Stand up if you had the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 7 of the NL Championship Series when the MLB Playoffs began. Now, sit down, because you lie. But that’s where we are: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona for all the NL marbles in Game 7 on Tuesday night. The winner is awarded the pennant and will advance to the World Series.
Here are the best Phillies vs Diamondbacks odds available at top sports betting apps.
The D’backs defeated the Phils 5-1 in Game 6 on Monday, behind a shut-down pitching performance. The Philadelphia lineup was held to six hits, five of them singles. It was the most meager effort by the Phils’ lineup this postseason. Now, that team will be challenged to find run-scoring opportunities in Game 7. It’s a historic fact that no team has ever won a Game 7 when they failed to score. As Hall of Famer Yogi Berra said, “You could look it up!”
Pitching Matchup for Game 7
Brandon Pfaadt (2.13 ERA, 15 K in 12.2 IP) vs. Ranger Suárez (0.64 ERA, 13 K in 14 IP)
The rookie Pfaadt will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks with a chance to pitch his team to their second World Series in franchise history. Pfaadt pitched in Double-A last season and didn’t make his MLB debut until May. This is his sixth season as a professional, following an unheralded college career for Bellarmine University in Louisville.
To say Pfaadt isn’t a household name is like saying boll weevils don’t make good house pets. But here he is, an unlikely hero candidate on the biggest stage for his team.
For Phils’ manager Rob Thompson, Suárez might be the perfect man for a Game 7, when the entire bullpen will be ready at the drop of a cap. In his Game 3 start against Arizona, Suárez pitched brilliantly: three hits and no runs in 5 1/3. But his bullpen failed him in that game, which it can’t do this time. It’s win or go home, and Suárez must manage his command (only four walks in 17 1/3 IP vs. Arizona this season).
It’s unlikely either Pfaadt or Suárez will be around long enough to record a ton of K’s, so shy away from pitcher strikeout props. It’s best to bet the same-game parlays, run line, or moneyline this time around.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Game 7 Preview & Prediction
Who knows with this series, am I right? The Phils won the first two games, and it seemed like it would be a quick series. But Arizona took two of three at home, and their pitching staff came up big to shackle the vaunted Phillies’ offense. The more experienced Phils won Game 5.
With a 3-2 lead, it seemed likely the Phillies would swat aside the pesky D’backs on Monday in Game 6. But no, the Snakes won an impressive 5-1 game where they showed off pitching depth and were offensively aggressive. Their reward was Game 7, whereas the talking heads say, “Anything can happen.”
But we’re not interested in “anything” that might happen. We want to know what will happen to align our MLB Playoffs betting accordingly.
In Game 7’s, the home team has won 47% of the time. That’s right: the road team has won 30 of the 57 MLB Game 7’s since 1903 when the modern postseason started. But history or not, it’s hard to side against the Phillies. The crowd will make Game 7 “Red October,” and the noise will echo across Philadelphia for Tuesday’s game. We don’t think Arizona will go quietly, so you could bet on a one-run game in baseball’s 58th Game 7.
Game 7 Pick
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