SEC Tournament Odds: Betting Market Anticipates 4-Team Battle, But Consider This Longshot

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Sahvir Wheeler and Kentucky top the SEC Tournament oddsboard (AP Photo/James Crisp)

The 2022 SEC Tournament is in full swing with the quarterfinals on tap Friday, where the top four seeds get into the action. Despite having the second-best record in the conference, Kentucky is the favorite to win the tournament, per SEC Tournament odds post around the betting market.

The Wildcats have won six of the last 11 SEC tournaments. But there are several good teams in the conference this season, and it will not be easy for the Wildcats to win their first SEC tournament title since 2018.

Friday’s SEC Tournament Betting Lines

Here are point spreads and totals for Friday’s SEC Tournament slate, per prices as of Friday morning:

No. 8 Texas A&M vs. No. 1 Auburn (-9, 140.5)
No. 5 LSU vs. No. 4 Arkansas (-2, 139)
No. 10 Mississippi State vs. No. 2 Tennessee (-6.5, 130.5)
No. 11 Vanderbilt vs. No. 3 Kentucky (-12, 143)

Thursday’s SEC Tournament Results

Here are point spreads and totals for Thursday’s SEC Tournament slate, per market consensus prices as of Thursday morning:

Florida (-2.5, 134) vs. Texas A&M; Texas A&M 83-80
Missouri vs. LSU (-10.5, 132.5); LSU 76-68
Mississippi State (-4, 137.5) vs. South Carolina; 73-51
Vanderbilt (-5.5, 147.5) vs. Alabama; Vanderbilt 82-76

2022 SEC Tournament Odds

Here are updated futures odds to win the SEC Tournament from three sportsbooks around the betting market.

Auburn had the best conference record (15-3) this year, followed by Kentucky (14-4) and Tennessee (14-4). The only other team with a winning conference record is Arkansas (13-5). All four teams enter the tournament ranked inside the top 15 in the AP Poll.

SEC Conference Tournament WinnerDraftKingsBetMGMCaesars
Kentucky+180+175+180
Auburn+270+260+250
Tennessee+350+325+350
Arkansas+700+700+700
LSU+1000+1000+1000
Texas A&M+2500+2500+2500
Mississippi State+2500+3300+3000
Vanderbilt+3000+2500+4000

Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee, Or Arkansas?

If you put much stock in history, it is not hard to understand why picking Kentucky could be a good idea. The Wildcats have dominated the SEC tournament over the years, winning over half of them (31 of 60). However, recent history has also been kind to the tournament betting favorite; the favorite has won six of the last 10.

The Wildcats did not have the talent last season, but the roster is stacked once again and playing well. Kentucky enters the tournament riding just a two-game winning streak (vs. Ole Miss and Florida) but has won ten of the last 12, with losses to ranked Arkansas and Tennessee teams.

The Tigers beat Kentucky on January 22 (80-71) and led the conference throughout the season. But Auburn has not played its best basketball of late, losing two of its final five regular-season games. From a betting perspective, Auburn is 3-6-1 against the spread in its last 10, with straight-up losses to Tennessee, Arkansas, and Florida.

It’s not hard to make a case for the Volunteers. Tennessee has won nine of its last 10, including against Kentucky (76-63) and Auburn (67-62). However, while Tennessee beat Arkansas in its regular-season finale at home (78-74), the Razorbacks handed the Vols their most recent loss, 58-48 on February 19.

As for Arkansas, the Razorbacks began the season ranked No. 16 in the AP Poll but fell out of the poll after losing five of six games in late December/early January. But a win over then-No. 1 Auburn put them back on the national radar. They followed that victory up with wins in five of their last seven, including games against Tennessee and Kentucky.

Longshot To Consider In Usually Chalky Tournamen

What about the rest of the field? After all, when it comes to tournaments, anyone can win if they get hot at the right time and happen to catch a better team having a bad day.

That does not seem to happen too often in the SEC tournament, though. Ole Miss in 2013 (+1500 at MGM) had the longest odds of any SEC champ over the last 10 tournaments, per SportsOddsHistory.com. Nine of the last 10 winners had odds of +600 or shorter, and six were the betting favorite.

However, if you want to get behind a longshot, give LSU some thought. The Tigers were just sixth in scoring in the conference this season but they did have the SEC’s best defense (first in scoring, steals, three-point defense, and turnovers forced).

About the Author

Travis Pulver

Writer and Contributor
Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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