South Point’s Andrews releases college football totals

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Chris Andrews has been a busy man since taking over as South Point sportsbook director in February. Rather than just settle in to his new surroundings, the veteran bookmaker decided to begin his regime running at full-speed and has made a huge splash by offering an array of wagering options that has never been done before in the state.

For the first time in Nevada sportsbook history, the South Point has posted regular season win totals for all 128 Division I college football teams. That’s every school from Air Force and Appalachian State to Wisconsin and Wyoming. And to make the unprecedented move even more astounding, it’s only May with the first kickoff not occurring until August 27.

“I start compiling everything for all the teams right after the Super Bowl,” said Andrews, a Pittsburgh native who has run Nevada books for 37 years. “I track down what I can get for every school with the local papers and school web sites, and for a few teams the info is pretty hard to come by.”

Two weeks ago the South Point was the first in Nevada to post spreads for the first week of college football action and also offered 40 Games of the Year numbers. Last Thursday Andrews unleashed win totals on every school and offered some insight to key components in his oddsmaking process.

“When I do my ratings for each team, I always lean heavily on the offensive line with returning starters,” he said. “I’m a big believer that stability in the offensive line is key for teams performing well early in the schedule. I don’t have a math model, but I certainly have a methodology to produce the team ratings and win totals I’m comfortable with.”

He’s taking a dime ($1,000) on the Power-5 conference teams and a nickel ($500) on the other schools.

Last year at this time Andrews was posting his team ratings and win totals as the owner and publisher of AgainstTheNumber.com, which a few sportsbooks outside of Nevada copied and posted for action. This year, he’s now got the additional pressure of not just making solid numbers but also trying to make money for the South Point in his debut for owner Michael Gaughan. He’s very confident, and so far the wise guys haven’t been running to the window to bet any “bad” numbers. No total has run with more than two limit wagers on any side.

One of the pitfalls of posting numbers so early is the unknown variables that happen with so much time before the first kickoff.

“We haven’t even posted the numbers yet and I’m already doing adjustments from the news of Art Briles being fired,” Andrews said on Thursday. “I had Baylor set at 9.5 wins, but I’m in kind of a wait and see mode with what happens to the rest of the staff, who I’m sure had some kind of knowledge of what was going on there. Who is coming in and who is going? If there is a major overhaul to the remaining staff, we’ll make some big adjustments, and not just with Baylor, but with all the teams they play. Right now we’ve taken everything to do with Baylor (Game of the Year lines, Week 1 lines and win totals) off the board.”

Andrews said one his most difficult win totals to make was Ohio State, who he set at 9.5 UN -125.

“Ohio State was a tough number to make just because they had to replace so much talent, but between their schedule and Urban Meyer, they should be fine this year. If Nick Saban isn’t the best rest recruiter in the nation then it’s definitely Urban. I like Oklahoma to win against them, but they’ll get better as the season goes along. They’ll be a much better team in November than September.”

Andrews made Oklahoma -7 as one of his 40 Games of the Year for the Buckeyes’ Sept. 17 game at Norman. Last week the Golden Nugget posted totals on 24 teams with Ohio State set at 8.5 wins, setting up a nice middle opportunity for bettors hoping for Ohio State to win nine games. For nine wins to happen, three losses have to come somewhere. Oklahoma looks like one, maybe a road loss at either Wisconsin or Michigan State, and then maybe a revenge minded Michigan at Columbus on Nov. 26.

“I think Michigan is going to be real good,” Andrews said.

Two teams posted with the highest win total were Clemson and Boise State set at 10.5.

“See if you can find me two losses on that Boise State schedule,” he said.

