Spain looked like a possible tournament favorite in its first match of the 2022 World Cup, blowing out Costa Rica, 7-0. But La Roja struggled in their next two matches and ended up fortunate to qualify for the knockout rounds after drawing against Germany in their second match and losing to Japan in their Group E finale. Still, Spain are heavy favorites against Morocco on Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET, according to World Cup odds.
Morocco surprised both Belgium and Croatia by winning Group F. With seven points, Morocco easily qualified thanks to a 0-0 draw in their opener against Croatia, followed by wins over Belgium and Canada. Morocco and Switzerland are tied for the longest World Cup futures odds at +8000 (80-to-1).
Here we look at odds, props, and predictions for Spain vs. Morocco in the Round of 16 at the 2022 Qatar World Cup.
Spain vs. Morocco Odds: Moneyline, Total for World Cup Clash
Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for Spain-Morocco. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.
These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +310.
SOCCER · Tue (12/6) @ 10:00 am ET
|Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan, QA|
The three-way moneyline prices apply only to what the scoreboard reads after 90 minutes of regulation (including stoppage time). That means that if you bet Spain (or Morocco) to win, and they advance in overtime or on PKs, your bet still goes down as a loss since the game was tied at the end of regulation.
If you think one side will advance to the next round, but think it might happen after the match is tied through 90 minutes, take a look at odds to advance. For this match, Spain are -380 to advance, while Morocco are +295 on DraftKings. At FanDuel, the “to advance” prices are Spain -460 and Morocco +340.
The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over priced at +110 on DraftKings, while the Under is -140. Given that Spain scored in all three of their group matches, and Morocco scored four goals in group play – including two apiece against Belgium and Canada – +110 is a tempting price on the Over.
Spain vs. Morocco: World Cup History
La Roja’s history includes one of the best runs of all time from 2008 through 2012. During that span, Spain captured the 2010 World Cup between back-to-back first-place finishes in Euro 2008 and Euro 2012.
More recently, Spain failed to advance past group play in 2014 and was eliminated in the Round of 16 in 2018.
Morocco are in the World Cup for just the sixth time. They also qualified in 2018 to return to the tournament for the first time since 1998. This is only Morocco’s second time advancing out of group play — they reached the round of 16 in 1986, but failed to advance any further.
Spain and Morocco have met once before in the World Cup, at the 2018 edition in Russia. Morocco earned a draw in that matchup, which they nearly won, but had to settle for one point after a goal in the 91st minute by Spain’s Iago Aspas tied the match at 2-2.
Spain Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Spain endured an up-and-down run through Group E. After what is still the most one-sided result of the tournament in their opener – the 7-0 win over Costa Rica – Spain drew Germany 1-1, then lost on the final day of group play to Japan, but advanced thanks to the tiebreaker.
Oddsmakers currently view Spain (+750 to win the World Cup on DraftKings) as a slightly longer shot to win it all than favorites Brazil (+190), France (+450), Argentina (+500), and England (+700).
Updated prices: Odds to win 2022 World Cup
Manager Luis Enrique’s squad have an intriguing mix of youth and experience. While their contingent of young Barcelona stars (midfielders Pedri and Gavi, as well as forwards Ferran Torres and Ansu Fati) have been in the spotlight, the likes of Sergio Busquets, Rodri, Aymeric Laporte and Cesar Azpilicueta have seen it all. Enrique started the same front three – Dani Olmo, Marco Asensio, and Torres – against Costa Rica and Germany. He mixed it up against Japan, though, starting Alvaro Morata for Asensio and Nico Williams for Torres. Spain has also mixed and matched the members of its back four, but Rodri and Laporte will likely get the start at center back, while the midfield starters will almost certainly be Pedri, Busquets, and Gavi.
Spain managed to escape from group play without any key players sustaining significant injuries.
Morocco Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Morocco not only finished first with seven points in a group in which Belgium and Croatia were the clear favorites to advance, but did so with an emphatic 2-0 win over highly-regarded Belgium on Nov. 27. Of the teams remaining, few sit back and wait for the counter like this side – they held possession for just 36% of their draw against Croatia, 33% against Belgium, and 42% against Canada.
If there’s one underdog who can pull an upset and move onto the quarterfinals, Morocco might be the one to do it.
Casual fans immediately think of Chelsea’s Hakim Ziyech and PSG’s Achraf Hakimi when Morocco is mentioned. At this World Cup, one of Morocco’s biggest threats to opposing defenses is the combination of Ziyech at right winger and Hakimi behind him at right back. But this roster boasts several other solid players on big European clubs, including defender Noussair Mazraoui of Bayern Munich, West Ham center back Nayef Aguerd, and Sevilla keeper Bono.
Like Spain, Morocco will not have any of their top contributors out due to injury.
Spain vs. Morocco Props
Below is a sampling of props on Spain vs. Morocco.
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):
- Alvaro Morata: +135
- Ansu Fati: +175
- Ferran Torres: +195
- Pablo Sarabia: +220
- Youssef En-Nesyri: +440
- Abderrazak Hamdallah: +490
Correct Score (DraftKings):
- Spain 1-0: +475
- Spain 2-0: +550
- Spain 2-1: +850
- Morocco 1-0: +1400
- Morocco 2-0: +4000
- Morocco 2-1: +2200
- 0-0: +1100
- 1-1: +650
Total Goal Props (DraftKings):
- Over 0.5 goals -2000, Under 0.5 goals: +900
- Over 1.5 goals -295, Under 1.5 goals: +225
- Over 2.5 goals +110, Under 2.5 goals: -140
- Over 3.5 goals +285, Under 3.5 goals: -380
Spain vs. Morocco Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Tuesday, Dec. 6, 10 a.m. ET
- Education City Stadium
- Fox Sports App
Spain vs. Morocco Prediction: Morocco 1, Spain 0
Outside of games involving USA, I’ve been hesitant to pick any upsets in this tournament. But Morocco strike me as a tough match-up for Spain, as they’re comfortable without the ball. With shutouts of both Croatia and Belgium in matches where it rarely had possession, Morocco proved it can prevent quality goal-scoring opportunities while ceding possession.
Spain have solid options at virtually every position. At striker, it’s unclear whether they will start Morata or Asensio. Either way, though, they’re relying on a talented but inconsistent player in that key position. It’s easy to imagine Spain struggling to score in this match.
On the other side, 33-year-old Jordi Alba (assuming he starts at left back for Spain) trying to contain the speed of Ziyech and/or Hakimi strikes me as a recipe for trouble for La Roja.
Here are two bets on DraftKings worth checking out:
- Double Chance – Morocco or Tie (through stoppage time): +160
- Under 2.5 Goals (through stoppage time): -135