With the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles set to square off Sunday in Glendale, we reached out to oddsmakers for their expert Super Bowl picks. A baker’s dozen of bookmakers got back to us with predictions.
As one may expect with such a tight point spread (the line settled at Philly -1.5 for most of early wagering), our panel is evenly split. Six oddsmakers are on the Chiefs, and while seven like the Eagles, one of those predicts a 1-point win, not enough to cover the spread.
As for the total, eight of our bookmakers predict a score that would cash Over tickets, five lean Under.
Super Bowl Picks from the Experts
Here are the oddsmakers’ Super Sunday selections:
Chris Bennett, Director of Risk, Circa Sports
Eagles 31-24. “If I told you why I know the Eagles will win, you wouldn’t believe me.”
Jeff Benson, Sportsbook Operations Manager, Circa Sports
Chiefs 31-21. “I’ve had the Chiefs power rated as the best team in football all season, and behind Mahomes/Kelce and their previous Super Bowl experience, I think they get it done for the second time in four years.”
Rex Beyers, US Head of Wagering, PlayUp
Chiefs 37-26. “Both top seeds earned their way in with the two home wins, but Kansas City has been far more tested. Philly, meanwhile, beat up on an overachieving New York Giants team and a quarterback-less San Francisco team to get here. The Eagles have excellent year-round stats, but those numbers are greatly lofted by an incredibly easy schedule. Significant class rise here to the Chiefs, who have been there and done that already in this game.”
Duane Colucci, Race and Sports Manager, Rampart Casino
Eagles 30-20. “The Philadelphia defense is too much here, bringing a ferocious pass rush, harassing Mahomes, and disrupting the Chiefs offense. Jalen Hurts and AJ Brown will also connect on a few big plays, making it more difficult for the Chiefs, who will find themselves playing from behind as Philadelphia establishes an early lead.”
Jay Kornegay, EVP Sportsbook Operations, SuperBook USA
Eagles 31-26. “I believe the Eagles rushing attack will be the difference. When Hurts plays, that rush offense is tough to stop. Mahomes will make some plays, but Philly ends up on top.”
Robert Kowalski, Sportsbook Director, Baldini’s
Chiefs 31-28. “The Eagles beat the punchless New York Giants and then a QB-less 49ers team to reach Glendale. This Super Bowl has the wrong favorite, and Mahomes will show us all why at the end of four quarters.”
Scroll through some props: Jalen Hurts Super Bowl props | Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl props | Travis Kelce Super Bowl props | Miles Sanders Super Bowl props | Super Bowl rushing props | Super Bowl MVP odds
John Lindheimer, Sportsbook Manager, Harrah’s Hoosier Park
Chiefs +1.5, 54 total points. “The Eagles have had a great season and rolled over the Giants and 49ers in the playoffs. The Chiefs are making their third Super Bowl appearance in four years, and their players have been through the two-week SB spectacle before. I think that Big Game experience will make a difference in this tight matchup. This game has been at 1.5 for a week, and it seems like we could’ve put it up in stone.”
Seamus Magee, Team Lead, Sports Trading, BetMGM Sportsbook
Eagles 24-21. “Hurts will be Super Bowl MVP. The Eagles should be able to run the ball pretty well against this Chiefs D. I think the Eagles D will be able to get just enough stops to win this one.”
Ed Malinowski, Senior Manager of Trading, DraftKings
Chiefs 30-27. “I think it’s high scoring. Kansas City is vulnerable to a running QB, and Philly’s defense might get exposed if it blitzes too much.”
Jason McCormick, VP of Race and Sports, Station Casinos
Chiefs 24-23. “Kansas City overcomes a halftime deficit as Super Bowl MVP winner Patrick Mahomes continues his wizardry in an epic fourth-quarter comeback.”
Tony Miller, Executive Director Race & Sports Book, Golden Nugget Las Vegas
Eagles 32-31. “Great game with two number one seeds. The spread, the position players, are so very close. I think it comes down to the running ability of Jalen Hurts that will make the difference here. It’s the Eagles in a close and great Super Bowl.”
Vic Salerno, President, US Bookmaking
Eagles 24-20. “Everyone thinks it is going Over, but I’m going for the Under.”
Jeff Sherman, VP Risk Management, SuperBook
Eagles 27-20. “The high ankle sprain will have its toll on Mahomes against the aggressive defense of the Eagles.”
Bookmaker Q&As: SuperBook’s Jay Kornegay | PlayUp’s Rex Beyers | South Point’s Chris Andrews | BetMGM’s Jason Scott | Bally Bet’s Jay Rood | Westgate’s Jeff Sherman | Golden Nugget’s Tony Miller | Station’s Jason McCormick | Circa’s Jeff Benson | Baldini’s Robert Kowalski | Westgate’s Casey Degnon | Rivers’ Kyle Wainscott | Aliante’s Socrates Cherry III
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