Spain, along with England, are oddsmakers’ favorites to win this year’s Women’s World Cup. On Thursday, La Roja take on a Dutch side that drew pre-tournament favorites USA in group play en route to winning Group E, then beat South Africa 2-0 in the round of 16.
The Spanish side led by Barcelona stars Aitana Bonmati, Ona Batlle, and Irene Paredes has dominated three of its four World Cup matches, including a 5-1 win over Switzerland in the round of 16, but did suffer an embarrassing 4-0 loss to Japan in group play.
In Gaming Today’s breakdown of Spain vs. Netherlands predictions, odds, and props, we analyze the battle between Spain’s star-studded line-up and the Dutch underdogs who reached the final against USA at the 2019 Women’s World Cup.
Betting Odds for Thursday’s Spain vs. Netherlands World Cup Match
Here are Spain vs. Netherlands betting lines available on top sports betting apps. The odds here reflect the three-way moneyline, where a bet on either team to win is a loss if the game is tied after 90 minutes. As of Tuesday afternoon, FanDuel offers the draw at +230.
SOCCER · Thu (8/10) @ 9:00 pm ET
|Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington, NZ|
Spain Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Fans of Spain’s domestic women’s league, Liga F, and/or the UEFA Women’s Champions League will recognize most of this team’s top contributors. In addition to Bonmati, Batlle, and Paredes, Jorge Vilda’s team includes Alexia Putellas, the Barcelona star who won the Women’s Ballon d’Or in both ’21 and ’22.
Putellas, who suffered a torn ACL in her left knee last summer, has played in all four of her team’s matches but has started just two of them, as she does not appear to have returned to her pre-injury form.
Even with Putellas limited, Spain have impressed at this tournament, outscoring Costa Rica, Zambia, and Switzerland 13-1. The loss to Japan sparked concerns — Spain gave up goals in the 12th, 29th, and 40th minutes – but no team in the World Cup has been more potent in attack than La Roja. They have scored 13 goals and lead all teams in both expected goals (13.2) and non-penalty expected goals (12.5), according to FB Reference.
Spain have gotten contributions from everyone: Six players have accounted for this team’s 12 goals (Spain have also scored once via an own goal), and six have recorded assists. That balance, as well as their ability to control possession (they’ve possessed the ball for 69% or more of each of their first four matches), makes them a worthy favorite, not only against the Netherlands but against any other opponent they could face going forward.
Spain do not quite have Putellas at 100%, but they are not missing any key players due to injury.
Netherlands Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Despite their success at the 2019 Women’s World Cup, Lieke Martens and the Dutch have the sixth-longest odds (+1100) of the eight quarterfinalists on DraftKings and the seventh-longest (+1300) on FanDuel.
On the field, though, this team has been in control of every match. In fact, they haven’t trailed at all, and they’ve been scored on just once in four games. They’ve yet to face an opponent with Spain’s firepower, but the back line trio of Sherida Spitse, Stefanie van der Gragt, and Dominique Janssen have held up well in front of keeper Daphne van Domselaar.
The Netherlands have won the possession battle in all four matches they’ve played, and whether they can do so against Spain will go a long way in determining which of these teams advances.
The top scorers for the Dutch in this tournament have been 26-year-old Jill Roord (4 goals) of ’23 Women’s Champions League finalist Wolfsburg and 20-year-old winger Esmee Brugts (2 goals).
Manager Andries Jonker has been able to play nearly the same exact line-up in each of his team’s first four games. A total of 10 players have started all four games.
Forward Lineth Beerensteyn was replaced in the starting XI by Katja Snoeijs against the USA and Vietnam after Beerensteyn injured her ankle in her team’s World Cup opener. But Beerensteyn recovered to not only start against South Africa in the round of 16 but play all 90 minutes and score.
Spain vs. Netherlands Props
Below is a sampling of betting props for Spain vs. Netherlands:
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel)
- Jenni Hermoso, Alexia Putellas: +175
- Esther Gonzalez: +195
- Alba Redondo: +200
- Lieke Martens: +340
- Jill Roord: +600
Correct Score (FanDuel)
- Spain 1-0: +550
- Spain 2-0: +750
- Spain 2-1: +750
- Netherlands 1-0: +1100
- Netherlands 2-0: +2300
- Netherlands 2-1: +1400
- 0-0: +750
- 1-1: +550
Total Goal Props (FanDuel)
- Over 0.5 goals -1600, Under 0.5 goals: +650
- Over 1.5 goals -300, Under 1.5 goals: +200
- Over 2.5 goals +110, Under 2.5 goals: -150
- Over 3.5 goals +275, Under 3.5 goals: -450
Spain vs. Netherlands Prediction: Spain 2, Netherlands 1
On one hand, Netherlands are underrated after drawing USA in a match they nearly won and giving up just one goal in four games. Spain, however, have the higher ceiling, and the fact they can possibly bring a player of Putellas’ caliber off the bench for the final minutes could swing this match.
Don’t expect La Roja to cruise, though, as they’ll have a much tougher time scoring against the Dutch than they did against the likes of Costa Rica, Zambia, and Switzerland.
In the end, I expect Spain’s depth – 12 players have started at least two matches in this tournament, and 18 have started at least once – to make the difference, especially if this is close late.
Here are a few bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:
- Both Teams To Score — Yes (-105)
- Over 2.5 Goals (+115)
- Spain Moneyline (Regular Time) (-120)
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Spain vs. Netherlands Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Date/Time: Thursday, August 10, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Wellington Regional Stadium
Watch this match at one of the following:
- DirecTV Stream
- Sling Blue
- Peacock Premium