In the aftermath of a 4-2 win in Game 3 of the National League Championship Series on Friday, the Philadelphia Phillies are -240 favorites to advance to World Series, according to the updated series price at FanDuel Sportsbook. The San Diego Padres are offered at +200 odds to come back and win the seven-game series.
Down 2 games to 1, the Padres turn to starter Mike Clevinger in Game 4 on Saturday. Bailey Falter gets the ball for the Phillies. The NLCS Game 4 betting line is priced as a virtual coin flip.
The winner of the NLCS faces either the Houston Astros or New York Yankees in the Fall Classic. The World Series begins Oct. 28 in the park of the American League champion.
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Padres vs. Phillies, Game 4 NLCS Odds
As of Saturday morning, the Padres can be had for -105 at DraftKings to win Game 4. PointsBet offers both teams at -107.
Here are current numbers from the top sports betting apps.
Phillies’, Padres’ Updated World Series Odds
With a game lead in the NLCS, the Phillies are +250 to win the World Series, according to Caesars Sportsbook.
Prior to the MLB Playoffs, the Phillies were priced at +3000 to win the World Series. That means anyone with a $100 wager on the Phils to win the Fall Classic, would garner $3,000 if the team pulls it off. Philadelphia is six wins away from that goal.
Before the 2022 season began, you could have gotten +2500 on the Phillies to win the World Series. The last time Philly won the pennant was in 2009, and their most recent title came in 2008.
The Padres were +380 to win the World Series before Game 3 and now stand at +600 via Caesars.CS Schedule: Phillies at Padres.
With a 2-0 lead in the ALCS, the Astros are -180 at Caesars to win it all, and the Yankees are the longest shot on the board at +1100.
Current numbers: 2022 World Series odds
NLCS Schedule and Results
The schedule for the 2022 National League Championship Series:
- Game 1: Tuesday, Oct. 18 at San Diego (Phillies 2-0)
- Game 2: Wednesday, Oct. 19 at San Diego (Padres 8-5)
- Game 3: Friday, Oct. 21 at Philadelphia (Phillies 4-2)
- Game 4: Saturday, Oct. 22 at Philadelphia
- Game 5: Sunday, Oct. 23 at Philadelphia
- Game 2: Monday, Oct. 24 at San Diego
- Game 2: Tuesday, Oct. 25 at San Diego
The ALCS will be televised by FS1, and you can hear it on ESPN Radio.
Padres vs. Phillies Pitching Matchup, Game 4 NLCS
Mike Clevinger (0-1, 13.50 ERA in PS) vs. Bailey Falter (0-0, 2.70 ERA in PS)
How do you define pressure? Philly starter Bailey Falter has made just 17 starts in his career, and his 18th will come in Game 4 on Saturday in the NL Championship Series. This will be the first postseason appearance for Falter, who hasn’t pitched more than one inning in a game since Sep. 30.
In his postgame press conference after Game 3, Phillies’ manager Rob Thompson admitted that his plan is for Fakter to “go one time through” the Padres lineup. That’s wise, because the number show that the lefty has trouble the more times the opposing team sees him. The first time he faces a batter, opponents have a 558 OPS, after that, from the second PA and on, batters have a 905 OPS against Falter.
The Padres can’t feel that confident in their Game 4 starter. Mike Clevinger gave up as many baserunners as he got outs in his start against the Dodgers in the NL Division Series round. The high-strung righty allowed four earned runs and five overall in just 2 2/3 innings. Clevinger has decent MLB stuff, but outside of one five-inning start for Cleveland back in the 2018 ALDS, he’s never looked like he could handle the big stage of the playoffs.
Game 4 will come down to which bullpen can give their team the most outs. Expect a lot of baserunners, which means defense will be important. Typically, you’d give the defensive edge to San Diego, but the Padres made a few misjudgments on the field in Game 3.
Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Jean Segura and shortstop Bryson Stott celebrate their win in Game 3 of the baseball NL Championship Series between the San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, Oct. 21, 2022, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
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Padres, Phillies NLCS Game 4 Pick
This series is setting up to become a mismatch on the scoreboard because the Phillies are committed to not losing. It seems like every player on the Philly roster is determined to do whatever it takes. The Padres have the talent to win, but with the Phils getting amazing performances from a bullpen that ranked 23rd in MLB in ERA in the regular season.
While San Diego could come back to tie the series and force a return to San Diego, we think Philadelphia smells the pennant, and will secure Game 4, putting their opponent in a deep hole.
Because Falter has no experience in the postseason, oddsmakers have kept the moneyline favorable to hop on a fair price for Game 4. Bet the Phillies to win the game outright.
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