Many consider the SEC to be the toughest conference in college football. Challenging as it may be, it is also one of the most predictable. Alabama has won the conference championship in seven of the last 10 seasons and has the shortest betting odds to win the SEC again this season.
The Crimson Tide’s odds give them a high implied probability (58.33 to 59.18%) of lifting the trophy on Dec. 3 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, But with several talented teams calling the SEC home, winning the conference will not be easy for Alabama, Georgia, or anyone else.
Odds to Win SEC: Alabama Favored Again in 2022
Alabama has gone into Week 1 as the betting favorite to win the SEC every year since 2010. Barring any drastic changes in the weeks leading up to the start of the 2022 college football season, they’ll do so again this year. Georgia is not too far behind them on oddsboards, but the rest of the conference is.
|SEC Winner||DraftKings||BetMGM: Code TODAY||FanDuel||Caesars:
Why the disparity between Alabama, Georgia, and everyone else? There are a few reasons:
- Either Alabama or Georgia has appeared in the title game every year since 2008; on three occasions, the game featured both (2021, 2018, and 2012).
- Since 2008, Alabama has won the SEC in eight of 14 seasons.
- Under Nick Saban, Alabama has maintained a level of excellence never before seen in college football. No matter how many players his teams lose to the NFL, they are ready to compete for the SEC and National Championships the following year.
- While Georgia has won just one SEC title under coach Kirby Smart (2017), the Bulldogs have lost in the conference championship game three times during his tenure and avenged last season’s loss to Alabama with a 33-18 victory for the National Championship.
- Georgia has won 10+ games in four of Smart’s six seasons at the helm and has finished inside the top 10 the last five seasons.
As good as both have been, until they or another team give us a reason to believe otherwise, they are the ones to beat in the SEC.
SEC Betting Analysis: Looking for Value Outside of Alabama, Georgia
No one would blame you for putting money down on Alabama or Georgia to win the SEC. But at their odds, there isn’t much upside in doing so.
With the odds being so much longer for everyone else, there are higher potential payouts betting on other teams.
For instance, Texas A&M proved it could hang with the big boys last season by beating Alabama with a backup quarterback. Can the Aggies do it again? Maybe, but they’ll need better, more reliable play out of their quarterback, and the last recruiting class will have to be as good as its press has been.
You could also skip your morning latte and put a few bucks down on Kentucky or Arkansas, but only a few. Quite a few things will need to go their way for either to win the conference.
Odds to Win SEC East Division
Georgia has won the SEC East in four of the last five seasons and is heavily favored at sportsbooks to win it again (implied probability of over 80%).
|SEC East Winner||DraftKings||FanDuel||Caesars:
Promo Code Today15
Expectations are not high for South Carolina, Missouri, or Vanderbilt. Tennessee showed a lot of growth under Josh Heupel last season and could be even better in his second. Florida is in a rebuilding year under first-year head coach Billy Napier.
The team to watch in the East could be Kentucky, which is fresh off a 10-win season and has a potential Heisman candidate at quarterback in Will Levis.
Odds to Win SEC West Division
Alabama is an even larger favorite in the West than Georgia is in the East.
|SEC West Winner||DraftKings||FanDuel||Caesars:
Promo Code Today15
Expectations are high for Texas A&M, Arkansas, Ole Miss, and LSU. All four are talented teams, and if things go right, they could beat Alabama. However, they’ll still have the rest of a very tough division to contend with. While one of them may catch Alabama having an off day, that does not mean they’ll run the table (which the winner probably needs to do).
Anyone capable of beating Alabama should have what it takes to run the table. But is there anyone that’s considered good enough to beat Alabama? No. That doesn’t mean no one can, but if they do, it will be the upset of the season.
