PGA Tour Odds & Props: Sam Burns the Favorite at Sanderson Farms Championship, But…

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After a weekend of fun and games for Team USA as they hoisted the Presidents Cup trophy yet again, it’s now time for the rest of the PGA Tour players to get back to work. Well, many of them anyway.

With the Tour heading to The Country Club of Jackson, MS for the Sanderson Farms Championship, it’s going to be the perfect chance for players who are still looking for that first PGA Tour title to step up and get in the hunt come Sunday. Here are odds and props for this week’s event.

While many big names still won’t be in action, especially after a lot of them took part in last week’s energy and emotion-draining Presidents Cup, the event will still have a solid tournament field.

Start with defending champion Sam Burns and work through the roster of players and you’ll see 24 players on the Tour who have won in the past two seasons. In total, the tournament field has 128 PGA Tour victories.

So while names like Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, and others in the top 10 world rankings may be missing in action this week, fans will still get an event that is growing in stature and attracting a little more talent each year.

And if you’re going to win this week, be prepared to go low. Over the last five years, the average winning score is 20-under-par. Time to go flag-hunting.

It’s the 55th playing of the event with $1.2 million and 500 FedEx Cup points going to the winner.

Oh, and don’t forget about that all-expense trip to Kapalua in January for the Tournament of Champions that the winner will earn.

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Odds to Win Sanderson Farms Championship (DraftKings)

Sam Burns owns the shortest price at 11-to-1 odds heading into Thursday.

PlayerDraftKings
Sam Burns+1100
J.T. Poston+1600
Denny McCarthy+1800
Sahith Theegala+2000
Russell Henley+2200
Sebastian Munoz+2500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+2800
Scott Stallings+3000
Keegan Bradley+3500
Taylor Montgomery+3500
Emiliano Grillo+4000
Thomas Detry+4000
Davis Riley+4000
Seamus Power+4000
Andrew Putnam+4500
Taylor Moore+4500
Chris Kirk+4500
Harris English+5000
Adam Hadwin+5000
Trey Mullinax+5000
Sepp Straka+5000
Alex Smalley+6000
Gary Woodland+6000
Brendan Steele+6500

As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays.

We’re Not Riding the Defending Champion

A lot of times we love to take a look at the defending champion.

Like two weeks ago when Max Homa repeated and won the season-opening Fortinet Championship.

But this year we’re steering clear of Burns, the favorite at +1100.

Sam Burns is the Sanderson Farms Championship odds favorite, but our Bill Bowman has another golfer in mind. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

The reason is because he’s going to be dead tired when he shows up on site.

He’s coming off a whirlwind week taking part in the Presidents Cup. With all of the hype, the work, the cheerleading, the play, and the ups-and-downs all of the players went through, it has to have taken its toll on Burns.

He will also have a lot on his plate this week as the defending champ with appearances, so in our eyes, it’s going to be a tough week for him to concentrate on the golf tournament.

Limited Big Names? No Problem

There’s still an awful lot of talent in the field this week… just not names that pop up on the leaderboard week-in and week-out.

That might change this week with a name that has been on the periphery for the past few months: Sahith Theegala at +2000.

He wound up T-8 in this event last year after a sizzling start (opening-round 64), so he’s coming in with a lot of confidence.

Add in the fact that he’s sixth in the FedEx Cup rankings after the first event following a T-6 at the Fortinet Championship and there’s no doubt he’s coming into this event in good form.

And that play has seen him rise up to No. 51 in the world rankings.

It’s not a matter of if this young man will win on the PGA Tour, it’s when.

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A Player You May Not Have Heard About

We call Las Vegas home so we’ve followed the name Taylor Montgomery since his youth days with the Southern Nevada Junior Golf Association, through his high school days, and followed up with a solid college career at UNLV.

Now, he’s got a PGA Tour card for at least the next two years through a top-25 finish on the Korn Ferry Tour last season.

With the pressure of trying to earn that coveted two-year exemption off his plate, he can concentrate on just playing the game.

And we’re looking for big things, especially early in the season as he gets his Tour legs under him.

Montgomery, at +4000 this week, came out of the gates hot. He was solo third at the Fortinet Championship and is already in the top 100 in the world golf rankings at No. 91.

Don’t look for this train to stop anytime soon. He didn’t win on the Korn Ferry Tour last season but had six top-five finishes including a solo second and a T-2.

Sure, the PGA Tour is a different animal but with the pressure of trying to qualify for a card on the PGA Tour now off his shoulders, watch out.

Around the Prop Scene

There’s decent money to be made this week without guys even having to win the tournament.

We’re looking at a top-10 finish by Justin Suh at +700.

Another Korn Ferry graduate (he won the Korn Ferry Tour Championship), Suh comes in with high hopes despite a missed cut at the opening Fortinet Championship.

At those odds, we like the fact he finished last season strong with six top-10s in his last seven events including that season-ending victory.

One more to look at for a top-10 finish is Gary Woodland at +550.

Woodland is one of the bigger names in the field but his recent play has been suspect.

He was T-64 in the Fortinet Championship after four rounds that were all right around par.

That’s not good enough for a guy with this much talent… four PGA Tour wins including the 2019 US Open.

He only had five top-10s last year and missed the cut here last year.

We’re betting he’s going to get it figured out sooner rather than later.

We’re not going to pick him to win but a solid effort could certainly land him a top-10 finish.

Also read: How to bet on golf | Best golf betting odds

About the Author
Bill Bowman

Bill Bowman

Bill Bowman is a Las Vegas-based writer who has more than 40 years in the sports-writing business. He's spent the past 18-plus years covering the golf scene in Vegas including 10 years as a writer/editor with VegasGolfer Magazine. He also contributes to the GolfNow Network of websites and Las Vegas Golf Insider.

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