This week’s PGA Tour stop mixes two of our favorite pastimes: Golf and gambling.
If you’ve ever been to Vegas (and if you haven’t, why not?) you know it’s got more than enough gaming options for anyone and everyone.
Now, add in the PGA Tour’s stop at TPC Summerlin and you’ve got the makings of an amazing week. And don’t get us started on the more than 50 golf courses in the area that offer some of the best layouts anywhere. And that’s not just our opinion.
But back to the PGA Tour’s stop. A lot of the big names still aren’t in action early in the wraparound season, but there is at least one big name that will pique fans and bettors’ interest.
With that in mind, let’s step away from the gaming tables or the slot machines (or the nightclubs for that matter) and look at one more reason why Vegas should always be at the top of peoples’ travel destinations–the PGA Tour.
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Odds to Win the Shriners Children’s Open
|Si Woo Kim||+4500|
As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays.
Expert Shriners Children’s Open Analysis and Top Pick to Win
It’s an old cliché, but one that fits perfectly this week: There are three certainties in life: Death, Taxes and … (everyone gets the chance to fill in the third certainty as they see fit).
Well, for us it’s easy: Patrick Cantlay playing great golf in Las Vegas. For Cantlay, one of the big names teeing it up this week along with defending champ Sungjae Im, it’s no gamble when he’s playing in Vegas.
Granted, Cantlay, the favorite this week at a lowly +600, missed the cut last year and that was rare good news for the rest of the field with his prior success.
Think we’re exaggerating? Nope. Before the MC in 2021, he had a four-year run where he went: Win (in a playoff), second (lost by a stroke), second (lost in a playoff), and T-8 two years ago when a final-round 73 took him out of the chance for another victory.
Now if T-8 is his worst finish in a tournament before that rare MC last year, chances are there’s something about the area, the course or his game that clicks. Or, maybe it’s all three.
We’ll be surprised if he’s not in one of the final groups on Sunday, and won’t be shocked at all if he’s holding the trophy around the 18th green.
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One of Those Up-and-Coming Guys
We’re going to ride the hot Korn Ferry Tour guy who is already making a name for himself just two tournaments into his first year on the PGA Tour.
We like the play of Vegas hometown boy Taylor Montgomery at +3500. He recently got his PGA Tour card, and he’s going to be right at home on TPC Summerlin. He’s likely got more rounds on this course than just about anybody in the field…well, except those others on the PGA Tour who call Vegas home.
But for Montgomery, he’s already showing he’s adapting quite nicely to life on the PGA Tour.
He started out with a solo third at the season-opening Fortinet Championship, and followed that up with a solid T-9 at last week’s Sanderson Farms event.
He’s the only player with top-10 finishes in the first two Tour events this year. Those two events come in his first outings on those two courses. Get him a little more comfortable with a tournament in his backyard, and there’s no reason he won’t be in contention.
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Around the Props Scene
With PGA Tour events always having fields in the 140-plus range, picking a winner is always more challenging than picking Team “A” to beat Team “B” in most other sports.
But, we can help out the odds by looking at players to finish in the top-10 or top-20. Now, granted, these don’t pay out as well, but getting odds of +200 to +300 is still a decent payback.
Getting +500 is great value, which is why we are taking a look at Rickie Fowler at +500 to finish in the top 10.
Sure, he’s missed the cut here his last three years but with a revamped outlook including just about everything about his game being new (caddie, clubs, coach, etc.), we look for an effort like the one we got in 2018 when he was T-4 here.
He’s also coming off a T-6 opening event for this wraparound season at the Fortinet Championship, so the early changes in his game have already paid dividends.
For a look at a top-20 finisher, check out a player who is also working on getting his game back into shape. Jason Day at +350 to finish in the top 20 seems like a good deal to us.
It’s been 10 years since Day wound up T-4 in Vegas at the then-named Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.
His game may not be where he wants it to be, but this course fits aggressive players as you’ve got to go low to win. We think Day will let it all hang out this week.
One more prop bet we’re going to look at is the tournament going into a playoff. At +300, it’s a number we can live with. The fact there have been playoffs in three of the last five tournaments here, and a fourth event that saw a one-stroke victory add to the appeal of the bet.
In fact, the only recent runaway tournament was last year’s event where Im (second choice this week at +900) won by four strokes.
If you really want to go nuts and are looking for more bang for your buck with this bet, a three-person playoff is at +1100 and four or more players in a playoff is at +5000.
Also read: Longshots Who Can Win Majors in 2023