Win Totals for SEC Teams
Alabama and Georgia are the only teams in the conference priced with a double-digit win total. Texas A&M has the third-highest expectation from the betting market, with a win total of 8.5 heavily juiced to the Over.
|Win Totals||DraftKings||BetMGM: Promo Code TODAY||FanDuel||Caesars:
Promo Code Today15
|Alabama||10.5 (-280/+220)||11.5 (+110/-135)||10.5 (-280/+230)||11 (-140/+110)|
|Arkansas||7.5 (+130/-150)||7.5 (+125/-150)||7 (-115/-105)||7 (-125/-105)|
|Auburn||6.5 (+135/-160)||6.5 (+130/-160)||6 (-105/-115)||6 (-130/+100)|
|Florida||7 (-125/+105)||7.5 (+120/-145)||7 (-115/-105)||7.5 (-135/+105)|
|Georgia||10.5 (-240/+195)||11 (-115/-105)||10.5 (-250/+210)||11 (-130/+100)|
|Kentucky||8 (+100/-120)||7.5 (-140/+120)||7.5 (-125/+105)||8 (-105/-125)|
|LSU||7 (+115/-135)||6.5 (-120/+100)||6.5 (-115/-105)||7 (-110/-120)|
|Mississippi State||6.5 (-125/+105)||6.5 (-120/+100)||6.5 (-135/+115)||6.5 (-120/-110)|
|Missouri||5.5 (+115/-135)||5.5 (+115/-135)||5.5 (+125/-145)||5 (-140/+110)|
|Ole Miss||7.5 (-145/+125)||7.5 (-160/+135)||7.5 (-140/+120)||7.5 (-150/+120)|
|South Carolina||6 (-150/+130)||6.5 (+115/-140)||6.5 (+120/-140)||6 (-140/+110)|
|Tennessee||7.5 (-170/+145)||8 (-105/-115)||7.5 (-170/+145)||8 (-105/-125)|
|Texas A&M||8.5 (-150/+130)||8.5 (-175/+145)||8.5 (-175/+150)||8.5 (-170/+145)|
|Vanderbilt||2.5 (+120/-140)||2.5 (+130/-165)||2.5 (+125/-150)||2.5 (+110/-140)|
Conference title games and postseason action don’t factor in when it comes to win totals.
SEC Win Total Picks
Here are some of our favorite picks:
Georgia: Under 10.5 at +210 (via FanDuel)
Defense led the way for Georgia in 2021, while the offense did enough to keep the team ahead on the scoreboard. But their defense has to be rebuilt this year, so they may need to lean on the offense more. Will Stetson Bennett be up to the challenge? Maybe. Maybe not.
Vanderbilt: Under 2.5 at +120 (via DraftKings)
The best shot the Commodores have at winning three games come against Hawaii and Elon in Weeks 1 and 2 and Northern Illinois in Week 4. But neither Hawaii nor Northern Illinois is a bad team, and Vanderbilt will probably be on the struggle bus once again this season.
Arkansas: Over 7.5 at +130 (via DraftKings)
Sam Pittman did a great job last season, guiding the team to a 9-4 finish. However, he’ll have his hands full this season, rebuilding the offense and defense. Only nine starters are back, four on defense and five on offense. The five on offense include most of the offensive line and one of the better young quarterbacks in the SEC.
Odds For SEC Teams To Win 10+ Games
Every team wants to win their conference, qualify for the playoffs, and win the national championship. For most, those are not realistic goals, and just having a winning record is. For the more ambitious teams, winning at least 10 games is a goal. FanDuel has odds on 13 of the SEC’s teams to do just that:
- Alabama -3500
- Georgia -2000
- Texas A&M +155
- Ole Miss +350
- Tennessee +450
- Kentucky +550
- Florida +1000
- Arkansas +1100
- LSU +1600
- Mississippi State +2000
- South Carolina +4000
- Missouri +5000
- Auburn +5000
According to the odds, Alabama has a 97.22% chance of winning 10, while Georgia has a 95.24% chance — all of which sounds about right. However, while betting these teams to reach double-digit victories appears to be an easy win, you’ll have to risk $3,500 or $2,000, respectively, to win $100. That’s a lot to risk for little reward.
Texas A&M could have its first 10-win season since 2012 and its first in the SEC if its recruiting class can live up to the hype. Ole Miss won 10 last season, but Lane Kiffin needs to find a new QB this season (Jaxson Dart?). Will Levis could lead Kentucky to its third 10-win season in five years.
