Saber’s Horse Selections

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BREEDER’S CUP DAY 2

SANTA ANITA

Race 1

THE $100K JUVENILE TURF SPRINT

No. 5 Test Ride gets a turn back in distance and may like this downhill turf course, he will find a fast pace early. No. 8 Love In The Desert is in from over the pond and looks to be a good one for trainer Callaghan.

5-8

Race 2

THE $100K DAMASCUS 

No. 1 Flashback who was one of the early favorites for this years Kentucky Derby, re-starts his career in this 7 furlong race. He is listed at 2/5 on the morning line. The two that have a shot at the upset are No. 3 Zeewat, who has won five of his ten starts, and No. 5 Anillo who will try and wire them. 1-3-5

Race 3

This looks to be a good betting race and that is exactly what we are going to do. We will be keying on No. 13 Pontchatrain who is off a big win in the Unzip Me here on September 28 for Tom Proctor. Stevens ops for her over No. 1 Purim’s Dancer who he rode to her win last time out for Proctor, Purim gets J.R. No. 7 Ultrasonic is a live shipper from over the pond for Baffert who doesn’t run many from there but when he does look out. 1-7-13

Exacta box 1-7-13 and win and place 13

THE BREEDERS CUP RACES

Race 4

THE $2M BC JUVENILE FILLIE

No. 1 Artemis Agrotera has won both her starts including a big win last time out in the Grade 1 Frizette when beating the highly regarded No. 9 Sweet Reason who will try and turn the tables on her today. No. 7 Untapable has also won both of her starts and Rosie sticks, she will be a good price. 1-7-9

Race 5

THE $2M BC FILLY AND MARE TURF

No. 1 Dank is the class and comes off a big win in the Beverly D at Arlington on a firm turf. No. 4 Alterite could upset and she is listed at 10-1 on the morning line but this 3yo will need to up her game facing these. No. 6 Marketing Mix is one tough 5yo mare who has home field advantage and big race Gary Stevens sticks with her. No. 7 Laughing is very fast and very classy she will find other speed in here but has handled the heat in the past, in the end we will key on Dank. 1**-4-6-7

Race 6

THE $1M BC FILLY AND MARE SPRINT

No. 2 Book Review is in the top form and loves this 7 furlong distance. No. 5 Teddy’s Promise ran second behind Book Review one race back and came out of that race and won his next start. No. 8 Dance to Bristol is a win machine and beat Book Review one race back at Saratoga but now faces her at her home base. 2-5-8

Race 7

THE $1M BC TURF SPRINT

Let’s take a big shot and key on No. 14 Unbridled’s Note for the big upset at 8/1. He just failed to nail No. 12 Mizdirection in this race last year when that horse was at the top of his game. He is 5-for-5 on this downhill turf course but if there is a day he can get beat it is today and by No. 14. We will use both with No. 3 Chips All In who is in top form and can handle this course. No. 6 Boat Trip who lost by a nostril to Chips last time out and No. 7 Tightend Touchdown the speed who will be playing catch me if you can.

12-14 with 3-6-7 and bet 14 two win and place

Race 8

THE $2M BC JUVENILE 

No. 6 Tap It Rich has been the hot item in John Avello’s Kentucky Derby future bet and now Bob Baffert will see how good his 2yo is off of just the maiden win, Mike Smith says he is this good. No. 10 We Miss Artie is one of two Todd Pletcher runners in here. He just won the Grade 1 Breeders Futurity at Keeneland but that was on synthetic and he has not won on conventional dirt. Pletcher’s other runner No. 13 Havana has in both of his starts but will need to clear from the far outside. No. 5 Bond Holder is not without a shot off of his Grade 1 Front Runner win here on September 28th. 5-6-10-13

Race 9

THE $3M BC TURF

No. 7 The Fugue probably was best in the filly and mare turf last year but was blocked through the stretch and steadied finishing 3rd losing by only 1¼ lengths, jockey Buick is back for revenge. No. 8 Point of Entry has been a monster the past 2 years and poses as the likely one to beat the filly The Fugue. Sticking with the point No. 9 Indy Point just won here at a 1¼ on the grass for papa Mandella and Gary Stevens, he will be flying with a late run. The others with a shot are No. 4 Little Mike who looks back in form, No. 10 Big Blue Kitten who is in top form for the Ramsey’s and Chad Brown and No. 12 Real Solution who just finished right behind the Kitten and Little Mike last time out. 7-8-9

