The 2023 Genesis Scottish Open is two tournaments in one. Well, kind of.
The tournament offers players on the PGA Tour and the DP World Tour the chance to tee it up on a links-style course for big bucks. With the purse being around $9 million, it’s a nice payday.
Here we offer Genesis Scottish Open odds and predictions with an eye on next week’s Open Championship.
Season’s Last Major: Open Championship Odds 2023 & Futures Betting Guide
To some of the players this week, the bigger picture is it’s a great warmup event for next week’s fourth and final major of the 2022-2023 wraparound season.
Make no mistake about it, everyone who is anyone in the golf rankings and is eligible to play this week will be here to tee it up. In all, 14 of the world’s top 15 players (there won’t be any Jon Rahm sightings this week) will be taking aim at the top prize as well as seizing momentum heading into next week.
The tournament will be held at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland. It’s going to be 72 holes of players adapting to more links-style play, time differentials, deep non-forgiving bunkers, and trying not to look ahead to the Open Championship.
Mastering all of those just might give the winner an edge heading into the year’s final major. One more note for bettors to remember: The tournament will start late Wednesday night/very early Thursday morning depending on which time zone you live in.
Make sure not to get shut out.
Also bet: Barbasol Championship Odds
Odds to Win Scottish Open
|Min Woo Lee||+4000|
We list odds from Caesars, but shop around at other top-rated sportsbooks to find the best prices on your plays.
Favorites Need to Up Their Games
With the number 1, 3, and 4 in the world rankings in the field (that would be Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Patrick Cantlay), it will certainly be a star-studded field of 156 golfers in this week’s Scottish Open.
The only top-ranked player not teeing it up is No. 2 Rahm. What we’re going to try and figure out is who will be focused enough on this event to put up four solid rounds and have a chance to win — and who will be using this as a stepping stone and be working on their game for next week.
If there’s a player out there (or two or more) who can balance those approaches, it could turn out to be a winning formula, and quite the boost in confidence heading into the Open Championship
Start With Scottie Scheffler
Remember, we’re still driving the Scottie Scheffler bandwagon. It’s just never smart to bet against the World No. 1, and even though he’s the favorite this week and just +600, he’s a great bet.
In the 2022-2023 wraparound season he’s been a machine. He’s got two victories, a runnerup, and 14-top 10s in 18 events.
Impressed? You should be.
We’re certain he’s not going to become complacent as this wraparound season winds down. After all, Rahm is right behind him in the race to be the world’s best golfer and with Rahm not playing, it’s a great chance for Scheffler to add to his lead.
To put an exclamation point on how dominating Scheffler’s play has been, over the last six events his worst finish is T-5. Over those six tournaments, he’s gone T-5, T-2, T-3, solo third, solo third, and T-4.
Don’t be surprised if win No. 3 of the season comes this weekend, especially after he missed the cut here last year. He would love to erase that from his memory bank.
Viktor Hovland Keeps Up Steady Play
If you’ve seen a PGA Tour leaderboard over the last couple of months, there’s at least one other name (besides Scheffler) that always seems to be prominent: Viktor Hovland.
In this wraparound season he’s got one of the best stretches of play (besides Scheffler) on his resume. Hovland has a victory in Jack Nicklaus’ Memorial tournament. He’s got a T-2 in the PGA Championship, and a T-3 in the Masters.
The list goes on.
Which is why, at +1400, he’s a solid bet this week to win. Hovland is sixth in the FedEx Cup standings and fifth in the world rankings. To say he’s playing well would be an understatement.
One of the only blips on that resume was in this event last year when he missed the cut. After that, he went on to finish T-4 in the Open Championship, so his game definitely travels well.
We’re betting he rides this hot streak to another impressive performance this week just in time for the Open Championship.
Around the Prop Scene
Check out Alex Smalley to finish in the top 10 at +500. Smalley has two things going for him this week that make him a solid choice to be in contention.
First, he wound up T-2 last week at the John Deere Classic, so he’s coming in with positive vibes. He had a third-round 62 and dealt with the weekend pressure just fine.
Second, he finished T-10 in last year’s Scottish Open so, again, the positivity is going to be there when he tees it up.
For our second prop bet, we’re going to look at picking a tournament winner without Scheffler, McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Cantlay in the picture.
The odds for Tommy Fleetwood to win, minus those four players, is +1400. Fleetwood was T-4 here last year and handled the layout well. He’ll also use this as a stepping stone for next week’s Open Championship.
He’s coming in off a missed cut at the Travelers Championship, but prior to that he was second in the Canadian Open (losing in a playoff) followed by a T-5 at the US Open.