A typical road trip to South Beach for Pitt has been a pleasure, getting away from those late-season gun-metal skies, the cold, wind and snow, to enjoy some sun and sand, cruisin’ Collins Avenue.
Football? Pffft. The Panthers have won only one of their previous 13 games against the Hurricanes in their own yard. Three of those were goose eggs for Pitt, in which Miami racked up 138 points.
This time, it will be much different. Here’s a look at Pittsburgh vs. Miami odds and a pick in Week 13 of the NCAAF season.
Pittsburgh vs. Miami Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Here are live odds from around the betting market for Pittsburgh vs. Miami at Hard Rock Stadium.
NCAAF · Sat (11/26) @ 8:00pm ET
|Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida|
Pittsburgh Panthers (7-4, 4-7 Against The Spread)
The Pitt-Miami series has been one-sided since Nov. 30, 1963, eight days after JFK was assassinated. The Panthers won that day, but they would not win again in South Florida for almost exactly 51 years.
On Nov. 29, 2014, Pitt won, 35-23. That’s its lone triumph at the Canes’ house since those raw mournful days following the national tragedy.
This weekend, the Panthers will have it together on both sides of the ball.
In points-per-play margin over its past three games, Pitt rates 0.179, No. 21 in college football over that span. On defense, it has yielded 0.219 PPP in its previous three tilts, and only 10 programs in the country have been stingier.
The Panthers aren’t in any better shape than Miami at quarterback, with Kedon Slovis. But they do shine in the backfield, where 5-foot-11, 215-pound sophomore tailback Israel Abanikanda has run roughshod on foes.
In particular, he tattooed Virginia Tech for 320 yards on 36 runs and six touchdowns. He broke the school record of 303 that Tony Dorsett had established at home against Notre Dame in 1975.
That ignited a five-game blitz in which he has totaled 810 yards and 12 TDs. His 1,320 yards on the year rank 11th in the country.
That’s what Miami will have to deal with. Pitt has defended the run better than anyone in the nation over its past three games, yielding a mere 1.1 yards per dash. Miami, meanwhile, is in the bottom half of the country by allowing 4.6 yards a run.
This game will pound the Canes out of their season-long misery.
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Miami Hurricanes (5-6, 2-9 ATS)
What in the Wide, Wide World of Sports happened to this Hurricanes program? Alum Mario Cristobal came home and lured all these experienced coaches and talented players to The U.
This was supposed to be the Southeast version of USC’s incredible turnaround in the Southwest. Not. Even. Close.
The worst aspect is how the Canes have been so dismal at home, losing their past four Hard Rock games 45-3 (to Florida State), 45-21 (to Duke), 27-24 (to North Carolina), and 45-31 (to Middle Tennessee).
None of them were covers, for those in the stands accustomed to wagering on The U.
Worst of all, Miami was favored by nearly 26 against Middle Tennessee, which returned a sweet +1750 moneyline to its fans. Those who risked $100 on the Blue Raiders’ moneyline were rewarded with $1,750.
What went wrong? Tyler Van Dyke. Last season, he became the first Miami quarterback since Bernie Kosar to throw for at least 325 yards in three consecutive games. That gave hope for the future.
In eight games this season, though, the 6-4, 225-pound sophomore has hit 325 only twice. He has completed 63.7% of his attempts in eight games, with 10 touchdowns and four picks.
An injury to his throwing shoulder against Duke added to his woes. Reserves Jack Garcia and Jacurri Brown have both played in seven games apiece and have been mediocre. If Van Dyke doesn’t play against Pitt, look for Brown to start.
Turnovers have also been a major culprit. Miami has given it away 2.1 times a game this season, and only eight programs have been more careless with the ball.
But here’s the salt in the wound: at home, the Canes give it away 3.6 times per game. Easily, that’s the worst in the land. Such carelessness keeps locals away from that stench inside Hard Rock.
The defense, too, has been brutal — a sieve in allowing third-down (bottom quarter of the nation) and fourth-down conversions (bottom 10 in the country). It has allowed foes 8.2 yards per pass, which is in the game’s bottom 20.
Pittsburgh vs. Miami Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick
Hard Rock has been a house of horrors for Pitt, but overwhelming evidence points to the Panthers in this Saturday night affair on the ACC Network.
They’re tight on defense, and Abanikanda is a titanic ground force. Miami is weak against the run and when they have the ball, the Hurricanes have the slipperiest hands in the country at home. Giving less than a touchdown is a gift.
Our Pick: Panthers -6.5 (-110)