No team advanced from the Round of 16 to the quarterfinals in more nerve-racking fashion than Morocco, while no one reached the quarters with less drama than Portugal.
Their vastly different tactical approaches — as well as the massive difference between how they won their Round of 16 matchups — are part of what makes Portugal-Morocco a fascinating match-up, even if Portugal are heavily favored.
The contrast between high-scoring Portugal and a stingy Moroccan side that have been impenetrable – the only goal they’ve allowed in four matches was an own goal when they were beating Canada 2-0 – makes Saturday morning’s battle a hell of an undercard prior to England-France later that afternoon.
With Portugal having scored 12 goals and allowed four, and Morocco having scored four and allowed just one, so something will have to give.
Here we look at odds, props, and predictions for Portugal vs. Morocco in the quarterfinals at the Qatar 2022 FIFA World Cup.
Portugal vs. Morocco Odds: Moneyline & Total for World Cup Clash
Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for Portugal vs. Morocco. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.
These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +270.
SOCCER · Sat (12/10) @ 10:00 am ET
|Al Thumama Stadium, Doha, QA|
Portugal vs. Morocco Moneyline Odds
The three-way moneyline prices apply only to what the scoreboard reads after 90 minutes of regulation (including stoppage time). That means that if you bet Portugal (or Morocco) to win, and they advance in overtime or on PKs, your bet still goes down as a loss since the game was tied at the end of regulation.
If you think one side will advance to the next round, but think it might happen after the match is tied through 90 minutes, take a look at odds to advance. For this match, Portugal are -300 to advance, while Morocco are +235 on DraftKings. At FanDuel, the “to advance” prices are Portugal -380 and Morocco +280. Caesars offers Portugal at -333 and Morocco at +240.
Portugal vs. Morocco Total
The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over priced at +120 on DraftKings, while the Under is -145. While the price on the Under is less than enticing at -145, that’s probably the play.
Portugal vs. Morocco: World Cup History
Portugal qualified for the World Cup for just the third time in their history in 2002, but they’ve been a fixture in the last six World Cups. The best Portuguese World Cup performance of the last 20 years was 2006, when they reached the semifinals, where they lost to France 1-0.
Morocco have already made history by reaching the quarterfinals for the first time ever. In fact, the Qatar World Cup marks just the second time – and the first since 1986 – that Morocco have advanced from group play. Morocco’s appearance at the 2018 World Cup was their first qualification since 1998.
Morocco and Portugal have met at the World Cup twice. Both previous matches between the two took place in the group stage, with Morocco winning in 1986 and Portugal winning in 2018.
Portugal Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Portugal’s futures odds to win the World Cup are now comparable to England’s (both countries are +600 on DraftKings), but longer than those of Brazil, France, and Argentina. Prior to the tournament, the biggest question for Portugal was what version of Cristiano Ronaldo would show up.
So far, the 37-year-old’s age has shown – Ronaldo scored on a PK in his team’s World Cup opener, but he’s taken just nine shots on goal (with only one on target) in four matches.
But even with long-time Manager Fernando Santos benching Ronaldo for his team’s Round of 16 clash with Switzerland, Portugal looked like one of the most dangerous sides in the field thanks to a breakout hat trick from 21-year-old Goncalo Ramos of Benfica in a 6-1 romp.
Three other Portuguese players besides Ramos scored against Switzerland: veteran center back Pepe, Raphael Guerreiro, and Rafael Leão.
Based on the volume of headlines he generates, Portugal revolves around Ronaldo. In 2022, however, that couldn’t be further from the truth. In fact, all signs point to Ramos once again starting in place of Ronaldo. The young striker will likely be flanked by Joao Felix on his left and Bruno Fernandes on his right. Portugal’s top midfielders and defenders include Bernardo Silva, William Carvalho, Ruben Neves, Ruben Dias, Joao Cancelo, and Pepe.
Portugal enter the quarterfinals having lost left back Nuno Mendes and defender Danilo Pereira to injury, but should be able to start the same XI from the Swizterland match against Morocco.
Morocco Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Morocco appear to be both a long shot and a dark horse after the same formula that was so effective in group play also stifled Spain in the Round of 16. Through four matches, it’s no fluke that each of Morocco’s opponents have enjoyed all the possession they could ask for, but come away with nothing to show for it. Spain were the latest opponent who failed to threaten Morocco keeper Bono, as La Roja had a massive edge in possession (76-to-24) and shots (13-to-6) but actually lost the shots on targets battle 2-to-1.
The two most hyped Morocco players going into the Spain match were PSG right back Achraf Hakimi and Chelsea winger Hakim Ziyech.
While those players did not disappoint, Morocco also got impressive performances from Bono (he dominated the decisive PKs), midfielders Sofyan Amrabat and Azzedine Ounahi (both of whom more than held up against the heralded Barcelona trio of Pedri, Sergio Busquets and Gavi) and Sofiane Boufal, who was as dangerous on the left flank as Ziyech was on the right.
Morocco appear healthy, and they are expected to start the same XI that took the pitch against Spain.
Portugal vs. Morocco Props
Below is a sampling of props for Portugal vs. Morocco.
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):
- Cristiano Ronaldo: +150
- Goncalo Ramos: +220
- Bruno Fernandes: +240
- Youssef En-Nesyri: +410
- Abderrazak Hamdallah: +460
Correct Score (DraftKings):
- Portugal 1-0: +500
- Portugal 2-0: +650
- Portugal 2-1: +850
- Morocco 1-0: +1300
- Morocco 2-0: +3000
- Croatia 2-1: +1800
- 0-0: +1000
- 1-1: +600
Total Goal Props (DraftKings):
- Over 0.5 goals -1800, Under 0.5 goals: +850
- Over 1.5 goals -280, Under 1.5 goals: +215
- Over 2.5 goals +120, Under 2.5 goals: -145
- Over 3.5 goals +300, Under 3.5 goals: -400
Portugal vs. Morocco Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Date/Time: Saturday, Dec. 10, 10 a.m. ET
- Location: Al Thumama Stadium
Watch this match at one of the following:
- Fox Sports App
Portugal vs. Morocco Prediction: Morocco 1, Portugal 0
I expect this game to be much closer than oddsmakers think. While Morocco could struggle to score, and they’re facing a more potent attack than any they’ve seen to date in Qatar, the physicality and discipline of the Morocco back line will disrupt Portugal.
Logic would say that Morocco will run out of gas at some point in this match after that exhausting Round of 16 win over Spain. The challenge for Morocco will be made that much tougher by the depth of Portugal – who have the luxury of being able to bring the likes of Ronaldo and Leão off the bench – but there’s something about this Morocco side that inspires irrational confidence.
Here are two bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:
- Both Teams To Score – No (-125)
- Double Chance – Morocco or Tie (+130)