Sunday’s AFC North matchup between the Browns and Steelers, who are both 6-3 (just behind the first-place Ravens), has loomed as a big game for these teams since NFL Week 2. The Steelers stole a home win in that game after Browns RB Nick Chubb suffered a season-ending knee injury in the first half.
And the Week 11 Steelers-Browns contest only got that much more interesting this week. On Wednesday, Cleveland announced that Deshaun Watson will miss the rest of the season due to a shoulder injury he suffered last Sunday. Now, one of the biggest questions across the league is whether the Browns can stay in contention with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson under center.
Let’s analyze the Steelers vs Browns odds and props, and give a prediction.
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Steelers vs Browns Spread, Moneyline, Total
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- Spread: Steelers , Browns
- Moneyline: Steelers , Browns
- Over/Under: total points
Steelers vs Browns Betting Trends
- Steelers, Browns 2023 ATS: Steelers 6-3, Browns 5-3-1
- Steelers, Browns 2023 Over/Under: Steelers Over 2-7, Browns Over 5-4
- Steelers, Browns AFC North odds: Steelers , Browns
- Steelers, Browns season win totals: Steelers , Browns
Steelers vs Browns Props
Live props are available in the above game tiles, and prices for the first half at FanDuel Sportsbook are below:
1st Half (FanDuel)
- Steelers: +1.5 (-135), Moneyline (-104)
- Browns: -1.5 (+115), Moneyline (-118)
Steelers vs Browns Analysis and Prediction
Cleveland will undoubtedly miss Watson, who made enough plays for the Browns to upset the Ravens last weekend. But Cleveland’s defense and running game are good enough that as long as Thompson-Robinson can play relatively mistake-free, they should be able to keep winning. On the year, Cleveland has gone 5-1 with Watson starting, 1-1 with PJ Walker, and 0-1 with Thompson-Robinson.
The fifth-round rookie threw three interceptions in an ugly loss to the Ravens in his only start this year. There’s no denying his struggles that day, but the difficult circumstances he faced are worth noting: A) Thompson-Robinson found out he was making his first start just hours before kickoff, and B) Baltimore has one of the best defenses in the league. With several days’ notice, and against a vulnerable Pittsburgh D that gave up 289 yards passing to Green Bay’s Jordan Love last week, DTR should play much better in his second start than he did in his first.
The Steelers have had one of the strangest seasons of any team in the league. Last week, they were outgained in a win over the Packers, keeping alive their nine-game streak of losing the total yardage battle. And yet, somehow, they’re 6-3. Star DE TJ Watt is a big reason why (he has 10.5 sacks on the year and scored one of his team’s two defensive TDs against Cleveland in Week 2). As long as Cleveland’s offensive line can prevent Watt from wrecking the game — and that’s an admittedly a big ask — the Browns should be able to eke out a low-scoring win.
QB Kenny Pickett and the Steelers’ offense have done enough to get them to 6-3, but they might be more overmatched against DE Myles Garrett and the Browns’ outstanding defense than the Cleveland offense will be against Watt and Co.
Pick: Browns (-1 at time of publishing)
How to Watch Steelers vs Browns
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 18, 2023
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium
- Network: CBS
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