packers vs. Eagles Betting Lines

Here are point spreads, totals, and moneylines from top sports betting apps.

How Philly, Green Bay are Trending

Back in May, when odds were first posted for this game, it was listed as pick ’em at Caesars SportsBook. The current number is an indication of how Philadelphia and Green Bay have gone in opposite directions.

While the Eagles (9-1 straight up/5-5 against the spread) enter Week 12 as the NFC’s top seed and with a two-game lead in the NFC East over Dallas and the New York Giants, the Packers (4-7 SU/ATS) are getting sized for playoff toe tags. Green Bay, the preseason pick to win the NFC North, is 2.5 games out of the wild-card mix and 4.5 games behind division-leading Minnesota.

The teams’ Super Bowl odds say it all: The Eagles are +650 (PointsBet), and the Packers +15000 (DraftKings, BetMGM), tumbling from +8000 a week earlier.

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The Eagles were off to their best start in history at 8-0 before losing a prime-time home game to Washington, 32-21, two weeks ago as an 11-point favorite. That margin was inflated by a last-play lateral-rooskie fumble that resulted in a Commanders TD.

Then last week, Philly needed to rally from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to win at Indianapolis 17-16 as a 6.5-point choice.
Still, despite the team’s recent warts, the Eagles remain the only team in the league ranked in the top five on offense (No. 5) and on defense (No. 2) and have the league’s top turnover margin at plus-12.

QB Jalen Hurts had led the way, going from the 22nd-ranked QB in 2021 to No. 4 this season with 15 TD throws and only three INTs. The Eagles also have the league’s sixth most productive rushing game.

Teams this year coming off an extended break after playing on a Thursday have gone 8-11-1 ATS the next week this season when playing a team on normal rest. That’s among the sad news for the Packers.

Packers vs. Eagles Injuries

The Philly offense can’t help but suffer without star TE Dallas Goedert (shoulder, IR). The team reportedly is working with a reduced playbook in his absence.

Green Bay, meanwhile, has suffered this season from the outset because of key injuries and offseason departures. In the opener, the Packers were downed 23-7 at Minnesota, with the starting left side of the line sitting out. OLT David Bakhtiari and OLG Elgton Jenkins have been on and off the injury report just about all season but aren’t on it this week. Yet.

Troubled Times in Titletown

From the get-go, QB Aaron Rodgers has looked out of sorts trying to mesh with an inexperienced, largely ineffective receiving corp in the wake of star WR Davante Adams (123 catches last year, second most in the league) heading off to Las Vegas and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (a team-best 16.5 yards a reception in 2021) finding a home in Kansas City. These days, the most catches for any Green Bay wide receiver is 38 by Allen Lazard.

Rodgers confirmed he is dealing with an injury to his right thumb, but insisted it’s not an issue, on The Pat McAfee show last week.

The defense also has been shaky, especially last Thursday when Tennessee’s Ryan Tannehill had three TD passes and averaged 10.0 yards a drop-back (counting sacks). That was one of only nine times in the league this year a team had an average of 10.0 or better.

Plus, the Packers are yielding the fifth most rushing yards in the NFL before Week 12.

Weather: Toasty in Philly?

The weather forecast is for a toasty temperature in the high 50s, but possible light rain, at kickoff for this night game.

Packers vs. Eagles Analysis & Prediction

The major weakness for the Eagles is their rush defense.

Their problems began to surface in Game 8 at Houston when 340-pound rookie Jordan Davis, the 13th pick in the draft, went on IR with an ankle injury.

Thus, the Eagles worked to lure two-time Pro Bowl DT Linval Joseph and three-time All-Pro DT Ndamukong Suh off their couches to help fortify the defensive front. That paid off handsomely when Philly held last year’s rushing champ, Indy’s Jonathan Taylor, to 35 yards on his final 15 carries, including a forced fumble last week.

The defense now faces a Packers team tied for last with only four rushing touchdowns, and with a quarterback who has let the world know he’s pretty much disgusted with how this season has transpired.

Rodgers had better be careful while in Eagles territory, for Philly has intercepted seven passes this season when a foe has been inside the 50. Rodgers had three such throws against Detroit three weeks ago.

Forecast: Eagles 31, Packers 17