Race 10

THE $1.5M SPRINT

They will be flying up front in this 6 furlong sprint and that just could set things up for No. 1 Justin Phillip even though he is 0/3 on this track. He gets the perfect speed duel to get the job done today. He lost by a dwindling neck in his last start in the Grade 1 Vosburgh when bumped three times down the lane just failing to run down No. 7 Private Zone who could get cooked today on the front end. No. 9 Secret Circle had his race and loves this track, he will sit chilly right off the hot pace and try and get the jump on Justin. We will use both in the late pick four. 1-9

Race 11

THE $2M BC MILE

This race is all about the even money or less horse of the year Wise Dan who gets back on his best surface at his best distance, he will be very hard to beat. No. 10 Za Approval who finished 2nd one race back behind Dan is listed at 15/1 on the morning line and will use for the upset with Rosario in the irons. 

8-10

Race 12

THE $5M BC CLASSIC

All eyes will be on No. 9 Game on Dude at 8/5 on the morning line. The Dude will encounter a ton of other speed in here and will have his work cut out for him. He most likely can run the other speed into the ground such as 3yo Mareno and Fort Larned who won this race last year when Dude was left at the gate and Fort Larned got the lone lead, not today. No. 5 Declaration of War is the real unknown 4yo colt in here for trainer Aiden O’Brien as he has never seen conventional dirt but if O’Brien has him in this race he must think he can handle the dirt. We will be using both Game on Dude and Declaration of War in our pick four. We will also be using in our trifectas and supers No. 3 Paynter whose only bad race came on the sloppy Saratoga track. No. 6 Mucho Macho Man who is here in top form and is proven over this course and Mott has No. 12 Flat Out who gets Rosario. 5-9 with 3-6-12

GOLDEN GATE

Race 1

No. 5 Gilligan gets back on the grass and will find a fast pace to setup his late run. No. 10 Very Elusive is in from Santa Anita and has found a good spot. 5-10

Race 2

We will use three exiting the same race No. 1 Power of Eleven who finished a closing third, No. 2 Dynamo Dixie who was fourth right there on the line with the Power of Eleven and No. 4 Alpine Gathering the second place finisher who was a ½ length in front of Eleven and Dixie. 1-2-4

Double

1st 5-10

2nd 1-2-4

1-2-4 tri box

Race 3

No. 3 One World ships in form Santa Anita and moves from one top barn to another, he drops to the bottom looking for a win and maybe someone to claim him for 4k. 3

Race 4

No. 6 War Politics comes back to town after a successful trip to the Fresno Fair where he won two straight races, he gets back on the grass and Baze gets the call. 6

Race 5

No. 1 Rosko showed some good early speed in his one and only with straight maidens last year and now drops in class off the layoff. No. 8 Where’s Pepper is another dropper searching for his proper level. 1-8

Race 6

No. 2 Dontextndrive had his first try on this circuit last time out on this turf course and ran a solid second. No. 8 Cane Seeker may like the grass. No. 9 Cast a Vision ships in and gets back on the grass.

2-8-9

Race 7

Baze gets on first time starter No. 1 Rever de Vous for his buddy Jerry. No. 4 More Stormyweather made a nice middle move last time out but could not continue her run, with that race under her belt she has a shot today. 1-4

Double

6th 2-8-9

7th 1-4

Race 8

No. 8 Oak Kye Why is the speed and the one to beat at short odds. No. 12 Democrat Duck ships in and looks to upset Oak Kye Why. 8-12

Race 9

No. 1 Mickey Ball has been looking for a race. No. 2 Charlie Company ran second ¾ of a length behind Mickey last time out. 1-2

Race 10

No. 2 Smart’n Fair is looking for his third straight win. No. 6 Tap It In is in from Santa Anita and gets back to a sprint. 2-6

Pick four

7th 1-4

8th 8-12

9th 1-2

10th 2-6

CHECK FOR LATE SCRATCHES AND CHECK THAT THE SADDLE CLOTH NUMBERS MATCH OUR SELECTION NUMBERS

Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GamingToday’s horse racing and sports handicapper.  Follow Richard on Twitter @SabesBet. Contact Richard at [email protected].

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