Saber’s Horse Selections

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CHURCHILL DOWNS 

Race 11

THE 1 MILLION DOLLAR GRADE I KENTUCKY OAKS

Most of the attention in this race will be on No. 12 Cathryn Sophia and No. 11 Rachel’s Valentina and that could be a good thing to get a good price on No. 3 Lewis Bay who is coming into this race in great form and with a morning line of 8/1 we will be using her in the Oaks/Derby double. We will also toss in No. 8 Royal Obsession at 20-1 who finished second behind Lewis Bay in the Gazelle last out. No. 2 Weep No More beat both Sophia and Rachel last time out, she is a deep closer and a must use in the exotics.

3 with 2-8-11-12

SANTA ANITA 

Race 1

Maiden 2yo go 4-1/2 furlongs. No. 2 Downside Up is a first time starter for Patricia Harrington who popped with one at Los Al. No. 4 Eichel had a race and that is a good thing and he gets a better post today. No. 6 Twink’s Boy Toy is a very dangerous looking price play. 2-4-6

Race 2

No. 3 Alyeska may get the right pace up front to set up her last kick. No. 4 Daphne’s Day looks perfectly spotted off the maiden score. 3-4

Race 3

No. 1 If You Dream comes off the layoff for Eddie Truman and looks very live. No. 3 Jazzie Cat has done little wrong in his three starts and is the one to beat. 1-3

Race 4

No. 3 Always Dangerous comes off the layoff for the always dangerous Phil D’Amato. No. 5 Lori’s Attitude exits our HTW list off a huge try first out down the hill. No. 8 Mysterious Miracle also exits our HTW list and is the barn mate of Always Dangerous. 3-5-8

Exacta box 3-5-8 and win and place 8

Race 5

The is a lot of early speed in this race and that will set things up for No. 2 Fusaichi Samurai who will sit chilly off the hot pace and No. 3 Big Tire a big deep closer. No. 6 Iancol is a first time gelding who will wake up big time. 2-3-6

Pick five

1st 2-4-6

2nd 3-4

3rd 1-3

4th 3-5-8

5th 2-3-6

Race 6

We will use two that are exiting the same race. No. 6 Cape Wolfe who finished second and No. 7 Producer who finished a close 5th in his first start in the states and first off the layoff. 6-7

Race 7

No. 5 Wildfire Kid gets the bug boy Chad Lindsay and won here back in March at this level. No. 6 When We Met comes off the layoff for Kristin Mulhall and she excels with layoff runners. 5-6

Race 8

We will use three runners in this $50k maiden race that are dropping from straight maiden races. No. 5 Worldwide who looks the one to beat off that last work. No. 7 Touching Rainbows who gets his second start and gets off the grass. No. 9 Justonetimebaby gets a huge jock switch, gets off the grass and has a bullet last work. 5-7-9

Exacta box 5-7-9 and 5-9

Race 9

No. 6 Aren Vaughn is working like a horse on edge. No. 8 Dirt in Your Face is the speed. No. 9 Bronzino exits the same race as Aren and gets first time Lasix. No. 11 Larry Birdstone exits our HTW list off a bad trip last out and he gets back on the grass. 6-8-9-11

Double

8th 5-9

9th 6-8-9-11

CHECK FOR LATE SCRATCHES AND CHECK THAT THE SADDLE CLOTH NUMBERS MATCH OUR SELECTION NUMBERS.

Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GT’s horse racing and sports handicapper. Twitter: @SabesBet. Email: [email protected].

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