Ravens will have hard time defending Kaepernick

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It’s being called HarBowl I or Super Bowl XLVII. Personally I like Harbowl I better since that will get the NFL mad. They will say they own that name too. That’s how greedy they have become.

I have gone over this game many times trying to decide the winner or who I think it will be. Every time I come up with a different outcome.

First it was the Ravens as they have already beaten the best two QB’s on the road with their win over Peyton Manning in Denver and then beating The Brady Bunch in New England.

I did watch the Broncos game with no sound on this past week. This was really not a win by the Ravens, but a giveaway by Denver who played too safe late in the fourth quarter. Up by a TD they had third down and 8, driving with one of the best of all time at QB in this situation.

Throw for the first down, position yourself to kick the field goal and run precious time off the clock. Instead, HC John Fox calls a running play. Please!

A running play that gains little or nothing and then they kick the ball to give the Ravens a shot at Hail Mary and they get it. Defenders fell asleep thinking of what they were going to do in New Orleans.

I then watched the Ravens-Patriots game, again with no sound. The slow Tom Brady has many chances to run for a first down with absolutely no one in front of him, but opted to toss the ball away. That really proved costly. If he had any run in him the outcome could have been much closer, but maybe not.

My thoughts are the Ravens were very fortunate to win in Denver and were the better team in New England. Baltimore and the Pats do match up well and play all their games close. The luck looks to be with the Ravens.

Both teams have beaten the Patriots this year, the Ravens beat them two times and the 49ers beat them in New England with Colin Kaepernick, 41-34. Both teams played the New York Giants with the 49ers losing at home 26-3 pre-Kaepernick, and the Ravens crushed the Giants late in the season when the G-men where in a funk.

Now let’s turn to the 49ers or the new and improved version with the tattoo man at the helm. In the NFL the coaches spend all week in preparation for their next game coming up with a game plan as most teams know what to expect of a QB and his patterns.

John Harbaugh, a very savvy head coach, will have a hard time getting a game plan in place for this game. Not against the 49ers but how to defend a quarterback like Kaepernick. After watching him play in his last four games he doesn’t even know what he is going to do so how will the Ravens put in a plan?

This guy is one dangerous runner and passer and does not get rattled. He will be very hard to beat and doesn’t play like a rookie. Some players are just destined to be great and he may be one.

Kaepernick reminds me of Big Ben when he went to his first Super Bowl. Roethlisberger has a tough last name also. This looks like a game where both teams will feel each other out, but I know Jim Harbaugh would love nothing better than to beat his brother John in HarBowl I.

Most likely calls, a turnover or missed field goal will decide it. I will play the 49ers on the money line. I do believe this will be a good bet. The Ravens backers will be all over their team on the money line and that will insure a soft money line price on the 49ers.

I will lay the -170 or lower when it becomes time. 49ers ATS/ML (-170 or lower).

When this total first was posted at 49 it looked like the perfect number, but then it got bet down to 47. Now the total has crawled back up to 48 as it usually does in big games like this. The betting public will most always bet OVER while the wiseguys are betting UNDER.

I do see it going up as every parlay will be either 49ers/OVER or Ravens/OVER. I myself made a small OVER 47 bet.

I’ll be home with friends having wine. My brother Tom will be cooking his signature pan fried spuds with green onions and garlic plus breaded veal cutlets. I would hate to bet under and see these teams go crazy with turnovers and score 30 in the first half. So the play is OVER.

This will be a real fun game to watch so have a great time. Remember, if you live in San Francisco don’t drink and drive as the mayor will be out watching. He even wants to make all the bars dry for the Super Bowl so there will be no riots when the 49ers win.

Mr. Mayor, if you make the bars dry this Sunday you will cause a riot. Da!

Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GamingToday’s horse racing and sports handicapper. Contact Richard at [email protected].

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