Saber’s Horse Selections

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THE KENTUCKY DERBY-CHURCHILL DOWNS RACE 11

Very competitive field of 3yo but we can toss several. The key for me in this race will be No. 3 Revolutionary with Calvin Borel in the irons. He is a master here at the Downs and is fearless, he will give this consistent colt a ground saving trip and find a way to get through turning for home and run them down. Revolutionary has never been off the board in six lifetime starts and has a solid 2yo base with four starts and now should be sitting on his best in this his third start as a 3yo. If we get anywhere near that 10/1 morning line I will play to win and I will key first and second in the exacta’s and trifecta’s and super using longshot No. 4 Golden Soul 50/1, No. 5 Normandy Invasion 12/1, No. 6 Mylute 6/1 No. 8 Goldencents 5/1 and No. 16 Orb 7/2, for more exacta’s I will also toss in No. 12 Itsmyluckyday, No. 14 VerrazaNo. 

HOLLYWOOD PARK

Race 1

No. 1 Miss Pippa exits our HTW list off a huge effort from the outside post, she gets the inside today and will be very hard to beat and that last work was a PIP! 1

Race 2

No. 3 Beautiful Spirit ran a nice 3rd in her first start and can win this race with a repeat of that effort. No. 4 Mint Twist will show all of her speed today with the drop to this level. 3-4

Race 3

No. 6 Power of Nine comes to town from Golden Gate for a top trainer, he gets Maldo and finds a field loaded with early speed, she will try and run them down. 6

Race 4

No. 1 Perfect Package may like the switch to the grass. No. 4 Lake Maracaibo has finished second in all three of her starts. No. 7 Princess of Pearl exits our HTW list off a narrow nose loss in her last start at this mile turf distance. 1-4-7

Race 5

THE 70K COOL FRENCHY GOING 5 FURLONGS

No. 5 Italian Rules is as consistent a horse that you will find. This 8yo exits our HTW list off the John Sadler $62,500 re-claim, we will single. 5

Win and place 5

Race 6

No. 2 Stoneside drops back to the level of his last win, bet him to cash. No. 7 Macho Dorado gets his first start off the Sadler claim and this gelding has won two of his three starts here with a second. No. 8 Diamond of Blue exits or HTW list from Golden Gate, he is in top form and takes the blinkers off for this.

2-7-8

Race 7

The question is where has No. 3 Genius been since December of 2011? Baffert brings him back with some sharp works. No. 9 Gonna Fly Now will get the perfect trip behind the speed and pounce down the lane. 3-9

Exacta box 3-9 and win and place 9

Double

6th 2-7-8

7th 3-9

Race 8

This race will take some board watching as there are some good looking first time starters in here with No. 1 Sunbaked, No. 6 Bridgehampton and No. 9 Donelle and the ones that have run good are No. 2 Fashion Secret and No. 7 Two Blue Hens. 1-2-6-7-9

Race 9

No. 3 Lamm is an old pro and fits here. No. 4 Midnight Crooner is not the colt he was but won at this level last time out. No. 11 Arraignment drops into an action spot. 3-4-11

Race 10

THE GRADE 2 MERVYN LEROY 

No. 3 Guilt Trip could not handle the likes of Game on Dude but there are no Dudes in here and the same can be said about No. 6 Kettle Corn. 3-6

Race 11

No. 10 Big Daddy D is a first time starter out of the dam Border Fire who has dropped 4 winners from 4 starters and he finds a soft group of 30k maiden claimers. No. 11 Lico and No. 13 Neil Healy both take big class drops and could wake up. 10-11-13

GOLDEN GATE 

Race 1

Nice effort from off the pace last time by No. 3 Sky Fox in his second start on this circuit. No. 5 Everybody Knows likes this course and will be coming with a late run. 3-5

Race 2

No. 7 Firebender is not a proven loser yet and may like going long in this his second start. No. 4 Rahy’s Reflection has some early speed and gets the drop to the bottom. 4-7

Race 3

No. 4 Spirit of Lindy exits our HTW list off a big try in his first going long on the grass when finishing strong behind the place horse No. 7 Bomb Site. 4-7

Exacta box 4-7 and win and place 4

Race 4

No. 1 Wicklow Heather gets the drop to the bottom. No. 2 No Games is a live first time starter. 1-2

Double 

3rd 4-7

4th 1-2

Race 5

There is a ton of early speed in this 1-1/16 turf route and that will set things up for No. 7 Deckacards and No. 8 Kumiva. Both will be making late runs at what will be good prices. 7-8

Exacta box 7-8 and win and place 7

Race 6

No. 1 Tebows Big Play gets his second start and exits a key race. No. 8 Mickey Ball was an unlucky loser last time out. 1-8

Race 7

No. 1 Uncle Dick comes off a good maiden breaker and will like the grass. No. 6 Mah Gellin doesn’t run any bad races and ran good in his only turf try. No. 9 Danz With K J will be coming with a late run. 1-6-9

Double 

6th 1-8

7th 1-6-9

Race 8

No. 7 Eagle Screams gets back to sprinting and has a big time last work for this, look for him to be flying late at a price. 7

Win and place 7

Race 9

No. 5 Colonel Mustard comes off a layoff and gets Hernandez who was on him the last time he won, he looks live. No. 6 Funny How is looking for his third straight win. 5-6

Race 10

No. 2 Ol’ Steely Blue has finished second in his last two starts and will be right there again today, No. 5 Vanilla Flavor got the win off the year layoff and could repeat. 2-5

CHECK FOR LATE SCRATCHES AND CHECK THAT THE SADDLE CLOTH NUMBERS MATCH OUR SELECTION NUMBERS

Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GamingToday’s horse racing and sports handicapper.  Follow Richard on Twitter @SabesBet. Contact Richard at [email protected].

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