The NFL is plating up a three-course Thanksgiving meal this Thursday, with the New England Patriots (6-4) and Minnesota Vikings (8-2) serving as dessert.
Minnesota had its seven-game win streak snapped by the Dallas Cowboys last weekend by being victims of the biggest blowout so far of the 2022 NFL season. Meanwhile, the Pats edged past the New York Jets last Sunday by returning a punt for a touchdown (first in the NFL all season).
Which players will put on a show and eat that celebratory post-game turkey leg? Find out the answers below, as we go over the best player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets for Thursday night.
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New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds
Minnesota – priced between -145 and -152 on the moneyline as of Wednesday morning – is a 2.5- to three-point favorite against the visiting team. New England’s odds range from +122 and +130.
The Patriots are 6-3-1 against the spread this season and have been slightly better when playing at Gillette Stadium (3-1-1 ATS). Despite this trend, however, DraftKings bettors are more confident in the Vikes both laying the points (69% of spread tickets) and winning outright (75% of moneyline tickets).
The Over/Under total for this late-night festivity sits at 42.5 points on legal US sports betting apps.
Also read: Patriots vs. Vikings Odds & Prediction
NFL · Thu (11/24) @ 8:23pm ET
|U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota|
Player Props, TD Scorer Bets for Pats vs. Vikes
Justin Jefferson Over 84.5 Receiving Yards (-114, Fanduel)
Week 11 marked Jefferson’s first poor showing since Week 3, having posted 98-plus yards receiving in six straight appearances prior to last Sunday’s contest. The Cowboys seem to be Jefferson’s Achilles heel. Fortunately for him, he won’t see cornerback Trevon Diggs and America’s Team for a while.
Minnesota may have needed that spanking from Dallas as a way to knock some sense back into this offense. Jefferson has exceeded his Week 12 receiving prop total in seven of his 11 outings this season.
Thanksgiving Day is a good get-right opportunity for one of the league’s best players at the position. A humble Jefferson should rebound well with another monstrous yardage total this Thursday night.
DraftKings Thanksgiving Special: Mac Jones 1+ Pass TD & Kirk Cousins 1+ Pass TD (-175)
One part of this special two-leg prop bet is clearly much more challenging than the other, but is still likely to hit.
Mac Jones – the harder half – has just four passing scores on the season, though he’s thrown one in four of his six full games. All we need is one score from a professional quarterback.
Minnesota’s middling secondary allows 1.4 passing touchdowns per contest, and has given up a touchdown in nine straight games. If Justin Fields can throw for a touchdown against the Vikings, then Jones surely can as well.
As for the easier half of this dual prop, Kirk Cousins has failed to complete a touchdown pass in just one game this season, which just came last week against Dallas.
New England is fairly good at defending against the pass, but Minnesota simply has too much offensive firepower to not connect on at least one touchdown through the air.
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Mac Jones Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards (-114, FanDuel)
The bar has been set pretty low for Jones, who can’t seem to make plays for big chunks. Whether it’s a result of his ability, the playcalling, or his weapons, he’s become the quarterback of one of the least explosive passing offenses in the NFL.
Jones has just 20 pass completions of at least 20 yards on the season, and just three 40 completions of at least 40 yards. We know that’s due in large part to him missing three games and playing just three drives in another. However, his longest completion in each of his past three games went for 26, 30, and 22 yards.
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Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer (-120, BetMGM)
Stevenson has emerged as not only the team’s lead back, but also the team’s most potent offensive scorer. He leads the Patriots in touchdowns (five), and has scored in four of his 10 outings this season.
Minnesota has the weakest red zone defense in the league, allowing a touchdown on 71.4% of red zone trips.
Four of the running back’s five 2022 touchdowns have come from within six yards from the goal line. His lone receiving touchdown was from three yards out. New England should make a few trips to the red zone, and once it does, look for Jones to dump it off to Stevenson for easy six points.
Also read: NFL Week 12 Betting Tips & Strategies