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Saber’s Keeneland late Pick 4 analysis

Race 6 

Maiden fillies and mares go seven furlongs for a $70K purse. No. 1 Movie Moxy was bet like a good thing in her debut race at Churchill Downs but could only finish third. She will like the extra distance today. No. 5 Saintsation just missed on June 29 at Churchill Downs going a flat mile. She will love this seven-furlong trip. No. 8 April in Paris also came close in her last start traveling a flat mile on June 20 at Churchill and owns a real nice work on July 5. 1-5-8 

Race 7 

Allowance fillies and mares travel a flat mile on the grass. No. 9 Ella Brilla has hit the board in all five of her grass races and owns a nice last work. No. 11 Moral Reasoning looks the one to beat with jockey Tyler Gaffalione riding for trainer Chad Brown. 11**-9 

Race 8 

$62,500 optional fillies and mares go six furlongs. It’s a good sign that trainer Tom Amoss puts No. 3 Figure It Out in this claim-proof spot off the $62,500 claim. No. 4 Mom’s Red Lipstick was one tough filly as a 2-year-old last year. She worked a big bullet on July 4 when best of 97 runners. No. 8 Dos Vinos has run four times with two wins a second and a third. No. 9 Lead Guitar has run five times on the grass and hit the board in all five. 3-4-8-9 

Race 9 

Maidens travel 1-1/16 miles on the grass. No. 9 Exult looks live off the layoff and ran some races last year that would beat these and now makes his first start as a gelding. No. 11 Militarist worked big here on July 2. 9-11 

*Denotes Best Bets 


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