2016 South Point NCAA Football Win Totals
INDIVIDUAL TEAMS Total
Air Force 8.0 -110
-110
Akron 5.0 -110
-110
Alabama 10.0 EVEN
-120
Appalachian State 8.5 -110
-110
Arizona 6.0 -110
-110
Arizona State 5.0 -120
EVEN
Arkansas 7.5 -120
EVEN
Arkansas State 7.5 EVEN
-120
Army 4.5 -110
-110
Auburn 6.5 -110
-110
Ball State 4.5 -110
-110
Baylor 9.5 EVEN
-120
Boise State 10.5 -110
-110
Boston College 6.5 -110
-110
Bowling Green 7.0 -110
-110
Buffalo 5.5 -110
-110
BYU 8.0 +105
-125
California 4.0 -120
EVEN
Central Florida 5.0 -110
-110
Central Michigan 7.0 -120
EVEN
Charlotte 2.5 -120
EVEN
Cincinnati 6.5 -130
+110
Clemson 10.5 -110
-110
Colorado 4.5 -110
-110
Colorado State 5.5 -110
-110
Connecticut 5.0 EVEN
-120
Duke 5.5 -110
-110
East Carolina 5.5 +105
-125
Eastern Michigan 3.0 -110
-110
Fla. International 6.5 -110
-110
Florida 7.5 -125
+105
Florida Atlantic 4.5 -110
-110
Florida State 9.5 EVEN
-120
Fresno State 3.5 -125
+105
Georgia 8.5 -110
-110
Georgia Southern 8.0 -110
-110
Georgia Tech 6.5 +105
-125
Hawaii 2.5 -120
EVEN
Houston 9.5 -135
+115
Idaho 3.5 -125
+105
Illinois 4.5 -110
-110
Indiana 4.5 -110
-110
Iowa 8.5 -110
-110
Iowa State 3.5 EVEN
-120
Kansas 1.5 -110
-110
Kansas State 5.5 -120
EVEN
Kent State 4.5 -120
EVEN
Kentucky 5.0 -110
-110
Louisiana Tech 7.5 -110
-110
Louisville 9.0 +110
-130
LSU 10.0 EVEN
-120
Marshall 8.5 -125
+105
Maryland 4.5 +110
-130
Massachusetts 2.5 -110
-110
Memphis 6.5 -110
-110
Miami FL. 6.5 -125
+105
Miami Ohio 3.5 EVEN
-120
Michigan 10.0 -110
-110
Michigan State 7.5 -130
+110
Middle Tenn State 7.5 -110
-110
Minnesota 6.0 -110
-110
Mississippi 8.5 EVEN
-120
Mississippi State 6.5 -120
EVEN
Missouri 5.5 -110
-110
Navy 6.5 -110
-110
NC State 6.0 -110
-110
Nebraska 8.5 -110
-110
Nevada 6.5 -120
EVEN
New Mexico 7.0 -120
EVEN
New Mexico State 3.0 -110
-110
North Carolina 8.5 -125
+105
North Texas 2.0 -110
-110
Northern Illinois 8.5 -120
EVEN
Northwestern 6.5 -120
EVEN
Notre Dame 9.5 +110
-130
Ohio 7.5 EVEN
-120
Ohio State 9.5 +105
-125
Oklahoma 10.0 -110
-110
Oklahoma State 8.5 -110
-110
Old Dominion 5.0 EVEN
-120
Oregon 8.0 -110
-110
Oregon State 3.5 -110
-110
Penn State 6.5 -110
-110
Pittsburgh 7.0 EVEN
-120
Purdue 4.5 -110
-110
Rice 6.0 EVEN
-120
Rutgers 4.5 -125
+105
San Diego State 8.5 -130
+110
San Jose State 5.0 -110
-110
SMU 3.5 -120
EVEN
South Alabama 3.0 -110
-110
South Carolina 5.0 -110
-110
South Florida 8.5 -110
-110
Southern Miss 8.0 -110
-110
Stanford 8.5 EVEN
-120
Syracuse 4.0 -110
-110
TCU 8.0 -125
-105
Temple 8.5 -120
EVEN
Tennessee 9.5 +105
-125
Texas 6.5 -110
-110
Texas A&M 6.0 -120
EVEN
Texas San Antonio 4.0 -110
-110
Texas State 3.0 -110
-110
Texas Tech 7.0 -110
-110
Toledo 6.5 -110
-110
Troy 6.0 -110
-110
Tulane 3.5 -110
-110
Tulsa 6.5 -120
EVEN
UCLA 8.5 EVEN
-120
UL-Lafayette 6.5 -110
-110
UL-Monroe 3.5 -110
-110
UNLV 5.5 -110
-110
USC 7.5 EVEN
-120
Utah 7.2 EVEN
-120
Utah State 6.5 -130
+110
UTEP 5.0 -110
-110
Vanderbilt 5.0 -110
-110
Virginia 4.5 -130
+110
Virginia Tech 6.5 -130
+110
Wake Forest 5.5 +110
-130
Washington 9.0 -110
-110
Washington State 7.5 -110
-110
West Virginia 6.5 -130
+110
Western Kentucky 8.5 +110
-130
Western Michigan 8.5 EVEN
-120
Wisconsin 7.0 -110
-110
Wyoming 3.5 -110
-110

Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas race and sports book director, one of The Linemakers on SportingNews.com , and longtime motorsports columnist and sports analyst at GamingToday. Twitter: @MicahRoberts7 Email: [email protected].

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