PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds, Props & Predictions: UCL Favorites Clash in Round of 16

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With the 2022-23 Champions League Round of 16 kicking off Tuesday, we look at odds, props, and predictions for Paris Saint Germain vs. Bayern Munich, a star-studded battle set for Paris at 3 p.m. ET.

Their underwhelming domestic form aside, Bayern still have the second-shortest futures odds on DraftKings — behind only Manchester City — to win the Champions League (+600), while PSG are DraftKings’ third-favorite at +750.

Bayern’s lead in first place in the Bundesliga is just one point, as they’ve captured 43 of 60 possible points. PSG lead second-place Monaco by five points in Ligue 1 with a record of 17-3-3.

Bayern-PSG, a rematch of the 2020 Champions League final which Bayern won 1-0, is one of four Champions League Round of 16 Leg 1 matches this week. Tottenham-AC Milan also takes place on Tuesday at 3 p.m. Eastern, followed by Club Brugge-Benfica and Chelsea-Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday.

Both Bayern — led by Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry, Sadio Mane and Jamal Musiala, to name a few — and PSG (the Parisians’ biggest names need no introduction) boast as much star power as any team in the field. But neither are dominating their domestic leagues the way they typically do.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds: Moneyline & Total

Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for Tuesday’s Champions League matchup between Bayern Munich and PSG. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.

These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +265, while BetRivers ofers it at +255, and Caesars offers it at +270.

Bayern Munich vs Paris St. Germain Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Tue (2/14) @ 3:00 pm ET

Bayern Munich at Paris St. Germain
Parc des Princes, Paris, FR

BetRivers Sportsbook: Use Code TODAYRIV for $500 2nd-Chance Bet

Bayern Munich Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Bayern last summer clinched their 10th consecutive Bundesliga title, but they are in a battle to win No. 11 in a row. Both third-place Borussia Dortmund (40 points) and second-place Union Berlin (42) are breathing down the neck of Bayern (43) in the table.

Manager Julian Nagelsmann’s team, which was eliminated in the Champions League quarterfinals by Villarreal a year ago, cruised through Group C with 18 goals for and just 2 allowed. But they got a tough draw in the Round of 16, as PSG are among the best sides that finished second in their four-team group.

The loss of Robert Lewandowski, who left his longtime club over the summer to join Barcelona, has hardly left his old club lacking up top, but the Bavarians will miss him against an opponent like PSG.

Roster

Even with Lewandowski now in Spain, Bayern are as threatening as any team in Europe. Bayern’s most dangerous forward in the Bundesliga has been 19-year-old Jamal Musiala, who already has 10 goals and 7 assists this season. In addition to Musiala, Bayern opponents have to contend with Mane, Sane, Kingsley Coman, Thomas Müller, and, of late January, Joao Cancelo.

Injuries

Bayern got bad news over the winter holiday when star keeper Manuel Neuer suffered a broken leg while skiing, but his team acquired veteran Yann Sommer from league rival Monchengladbach to fill in. How Sommer fares in his Bayern Munich Champions League debut will be one of the key storylines in Tuesday’s match.

Bayern will be missing key players Ryan Gravenberch, Noussair Mazraoui, Lucas Hernandez, and Sadio Mane due to injuries, but they’ll have Joshua Kimmich and Leon Goretzka in the midfield as Kimmich returns from suspension. One player whose status for Tuesday is unclear is Müller.

Also read: 2026 World Cup odds

PSG Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

With Lionel Messi, Neymar, and Kylian Mbappe all on the same team, PSG have what should be an unstoppable offensive machine. But in a season-and-a-half since Messi joined Paris St. Germain, things have not quite gone as planned for the Ligue 1 side — though they did (once again) win the French league with ease last year.

PSG's Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi and PSG are short underdogs to Bayern Munich, per Tuesday’s Champions League odds (AP Photo/Laurent Cipriani)

But PSG were unable to advance beyond the Round of 16 in the 2021-22 Champions League, capitulating against eventual champs Real Madrid despite winnning Leg 1 at home, 1-0, and holding a 2-0 aggregate advantage at halftime of Leg 2 in Madrid.

While there’s never any shame in being eliminated by a team like Bayern, another early UCL exit would render the first two years of the Messi experiment an abject failure.

Roster

PSG’s star power is not limited to the attacking trio of Messi, Neymar, and Mbappe. On paper, PSG’s back line and midfield, which feature the likes of Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Sergio Ramos, Nuno Mendes, and keeper Gianluigi Donnarumma, should be good enough for PSG to blow by everyone in France and make one deep run after another in the Champions League.

But since reaching the final in ’19-20 — and losing 1-0 to Bayern — PSG were eliminated in the semifinals in 2021 and the Round of 16 last year, which led to an early end to Mauricio Pochettino’s tenure as manager. Last summer, PSG hired Christophe Galtier from Nice to replace Pochettino.

Injuries

Whether you attribute it to injuries or fatigue (or both), there’s no denying that the World Cup took a toll on this club. Messi, Mbappe and Neymar all have impressive stats through 23 matches in Ligue 1, but PSG have gone just 2-1-2 in their last five matches in league play, and that does not include their loss to Marseille on Feb. 8 that eliminated them from the French Cup.

While Messi and Neymar are expected to start against Bayern, Mbappe will likely play only substitute minutes, if any. The good news for PSG is that Galtier did sit a number of key pieces in the team’s most recent Ligue 1 match — Saturday’s 3-1 loss to Monaco — so they’ll be as close to full strength as possible on Tuesday.

Bayern Munich vs. PSG Props

Below is a sampling of props for Bayern Munich vs. PSG.

 Anytime Goalscorer (DraftKings):

  • Lionel Messi: +150
  • Neymar: +150
  • Kylian Mbappe: +150
  • Serge Gnabry: +200
  • Thomas Muller: +225

Correct Score (DraftKings):

  • PSG 1-0: +1000
  • PSG 2-0: +1300
  • PSG 2-1: +750
  • Bayern Munich 1-0: +950
  • Bayern Munich 2-0: +1300
  • Bayern Munich 2-1: +750
  • 0-0: +1400
  • 1-1: +550

Total Goal Props (DraftKings):

  • Over 0.5 goals -6000, Under 0.5 goals: +1400
  • Over 1.5 goals -650, Under 1.5 goals: +425
  • Over 2.5 goals -190, Under 2.5 goals: +150
  • Over 3.5 goals +130, Under 3.5 goals: -160

Bayern Munich vs. PSG Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Tuesday, Feb. 14, 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Parc des Princes

Watch this match at one of the following:

  • Paramount+
  • ViX+
  • Univision
  • TUDN
  • fubo TV
  • DirecTV Stream

Bayern Munich vs. PSG Prediction: Bayern Munich 2, PSG 1

Here are some of the Ligue 1 results PSG has posted since they returned from the World Cup in January: losses to Lens (3-1 on Jan. 1); Rennes (1-0 on Jan. 15) and Monaco (3-1 last Saturday, Feb. 11). While those stumbles don’t mean they can’t bring their A game against Bayern this week, they do make it hard to imagine a PSG victory against an opponent as formidable as Bayern.

While PSG arguably have the higher ceiling of these two teams, Bayern feels much more trustworthy, especially with Mbappe unlikely to make more than a cameo.

Here are two bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:

  • Both Teams To Score No Draw: Yes (+110)
  • Bayern Munich Draw No Bet (Regular Time) (-115)
About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett has been a sports writer since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer, and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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