The Eagles are coming off their scintillating run to the Super Bowl, and Philadelphia is expected to be among the NFL’s elite teams again.
We’re here to identify the best Eagles player prop bets for the 2023 NFL season. Top-rated sportsbooks, including FanDuel and Caesars, have set some aggressive targets for Philadelphia’s key offensive weapons.
Philadelphia’s Offense Fueled by ‘Core Four’ Players
Led by dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts, the Eagles finished 14-3 in the regular season last year. A.J. Brown paced Philadelphia with 1,496 receiving yards on 88 catches last season. Fellow WR DeVonta Smith led the Eagles with 95 catches.
The Eagles picked up RB D’Andre Swift in a trade with Detroit this offseason. Swift is listed No. 1 on the team’s depth chart. Let’s explore the best prop bets to make on these “core four” players in Philadelphia for the upcoming season. Odds are via FanDuel unless noted otherwise.
Jalen Hurts To Score 15+ Rushing Touchdowns (+350)
This is an ambitious number, as Hurts has never hit this target for rushing TDs in three seasons with the Eagles (3-10-13). But the NFL opted not to change the rule that allows Philadelphia’s “QB sneak push play” that was so effective last season.
Hurts converted 36-of-40 QB sneaks last season, with teammates pushing him to a first down or touchdown 90% of the time. It’s nearly an impossible play to defend at the goal line. The +350 price is enough to entice.
Make the Bet? YES
A.J. Brown to Score 10+ Receiving Touchdowns (-150)
Brown barely crested this number last year with 11. In his first three seasons with Tennessee, he produced 8, 11, and five TDs. Based on history, this projects as another sub-10 season.
As noted above, too, Smith eats into Brown’s target share. He caught seven TDs compared to Brown’s 11 last year, but those totals could easily flip in 2023. Caesars offers a better option with Brown’s TD total set at 7.5 with the Over priced at +100. Play that instead.
Make the Bet? NO
DeVonta Smith ‘Over’ 6.5 Receiving TDs (-115 at Caesars)
See above for the logic behind this highly correlated play.
Jalen Hurts ‘Over’ 3,600.5 Passing Yards (-112 at FanDuel)
FanDuel also has the Under priced at -112 here. Hurts threw for a career-high 3,701 yards last season despite missing two games. Presuming he can remain healthy, this number should be well in reach.
Injuries are always the great unknown when making these types of prop bets. Hurts suffered a high-ankle sprain and a shoulder injury but was fortunate to miss only a couple of games last year. He recently made headlines after “hurting” himself in a charity softball game.
D’Andre Swift ‘Under’ 575.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Caesars)
While slotted No. 1 on the depth chart, Swift joins a crowded Philadelphia backfield. The Eagles also signed Rashaad Penny away from Seattle. Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott are also returning for the Eagles.
Miles Sanders, who moved on to Carolina, led Philadelphia in rushing with 1,000+ yards last season. No other running back reached 300 yards.
In three years with the Lions, Swift only topped 575 yards rushing once. He might be counted as much or more for his receiving skills by the Eagles. He amassed 1,198 receiving yards and seven TDs in his three seasons in Detroit.
Jalen Hurts ‘Under’ 725.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Caesars)
Hurts was the team’s second-leading rusher with 760 yards last season, but we’re expecting some regression this year. Philadelphia signed Swift and Penny with an eye on limiting designed runs for Hurts.
The Eagles obviously need Hurts to be healthy to make another deep playoff run. Look for Philadelphia to be more cautious in his usage with runs out in space — and for that deep stable of running backs to do the heavy lifting on the ground this season.