Saints vs Rams Prediction, Odds, Props: NFL Playoff Spots on the Line in NFC Battle on TNF

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The New Orleans Saints take on the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday Night Football in a clash between two .500 teams, but don’t let their records fool you. This game carries a lot of weight in the final NFL playoff picture.

The Saints (7-7) are in a tight race in the NFC South and will earn home-field advantage in the Wild Card round if they claim the division, while the Rams (7-7) currently sit in the final spot of the NFC playoff picture and can solidify their footing with a win on Thursday.

We expect an exciting back-and-forth matchup with plenty of live betting opportunities. Below, you’ll find the Saints vs. Rams prediction, odds, and props you need to know before wagering on this primetime showdown.

 

Also read: Super Bowl 58 odds | NFL MVP odds | Super Bowl 58 MVP odds | NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds

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NFL Week 16 TNF Odds: Saints vs. Rams Spread, Moneyline, Total

Los Angeles ( on the moneyline) is favored by 4 to 4.5 points at most legal US sports betting apps. Bettors who enjoy tailing the underdog can take the Saints with odds at  odds.

The Over/Under total is at points, the fourth-highest total of any game in Week 16.

Saints vs. Rams Betting Trends

New Orleans Saints

  • The Saints are 4-9-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • The Saints are 7-7 straight up (SU) this season.
  • The Saints are 2-4-1 ATS on the road this season.
  • The Saints are 1-1 ATS as the underdog this season.
  • Saints games are 4-10 on the Over this season.

Los Angeles Rams

  • The Rams are 8-5-1 ATS this season.
  • The Rams are 7-7 SU this season.
  • The Rams are 4-3 ATS at home this season.
  • The Rams are 5-2 ATS as the favorite this season. 
  • Rams games are 6-8 on the Over this season.

Saints vs. Rams Player Props

Would you rather bet on the players instead of on the game? If so, consider tailing these Saints vs. Rams player props from different sportsbooks for a chance to build your bankroll in a fun way.

Kyren Williams Over Rushing Attempts, Over Rushing Yards

If Kyren Williams didn’t miss four games due to injury, you’d hear his name a lot more often in the conversation for the best pure runner in the NFL. The Rams’ running back averages the most rush attempts (18.6) and rushing yards (95.3) per game in the entire league. He also ranks sixth in yards per attempt (5.1). In other words, this guy knows how to run with the ball in his hand.

Williams’ numbers have been even greater in the latter half of the season, averaging 131 rushing yards over his last five games and carrying the ball 20-plus times in three straight games.

In a game against the Saints, which ranks 20th and 24th in rushing attempts and rushing yards allowed, respectively, Williams shouldn’t be too worried about being shut down on the ground.

Alvin Kamara Over Rushing Yards

We could go with Alvin Kamara’s standard rushing line (52.5), but we’ve opted for the alternate line to add a little bit more cushion — he fell two yards short of 53 in two separate games.

Kamara has cleared 50 yards rushing in all but two games this season. That’s around an 82% hit rate. He now faces a Rams’ defense that has given up 53-plus yards on the ground to an opposing player in nine of 14 games.

Puka Nacua Under Receptions

The betting market must be living in the past because Puka Nacua hasn’t hauled in six or more catches in a game since Week 7, which was 10 games ago.

New Orleans’s defense ranks ninth in pass attempts (32.6) and fourth in completions allowed (18.7) per game, so it’ll be tough for the astonishing rookie to see enough volume to clear this line, while also competing with the hot Cooper Kupp for targets.

Saints vs. Rams Analysis & Prediction

The Saints are marching into Week 16 after holding their last two opponents (Carolina Panthers and New York Giants) to six points apiece. New Orleans hasn’t played, let alone beaten, many good teams this season — their last win against a .500-or-better team was Week 8.

They now travel to the City of Angels to face their next “challenge” in the Rams, which has been on fire on offense as of late. The Rams, backed by Matthew Stafford, are averaging 33 points over the last four weeks and are playing some of their best football in two years.

Stafford is on a roll with 12 touchdown passes and one interception in the last four games, but the unsung heroes of this football team are the offensive line and Williams.

The game will come down to whether or not the Saints’ defense can stop the Rams’ offense. New Orleans hasn’t allowed a touchdown on defense in two straight games, and much of the credit goes to linebacker Demario Davis, who even at 34 years old has been able to rack up tackles like the best of them.

Home-field advantage should play a little bit of a factor, as the Rams are 4-3 and have won three straight games on their home turf while the Saints are 3-4 and have lost two straight in foreign territory.

In a game with serious playoff implications, look for the high-flying Rams to squeak out a tight victory. Even if the Saints are able to bother Stafford through the air, there’s still Williams to worry about. We don’t think New Orleans can account for everyone.

Saints vs. Rams Pick: Rams

How to Watch Saints vs. Rams

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 21, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: SoFi Stadium | Inglewood, CA
  • Channel: PRIME VIDEO

Read more: Offensive Rookie of the Year odds | Odds to make 2024 NFL Playoffs | NFL betting sites | NFL betting promos

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About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports betting writer at Gaming Today who covers the UFC, NFL, and NBA. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing (and writing about) sports.

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