Welcome to Jack’s Place.
Jack would be golf legend Jack Nicklaus and his place would be Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. This will be the site of this week’s PGA Tour stop, the Memorial Tournament.
The event, partly because of Nicklaus’ name being attached to it, brings out the best of the best when it comes to the Tour’s stars.
There are several other good reasons the field is so star-studded. The first is the winner receives a three-year exemption on the PGA Tour (instead of the usual two years). And ask any pro around, that’s a huge deal.
Add in the winner’s share of a $9.3 million purse and it’s not a bad way to spend the week.
Odds To Win The Memorial From BetMGM
|The Memorial Tournament||BetMGM Odds|
Plenty Of Big Names In The Field
This tournament is one of those must-play events for the big names.
And the field shows they are all showing up (with a couple of exceptions). Last year’s winner, Jon Rahm, won by three strokes and had a big enough lead through three rounds that a three-over-par final round still saw him walk away with the title.
You might also recognize a few other past winners, especially the past few years. Rahm won in 2020, Patrick Cantlay won in 2019 and Bryson DeChambeau won in 2018.
Not a bad who’s who of winners. And all three of those are back in the field this year.
Want more? Well, this field is stacked. Add in Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele and another dozen of the world’s top 20 and you’ve got a packed lineup.
And it is a field that makes it tough for first-time winners to shine.
Tough…but not impossible. William McGirt (2016) and David Lingmerth (2015) both won their first–and only, so far–PGA Tour titles at the Memorial.
So, class, what have we learned so far? We’ve figured out that veterans and up-and-comers both have a shot when it comes to winning here.
Now all we have to do is whittle down the choices…which is always easier said than done.
But, we’ll give it our best shot.
Who’s On A Roll? Who’s Had Success Here?
Those are the questions we need to meld together to figure out this week’s top pick.
Putting those two things together, we’ve come up with Cantlay at +2500 as our pick this week.
He struggled here last year with a T-32 (after a final-round 79 sent him plummeting down the leaderboard) but he won here in 2019 and was T-4 in 2018 so he’s comfortable around this course.
And that comfort carries over to the 2020-2021 wraparound season as he’s recorded 10 top-25s in 12 events along with a win, a second, and a third.
As usual, he speaks softly and carries a big stick…especially in venues where he’s won.
Other Power Players Will Be Tough To Beat
This is one of those events where the cream should certainly rise to the top so don’t count out a couple of the superstars making an impact.
A player like Thomas, at +1600, is likely to be in the hunt come Sunday. He’s coming off a missed cut at the PGA Championship and a middle-of-the-pack finish last week at the Charles Schwab Challenge so there’s nothing he’d like more than to bounce back from a pair of struggling weeks to wind up in the winner’s circle.
And that’s certainly possible as he’s posted 11 top-25 finishes in his 13 made cuts and also has a win, a second, and a third.
Keep him in mind even though his odds aren’t conducive to a huge payday. But, cashing a winning ticket is always a good thing and certainly beats ripping them up. (And we have plenty of practice with that.)
And Finally, A Longshot To Ponder
With all of the stars lighting up the course this week, bettors shouldn’t overlook a longshot. A player like Charley Hoffman at +5000 doesn’t have great odds but neither did McGirt or Lingmerth when they won.
We know…we’ve picked Hoffman a couple of times this season (when he finished second and third…both in Texas events) so like his game, we’re both trending in the right direction. One added note: He didn’t play here in 2020 and missed the cut the two previous years, 2018 and 2019, so we’re hoping his positive play recently overcomes his previous struggles.
Keep in mind Hoffman has been on the front page of the leaderboard a couple of times over the last months (including a T-3 last week) and with a couple of breaks could find his way back into the winner’s circle.