Now we get to the PGA Tour’s main event on the West Coast swing: The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Well, at least as far as a star-studded amateur field is concerned. While the past couple of events have had more than their share of amateurs in the field, this one ups the ante a lot.
PGA Tour Pebble Beach odds are available at DraftKings. Plenty of fans will be taking in the action at the three courses being used this week–Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course–and many will on the lookout for celebrity sightings.
Think we’re exaggerating? Well, when you’ve got a celebrity lineup as loaded as this one always is, it’s tough to argue. Among the 156 amateurs are the likes of past and present sports stars such as Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, Larry Fitzgerald, Buster Posey, and more. Or, from the music field, Macklemore and Darius Rucker. How about an actor or two such as Ray Romano, Bill Murray, and Josh Duhamel?
There are many, many more celebrities who circle this week on their calendar and, fortunately or unfortunately, the off-the-course star-power is one main reason a lot of the big names on the PGA Tour simply skip this event. Too many distractions.
As a result, only seven of the top 50 players in the world rankings are in the event highlighted by No. 10 Matt Fitzpatrick and No. 11 Viktor Hovland.
Oh, we almost forgot, we’re here to talk about this week’s golf stop: the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Let’s take a look at who can overcome the long, long rounds and the distractions the fans are sure to bring and come away with a victory.
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Odds to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays.
Staying Focused Will Be Key
Unlike many tournaments on the PGA Tour, course workers holding up “quiet” signs won’t have a lot of luck keeping fans silenced.
When fans see their non-golf stars, it’s hard to keep their reactions in check. And those celebrities have never been known to not appreciate adoring fans. After all, these fans pay a good portion of their salaries.
Add in a few stops at the concession stands for a beer or two, and it can get loud out here. (Well, it’s nothing like next week’s stop in Scottsdale, where they mix PGA Tour golf with a little game called the Super Bowl, but it’s still quite the show).
Finally, there are the rounds that can stretch out to five-plus hours with broadcasters talking to the stars early and often. Face it: It’s going to take a lot of patience for the Tour players to stay in the moment let alone staying in contention this week.
If PGA Tour players are teeing it up with a lesser-known star, it might make the week go a little smoother. If your player is teeing it up with a superstar actor or sports star, all bets are off.
Saying “all bets are off” is not a good thing when you’re talking about wagering on how these Tour pros will perform. But, it’s what we do, and we’ll move ahead despite the fact we think we see Bill Murray and his contingent of fans in the next fairway.
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Pebble Beach Expert Analysis: Defending is Never Easy
We’ve said that a hundred times if we’ve said it once, but this tournament is one of the exceptions. In fact, this event has had back-to-back winners six times with the most recent being Dustin Johnson in 2009 and 2010.
So maybe looking at Tom Hoge, last year’s winner and a great price at +2000, is a solid value. This is the site of his one and only PGA Tour win. He’s followed that up this wraparound season with five top-25 finishes including a third at Maui in the Sentry Tournament of Champions.
Hoge’s up to 29th in the world golf rankings and tied for 15th in the FedEx Cup points race. In last year’s event, with all of the distractions, he was the only player in the top six finishers not to have a round in the 70s. He opened with a 63 and was off to the races.
We said staying focused was a key. Hoge did it last year, and walked away with the title.
We’re betting he can do it again.
Maybe Another First-Time Winner?
Last year, Hoge got into the winner’s circle for the first time after battling to get into contention for so many tournaments leading up to this event. Now, it could be time for another first-time winner to make his mark.
We like Maverick McNealy at +2000 to finally get that first PGA Tour victory. He’s 26th in the FedEx Cup race and 60th in the world rankings. His game is solid. He was only T-33 in last year’s tournament here, but he was T-2 in 2021 and he’s had plenty of success on these three courses.
McNealy’s knocking on the door of that first win with six top-20 finishes in nine events.
Around the Prop Scene
We’re going back to an old(ish) favorite to finish in the top 10. Take a look at Justin Rose, at +320, to have a top-10 finish.
He’s been struggling over this wraparound season (well, for the last year if you want to get specific) but Rose is getting back in form. Over his last four events in this wraparound season, he’s got a best finish of T-9.
That’s the good news. The bad news is he has been prone to having one marginal round that comes in right around par that costs him a higher finish. We’re betting he’s ready to get back into top form, and be on that first page of the leaderboard when the dust clears on Sunday.
One longshot is for bettors to back a trio of players to win. At +1200, backing the trio of Matt Kuchar, Denny McCarthy, and Joel Dahmen as a single wager to win looks like a good value.
Kuchar has had success here, but the duo of Dahmen (T-6 last year) and McCarthy (T-12 last year) make this an interesting wager and one that could result in a nice payday.