Steelers Vs. Bills Odds: NFL Week 1 Betting Preview

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PIT Steelers vs BUF Bills Odds NFL Odds

NFL · Sun (9/12) @ 1:00pm ET

PIT Steelers at BUF Bills
Bills Stadium, Orchard Park, New York

Bet now at FanDuel!

After one solid season, the Buffalo Bills have decided to go ahead and pay Josh Allen a king’s ransom ($258 million over six years; $150 million guaranteed). So, heading into the 2021 NFL season, the Bills will want to see their investment pay off—starting with a win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week One.

As for the Pittsburgh Steelers, they are hoping to make the most out of another season with Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback. Because once he decides to hand it up, reasonable hopes for a Super Bowl win go with him.

A win over the other in Week One would be a step in the right direction for the victor. But who is it going to be?

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are going to go as far as Ben Roethlisberger can carry them. However, as good as he is, last season is proof that he needs help—and not just in the form of a good running game (which was one of the worst in franchise history).

With such a bad running game, the Steelers had no choice but to throw, and they did. They lead the league in attempts but only ranked 16th in passing yards and were among the worst in yards per attempt (6.3).

While their trio of young receivers (Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, and JuJu Smith-Schuster) are talented, none were able to top 1000+ receiving yards last season despite 100+ targets. It certainly did not help that Pittsburgh was second in the league in drops with 30.

A reliable run game could force defenses to focus more on the line of scrimmage. But until the offensive line proves it can block (ranked 31st in the league according to PFF) and Harris establishes himself as a solid runner, defenses will focus on stopping the pass.

However, with their defense, they have time for a learning curve. But can the Steelers D slow down the Bills passing attack enough for Pittsburgh to get a win in Week One?

Bet TypeSpreads
Open

Buffalo Bills

When your offense is scoring 30+ points a game, you can afford to have a middle-of-the-pack defense (like the Bills had last season; 16th in scoring). But if they want to do more than just make it to the AFC title game, the defense will have to be a lot better.

At the same time, they cannot lose a step on offense, either. With Allen locked into a six-year, $258 million deal, it is safe to say the quarterback position is secure. Stefon Diggs is one of the best wide receivers in the game; he’ll get some help this season from Emmanuel Sanders. When he focuses on the game, Cole Beasley is one of the best possession receivers in the NFL.

But if there is one thing in which the Bills are lacking, it’s the run game. Last season, they ranked 20th in the league with 107.7 yards a game. But they never had a 100-yard rusher last season, and Allen led the team in rushing four times during the regular season and twice in the playoffs.

The run game needs to improve, but it is hard to say if it will this season. But with the middle of the offensive line not looking too hot, it will be tough to gain yards between the tackles.

On the defensive side of the ball, they added a couple of good defensive ends in the draft. They are in good (but not great) shape in the secondary. But the interior of their front four and linebackers are unimpressive.

The defense gave up nearly 120 yards a game on the ground last season, and it is hard to say they will do any better this season.

Sports Betting Recommendation

The majority of the bets (71 percent) and handle (89 percent) are on Buffalo so far, and it is not hard to understand why., With how the Steelers faded down the stretch last season, there is no reason to believe in them. Factor in the rebuilt offensive line, and the outlook on the Steelers gets even worse.

Buffalo, on the other hand, appears to be in great shape. The interior of the front seven is concerning, but with the Steelers offensive line in rough shape, the Bills should be fine.

However, the Steelers defense may be good enough to at least keep this one close—but don’t bet on it. Buffalo is going to win this game and will probably do so by much more than a touchdown. Take the Buffalo Bills to win against the spread.

About the Author

Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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