PGA Tour Honda Classic Odds: Two Value-Based Win Bets & Prop Pick

We now return you to our regularly scheduled broadcast. After a week where it was all Tiger Woods all the time, we take the PGA Tour’s show on the road. And we mean way, way on the road.

We leave the sunny climes of Riviera Country Club in SoCal and jet some 2,600 miles to, hopefully, sunny PGA National Resort in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

This stretch of the Tour season in the Sunshine State will feature four tournaments, as well as an off-field event, during this month-long stay.

It’s going to be a run of events that will see a lot of players taking part in home games as plenty of pros call Florida home.

This week it’s the Honda Classic. Next week, they tee it up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill in Orlando (along with the off-field playing in Puerto Rico). Then it’s off to TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach for The Players Championship. This Florida swing will end with the Valspar Championship in Palm Harbor.

It’s going to be quite the month and will feature some dynamic fields (although not a star-studded group this week), impressive courses and, hopefully, plenty of sunshine.

Let’s settle in for the opener, and see if we can pick a winner and cash a prop bet.

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Odds to Win the Honda Classic

As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays. 

A Quick Look at Tiger’s Week

There was plenty to be optimistic about with Woods’ week at his event, The Genesis Invitational. He did put up some quality golf shots and one very good round. That’s the good news. The bad news is he wasn’t in contention at any point in the proceedings and wound up T-45.

That’s to be expected by most of the golf world, as he is still trying to get back to even walking normally. But for more than a few bettors, having Woods in the tournament cost them as there were a good number of wagers placed on Woods to win.

We looked at this tournament as him testing the waters before any attempt to play in the Masters. He had to be at the California event anyway as the host, so why not tee it up and measure where his game stands. He’s got to be fairly pleased with the overall game.

Where he won’t be happy is not being in contention, which is what drives him. With this overall performance, it looks good for him to compete in the Masters.

But what has to be a lingering thought in his mind is the age factor. He’s 47 and there are a whole lot of very, very talented players on the PGA Tour in their 20s or 30s, who haven’t had to try and overcome all that Woods’ body has been through.

Enough about Tiger for now. We’ll talk again when he shows up next time.

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How About Another Repeat Winner at Great Odds?

Last year’s Honda Classic winner, Sepp Straka, is back to defend his title.

Now with Straka’s resume (last year’s victory here is his only win in seven years since turning pro), it’s no wonder he’s down the odds list at +3500. But we love that number this week for the simple reason of: Who else is going to win?

With the star power this week way down (Sungjae Im is the top-ranked player in the field at No. 18 and the favorite at +850), there’s no reason Straka won’t be in the mix come Sunday.

His year has been filled with ups and downs that includes a runner-up finish at the Sanderson Farms Championship last October.

He’s teed it up in eight events with five made cuts. He’s also got a T-10 at the Hero World Challenge and was T-45 last week (with Woods) at The Genesis Invitational.

With the good vibes he will certainly feel once he gets on property, we’re betting there’s a good chance for him to repeat — just like Scottie Scheffler did a couple of weeks ago at the WM Phoenix Open.

Take a Look at Another Player Down the List

We’re still waiting for Denny McCarthy, at +2800 this week, to break through for that first PGA Tour win. This could be the week where everything aligns well for him.

He’s been feast or famine for the 2022-2023 wraparound season. He’s made nine of 11 cuts and has three finishes in the top-six. Not bad.

But, he’s also got four finishes outside the top 30. Those resulted in decent paydays, but certainly not where he envisions his game. He’s snuck up to No. 62 in the world golf rankings despite not winning, and he’s 41st in the FedEx Cup race.

He’s coming here this week off a T-30 last year, which follows up a T-3 in 2021. Pretty solid efforts. Add in the fact he was T-14 last week in the Genesis, and his game appears to be in a good spot.

With all of those positives, we’re giving him a solid shot to get that first PGA Tour win.

Around the Prop Scene

This is the perfect week to pick a player with a top finish who, if this was a star-packed field, we probably wouldn’t consider.

Danny Willett is that guy. We’re looking at him for a top-20 finish at +600.

We like this bet a lot for the simple fact he finished T-18 in last week’s Genesis event, which had as many stars in the field as L.A. has on the Hollywood Walk of Fame.

Everyone was there as nine of the top 10 in the world teed it up. This week? None of those players are here. It’s the perfect spot for Willett, who is on the comeback trail. He had two withdraws late last fall and then a missed cut in early 2023.

He appears to be back on track as he had a T-41 at the Pebble Beach event before last week’s solid effort.

Also read: Five Bets to Make (or not) on 2023 Majors | Longshots who can win Majors in 2023 | McIlroy, Rahm Lead Odds to Win 2023 Major