Betting on Super Bowl MVP odds when four teams remain carries an element of risk that can make some bettors uncomfortable. No one wants to have money down on a guy who doesn’t even make it to the big game. However, while waiting until only two teams remain may seem prudent, doing so could cost you money.
Despite sustaining a high ankle sprain — an injury that typically keeps players sidelined for multiple weeks — Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes remains the favorite to earn MVP honors at Super Bowl 57 in Glendale, Ariz., on Sunday, Feb. 12
Odds To Win MVP of Super Bowl 57: Place Your Bets Before the Conference Championship Games
After Mahomes, the starting QBs on the three other remaining contenders — the Eagles’ Jalen Hurts, the Bengals’ Joe Burrow, and the 49ers’ Brock Purdy — are next on the oddsboard. More aggressive bettors can find non-QBs with longer odds further down the betting board.
Super Bowl MVP odds will get shorter for most players following the conclusion of the conference title games, but not necessarily for every player. It all depends on how a player’s potential level of involvement is perceived. While that can vary for wide receivers, tight ends, running backs, and defensive players, it doesn’t change for quarterbacks.
Why not? QBs have their hands on the ball for every offensive play their team runs. That level of involvement makes it easier for them to have an MVP-type game than players at any other position. With the caliber of quarterbacks that could be playing in Super Bowl 57, it is not hard to see the eventual MVP being one of them.
But why bet on one now? Why not wait until we know which two will play in the game? Because Super Bowl MVP odds for most players will likely get shorter as the field of candidates narrows from four teams to two.
Historical Trends For Super Bowl MVP Odds of Quarterbacks
Over the years, a quarterback has won MVP honors in over half of the Super Bowls (31 of 56). A wide receiver, Cooper Kupp. won last year, but six of the last 10 and 12 of the previous 20 Super Bowl MVPs have been quarterbacks.
|56||Matthew Stafford/Joe Burrow||+145/+225|
|55||Tom Brady/Patrick Mahomes||+190/-105|
|54||Patrick Mahomes/Jimmy Garappolo||+105/+225|
|53||Tom Brady/Jared Goff||+120/+205|
|52||Nick Foles/Tom Brady||+460/-105|
|51||Tom Brady/Matt Ryan||+125/+230|
|50||Cam Newton/Peyton Manning||-143/+385|
|49||Tom Brady/Russell Wilson||+200/+220|
|48||Peyton Manning/Russell Wilson||+110/+350|
|47||Joe Flacco/Colin Kaepernick||+275/+135|
|46||Ei Manning/Tom Brady||+200/+105|
|45||Aaron Rodgers/Ben Roethlisberger||+150/+300|
|44||Drew Brees/Peyton Manning||+300/-133|
|43||Ben Roethlisberger/Kurt Warner||+200/+300|
|42||Eli Manning/Tom Brady||+300/-120|
|41||Peyton Manning/Rex Grossman||+100/+500|
|40||Ben Roethlisberger/Matt Hasselbeck||+250/+300|
|39||Tom Brady/Donovan McNabb||+200/+350|
|38||Tom Brady/Jake Delhomme||+200/-500|
*Odds via SportsOddsHistory.com
Super Bowl MVP odds of the two quarterbacks expected to start in the game were +350 or longer just five times in the last 20 Super Bowls. The odds for both were below +300 in several games (eight of 20), and one of the quarterbacks had minus odds in four.
Super Bowl MVP Betting Analysis
If history tells us anything, the odds for the final two quarterbacks will likely be well below +320. That means the odds for the final two could be significantly lower than they are heading into the Conference Championship games.
So, if you plan on betting on a quarterback to win Super Bowl MVP and want to maximize your potential winnings, the time to bet is now.
Wait until next Monday, and your $100 bet on Patrick Mahomes or Jalen Hurts may only win you $200 or maybe less than $100 rather than $300+.