The Philadelphia Eagles travel to Arrowhead to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch from last year’s Super Bowl. Both teams still lead their respective conferences nine months later as they lock horns in what may be the game of the year.
We’ll break down betting odds and props for the game and feature our official Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction for this primetime showdown.
NFL Week 11 MNF Odds: Eagles vs. Chiefs Spread, Moneyline, Total
As expected, the betting lines for this matchup are very tight. The defending champs are favored by 2.5 points, and are between -148 and -140 on the moneyline. The visiting team can be taken at as long as +126 at FanDuel.
The Over/Under total is around 45.5 points at most sports betting apps.
Eagles vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 5-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The Eagles are 8-1 straight up (SU) this season.
- The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS on the road this season.
- The total has gone Over in five of their nine games this season.
Kansas City Chiefs
- The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS this season.
- The Chiefs are 7-2 SU this season.
- The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS as the favorite this season.
- The Chiefs are 3-1 ATS at home this season.
- The total has gone Over in two of their nine games this season.
Eagles vs. Chiefs Player Props
Don’t just bet on the game. Here’s a few player props to consider for Eagles vs. Chiefs:
Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer (+115, DraftKings)
Jalen Hurts is the most prolific touchdown scorer at the quarterback position the league has to offer. He has hit pay dirt in six of his nine games and eight times total on the season.
Travis Kelce Under 75.5 Receiving Yards (-115, Caesars)
The Chiefs’ offense isn’t as explosive as it has been in year’s past, and it has taken a hit on Travis Kelce’s numbers. Outside of a two-game stretch in October where he combined for 303 yards, Kelce has failed to hit this week’s receiving line in six games this season. He has 72 yards over the last two games alone.
Philadelphia’s defense has been pretty generous through the air for opposing offenses overall, but not to tight ends. Only one tight end (Dallas Cowboys’ Jake Ferguson with 91) has racked up 76-plus yards on the Eagles all season. The top tight end of each game is averaging just 39.8 yards against the Eagles.
Eagles vs. Chiefs Analysis & Prediction
Everything about last year’s meeting in the big game was as expected. Patrick Mahomes, while not throwing for a ton of yards, scored three touchdowns through the air. Hurts used his legs in a major way. AJ Brown played bigger than his 226-pound frame.
The Chiefs’ offense has taken a dip in 2023, ranking 13th in scoring and putting up 30-plus points just twice in nine games. Fortunately, they also sport the league’s best defense, which holds opponents to 15.9 points per contest.
Now for last season’s runner up. The Eagles have the opposite plan of attack at the Chiefs, ranking third in scoring offense (28.0 points per game) and 17th in scoring defense (21.7 points per game).
The total point is at a modest 45.5, but don’t be surprised if both teams bleed into the 30s – the final score in the Super Bowl was 38-35.
Both teams are masters of winning close games. The Chiefs are 4-1 in games decided by fewer than 10 points, while Philadelphia is 5-1 in one-score games.
The Eagles’ sole loss came against the New York Jets in Week 6. In that game, Hurts threw three picks and the team lost the turnover battle, 4-0, despite beating New York in almost every major statistical category. Outside of that one weird defeat, the Eagles have been undefeated.
The Chiefs’ two losses were much more understandable and repeatable. And no matter how strong they are on defense, they will probably still have trouble stopping Hurts on the ground and AJ Brown, who has topped 100-plus yards in six games this year.
Eagles vs. Chiefs Pick: Eagles +126 via FanDuel Sportsbook
How to Watch Eagles vs. Chiefs
- Game Day: Monday, November 20, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Kansas City, MO
- Network/Live Stream: ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN+