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The betting public had a lot to mull over in Sunday’s Week 11 NFL action with seven new faces at quarterback taking snaps. Meanwhile, two quarterbacks taking snaps all season – Cam Newton and Jameis Winston, threw for five touchdowns each.

The funny story about Winston is that many of us thought the Eagles’ new starting QB Mark Sanchez might be the one doing the damage. The Philadelphia media has been all over Sam Bradford for failing to get Chip Kelly’s offense into gear, and Sanchez was perceived as an upgrade.

Most thought Sanchez would be the boost that got the Eagles back into serious NFC contention as was expected during preseason. Laying up to 7 points wasn’t a problem for most, even though Tampa Bay had covered four of its past five games. Sanchez was the key here, after the Bucs mopped up the Eagles 45-17 in front of thousands of booing Eagles fans. Reality is starting to set in… the Eagles just aren’t that good.

That turned out to be one of the better games of the morning for the books, but one of the worst was Dallas getting a 24-14 win at Miami. Dallas had lost seven straight games, but all those were without Tony Romo, who was making his triumphant return and the public was buying it all. They were on board big time and got paid.

Newton’s Panthers covered again and the public is really starting to like that about him despite disagreeing with some of his celebratory moves. They wiped out the Redskins 44-16 as 7-point home favorites making Carolina 8-2 against the spread this season.

Brock Osweiler made his starting debut for Denver at Chicago on his 25th birthday and came away with a 17-15 win. The Bears opened as 1-point favorites and Denver was bet up to -2.5 – most parlay cards had Denver -1.5.

The thinking here with Denver is they might have an upgrade with Osweiler. Despite being less experienced than Peyton Manning, they get a bigger arm to spread defenses out and will likely have less turnovers. We may have seen the last of Manning starting in Denver and the betting public appears to be okay with that.

After the books got help from the Texans and Lions as home underdog winners, they had themselves a nice little profit from the first eight games. But then the afternoon came around where only three games were starting at the 1 p.m. PT time slot.

That doesn’t give bettors a lot to choose from but they’re going to make that quick decision on all three and they turned out to be correct in each.

Over the past few weeks the public has soured on the Seahawks while waiting for its dominant defense to show up again. It’s not hard to understand as they’ve thrown away lots of money on this Seattle that’s still searching for its true identity while posting a 2-6-1 ATS record through its first nine games.

However, when the public gets backed into a corner and there are only three games to choose from, their normal rationale goes out the window. In fact their whole opinion can rapidly change on a team if it’s playing a team they believe to be one of the worst in the league led by one of the worst quarterbacks in the league.

That’s the kind of back-story behind why several Las Vegas sportsbooks saw so much one-sided action on Seattle laying 14 points at home against the Blaine Gabbert led 49ers in Sunday’s Week 11 NFL action.

“We just couldn’t get any money on San Francisco,” said MGM Resorts VP of race and sports Jay Rood. “After having a decent morning session (win), we gave it all back with the three afternoon games and Seattle was the most popular of those.”

Seattle’s 29-13 win made them 8-0-1 against the 49ers in their last nine meetings and two of its three covers on the season came against San Francisco.

In the other two afternoon games, the public also had no problem laying 3 points with Kansas City at San Diego and Green Bay getting +1 at Minnesota.

The Chiefs’ 33-3 win made four straight covers against the Chargers and was also their fourth straight cover on the season. The Chargers’ woes continue, especially against AFC teams where they have now gone 2-13 ATS over its last 15.

The Packers have kind of been put in that room of sour by the public after not covering its past four games, while the Vikings have covered eight straight since its season opening loss at San Francisco.

The public is starting to believe in Minnesota’s defense, but they still came around slightly with Green Bay taking +1 in parlay action. The Packers rewarded them with one of its better all-around performances of the season where the running game miraculously showed up in its 30-13 win.

“We’re basically starting the day from scratch again,” said Rood as the Sunday night game between the Bengals and Cardinals (-3.5) was about to kick off.

Rood’s book got the decision they needed Sunday with Arizona blowing a late 10-point lead only to win 34-31 with a field goal in the final seconds. 

Station Casinos sportsbook director Jason McCormick said his 19 books – mostly located on the outskirts of town – “needed the Bengals and UNDER combination for the best scenario” and that “the game was sitting as a four-way loser after the first 11 NFL games were posted final.”

Arizona has become one of the more popular public teams for bettors of the NFL just because they score in bunches, averaging 34-points a game. But it’s obvious by action on the Strip at Rood’s properties that there was still some love for the Bengals after not scoring a touchdown at home against the Texans in last Monday night’s loss.

For McCormick’s books, he had another element he was dealing with in the late stages of his Sunday risk management.

“We need the Nuggets. These late Warrior games are becoming a sweat every night.”

Denver gave it all they had, but came up short at home in a 118-105 loss. Golden State covered the 12.5-point spread by a half-point much to the delight of the bettors and the W’s are now a perfect 15-0 on the season.

Because of the popularity of the NBA early on, especially with Golden State, McCormick and his staff posted a prop asking what there will be more of in the regular season: Warriors wins or 76ers losses? Philadelphia is currently 0-14. McCormick posted the number at pick ‘em.

Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas race and sports book director, one of The Linemakers on , and longtime motorsports columnist and sports analyst at GamingToday. Twitter: @MicahRoberts7 Email: [email protected].

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