The Cowboys opened as a 7.5-point pick in Las Vegas for their Thanksgiving Day tussle against the Raiders, and while the earliest money took the points and the line adjusted to 7 last Sunday night, the number has moved back in the home favorite’s direction. As of Wednesday, Dallas is listed between -7.5 and -8 on oddsboards around the betting market.
NFL · Thu (11/25) @ 4:34pm ET
|AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas|
Las Vegas Raiders (5-5, 4-6 ATS) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3, 8-2 ATS)
Betting line (BetRivers): Cowboys by -7.5 (-108), 50.5
The skinny: The Cowboys attempt to remain in the chase for a top-two NFC seed and accompanying first-round bye, while the Raiders look to stay relevant in the AFC playoff picture after three straight defeats following their bye week.
Facts: The Cowboys have lost their past two games as a Thanksgiving host, despite being a 6-point pick over Buffalo in 2019 (26-15) and then a 1-point choice over eventual NFC East champ Washington (41-16) last season.
This is the Raiders’ third Turkey Day trip to face Dallas over the past 12 years, losing 24-7 in 2009 and 31-24 in 2013, a year before Vegas QB Derek Carr arrived.
Standout Cowboys OLT Tyron Smith, who missed his third straight game last week despite front-office folks suggesting he’d be ready to go, is listed as probable for Thursday. But news that’s not so good is that WR Amari Cooper won’t play (COVID), and fellow receiver CeeDee Lamb’s status is uncertain (concussion protocol).
Raiders At Cowboys Analysis And Pick
The Cowboys have a far superior pass defense, which could well be the difference here. Dallas is one of three NFL teams with more INTs than touchdown throws allowed, and it held K.C.’s Patrick Mahomes without a scoring pass last week in a 19-9 defeat. The Raiders, meanwhile, have allowed 18 TD throws with only four interceptions.
Although Dallas QB Dak Prescott will see fewer of his favorite targets around, he will have his third-leading receiver, TE Dalton Schultz, joined again by Michael Gallup after a two-month absence and RB Tony Pollard drifting out of the backfield. And the Cowboys will be going against a team with an interim coach on extra-short rest for the first time.
Pick: Cowboys 31, Raiders 19