CFP Playoffs Odds for SEC Teams
At least one SEC team has qualified for the College Football Playoffs since its inception in 2014-15. Two teams from the conference made it to the national semifinals after the 2017 and 2021 seasons. Alabama has appeared in the playoffs seven times in the eight-year history of the CFP. Georgia has made it twice, and LSU once.
|To Make Playoffs (Yes/No)||DraftKings||Caesars:
Promo Code Today15
SEC Odds History
Here are the odds of SEC champions entering the season, as well as prices on the preseason favorites:
|Season||Team||Odds Prior To Week 1||Favorite||Odds Prior To Week 1|
A look back at season win totals of SEC teams.
|SEC Win Totals||2021||2020||2019||2018||2017|
|Alabama||11.5 (-105/-115)||NA||11.5 (+140/-160)||11.5 (+145/-170)||11 (+110/-130)-- PUSH|
|Arkansas||5.5 (-110/-110)||NA||5 (+110/-130)||5.5 (-120/+100)||6.5 (-130/+110)|
|Auburn||7 (+110/-130)||NA||7.5 (-130/+110)||9 (-110/-110)||8.5 (-150/+130)|
|Florida||9 (+105/-125)||NA||9 (+140/-160)||8 (-130/+110)||8.5 (-110/-110)|
|Georgia||10.5 (-125/+105)||NA||11 (+120/-140)-- PUSH||10.5 (-130/+110)||8.5 (-140/+120)|
|Kentucky||7 (-145/+120)||NA||6.5 (-140/+120)||5 (-150/+130)|
|LSU||8.5 (-105/-115)||NA||9 (-130/+110)||7 (-130/+110)||9 (-110/-110)-- PUSH|
|Mississippi State||6 (-120/+100)||NA||7.5 (-100/-120)||8 (-130/+110-- PUSH|
|Missouri||7 (-110/-110)||NA||8.5 (+110/-130)||7 (-120/+100)|
|Ole Miss||7.5 (-120/+100)||NA||4.5 (+110/-130)||5.5 (-140/+120)|
|South Carolina||3.5 (-165/+140)||NA||5.5 (-135/+115)||7 (-150/+130)|
|Tennessee||6 (+105/-125)||NA||6.5 (-130/+110)||5.5 (-150/+130)||7.5 (-110/-110)|
|Texas A&M||9.5 (-110/-110)||NA||7.5 (-120/+100)||7.5 (+130/-150)||7 (+100/-120)--PUSH|
|Vanderbilt||3.5 (-115/-105)||NA||4.5 (-130/+110)||4.5 (+120/-140)|
Alabama is perennially an odds-on choice to make the CFP.
Odds via SportsOddsHistory.com
Additional College Football Betting Odds
Looking for info on other college football futures markets? Our writers have you covered:
- Big Ten Odds: Can lightning strike twice for Michigan, or will Ohio State regain control of the conference?
- Pac-12 Odds: Expectations are high for Lincoln Riley’s Trojans in 2022.
- ACC Odds: Can Pitt run it back? Or will it be business as usual for Clemson?
- Big 12: Could Texas be back, or will the Longhorns disappoint once again?
- Heisman Trophy Odds: Preseason favorites usually do not win.
- CFB Win Totals
- Win Totals for Top 25
- Looking for early point spreads? We’ve got you covered for Week 1.
College Football Betting 101
Betting on college football can be a little confusing, especially if your state has restrictions on betting on college sports, but we are here to help. Our College Football Odds page is a great place to start, but we have several pages that can help answer questions you may have about betting on college football:
- Is sports betting legal in your state? If so, any restrictions on college sports?
- It can’t hurt to review how to place a bet.
- All sports betting apps are not the same.
- The right sportsbook welcome bonus can really help your bankroll.
- Line shopping is something every bettor needs to understand.
- Want to know more about sports betting odds or why they change?
- Do you know what implied probability is and how to calculate it?
- Also check out our Tools page. It contains a lot of great information.
SEC Futures Odds– FAQs
For the 12th year in a row, Alabama is the preseason favorite to win the SEC Championship.
A $100 bet on Alabama to win the SEC at -140 would win you $71.43 and your stake.
With a 28-7 win over Auburn, Georgia won the 2017 SEC Championship.
Alabama has won the SEC Championship 28 times.
Tennessee has beaten Alabama 38 times out of the 103 meetings between the two schools; Auburn is a close second, having beaten Alabama 37 times.