Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Odds: 2023 MLB NLCS Game 3 Preview is an independent sports news and information service. has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. When you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site, Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

For more information, please read How We Rate Sportsbooks, Privacy Policy, or Contact Us with any concerns you may have.

Gaming Today is licensed and regulated to operate in AR, AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NH, NV, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.

The Phillies are channeling Philadelphia icon Rocky Balboa, and they have the Arizona Diamondbacks on the ropes in the National League Championship Series. The Phils hold a 2-0 series lead as Game 3 will be played in the desert on Thursday night. Odds have the D’Backs as +640 longshots to come back to capture this series and the pennant.


World Series Odds     MLB Betting Promos

The Phillies are riding a power wave as fearsome as a Rocky uppercut: the team has clobbered 19 home runs in its eight playoff games, and six in the first two of this NLCS. The D’Backs pitching staff must feel like a cartoon character after getting struck on the head, with stars and birds floating around their eyes. But, Arizona has home field for Games 3 and 4, and a Game 5, if necessary. Only one win would shift this series and the MLB odds.

Get Up to $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets
UP TO $1,500
In Bonus Bets
$1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets
Free Live Streaming - Watch Live Games 
Use Bonus Code: TODAY

Series Schedule, TV Coverage of NLCS

  • Game 1: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 3
  • Game 2: Phillies 10, Diamondbacks 0
  • Game 3: Phillies at Diamondbacks, Oct. 19, 5:07 PM ET on TBS
  • Game 4: Phillies at Diamondbacks, Oct. 20, 8:07 PM ET on TBS
  • Game 5:* Phillies at Diamondbacks, Oct. 21, 8:07 PM ET on TBS
  • Game 6:* Diamondbacks at Phillies, Oct. 23, 5:07 PM ET, on TBS
  • Game 7:* Diamondbacks at Phillies, Oct. 24, 8:07 PM ET, on TBS

*If necessary

Head-to-Head Results

The Phillies won the regular season series, 4-3.

FanDuel Sportsbook NLCS Winner Odds: Diamondbacks +640 | Phillies -1000

Get up to $1,000 at Caesars Sportsbook
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: TODAY1000

Pitching Matchup for Game 3

Ranger Suárez (1.04 ERA, 6 K in 8.2 IP*) vs. Brandon Pfaadt (3.86 ERA, 6 K in 7 IP*)

Stats during 2023 postseason

Neither of the Game 3 starters is likely to be in the game for the fifth inning. Both have been 3-4 inning guys in this postseason, though Suárez has the stamina to go deeper if he’s dealing. Which he was last time he faced Arizona, in June. In that start, Suárez pitched seven scoreless. It was a stark improvement from his start against ARI in May, when he allowed five earned runs in five frames. In that contest, Evan Longoria went deep off the Phils’ lefthander.

Pfaadt is making his third PS start, and first since he performed well against the Dodgers last week (zero runs in 4 1/3). He will use the fastball, slider, and change, almost exclusively. His hard-hit percentage ranks in the bottom third of the league, which is the bad way to be. That means hitters do square him up. Against the Phillies, that could be devastating. The 25-year-old rookie has never faced Philadelphia. A clean slate? Sure, but it could also be a rude awakening for the D’Backs starter in Game 3.


More Baseball: Best MLB Betting Sites | MLB MVP Odds

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Game 3 Preview, Prediction, Best Bet

Win by the sword, die by the sword, right? Currently, the sword for the Phillies is the home run. They’ve hit 15 in their last four games (!). But, just as soon as your lineup gets homer-happy, that success can fade. That’s the hope the Diamondbacks must cling to for Game 3 and beyond: that their pitching staff can shut off the Phils’ power source. To win, Arizona needs to get some four-baggers of its own.

Calling Christian Walker! Calling Corbin Carroll! Calling Lourdes Gurriel Jr.! Those three, who combined for 82 HR in the regular season, are 2-for-22 in the NLCS. Both hits have been singles. That’s not going to get the job done. The Snakes need venom from that trio, even two of them, if they are to slither back into this series.



Game 3 Pick: The Phillies have shown us their power and enthusiasm the last two Octobers, but they’ve never made it easy. Last season, they lost a game on the road in the NLCS, and we think they’ll lose at least one this time too. Take the D’Backs to grab Game 3, in a close, come-from-behind victory at the expense of the Phillies’ bullpen.

Bet the Diamondbacks on the money line, where you’ll likely find odds in the +110 to +118 range (Best Live Odds: ).

New Players get up to $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel Sportsbook
Bet $5
Get $150
In Bonus Bets
Up to $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Team Wins
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now

About the Author
Dan Holmes

Dan Holmes

Writer and Contributor
Dan Holmes is a writer and contributor for Gaming Today with plenty of experience under his belt. Dan has written three books about sports and previously worked for the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Major League Baseball. Currently, Dan is residing in Michigan with his family.

Get connected with us on Social Media